Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, NBA Preseason Picks – Friday, October 16

The NBA preseason is coming to a close, with 12 games for the preseason’s final night. The Golden State Warriors will host the Portland Trail Blazers in one of the night's final games at 10:00 p.m. ET. 

The Trail Blazers are 3.5-point road favorites on Friday evening, via PrizePicks. Portland is 3-0 in the preseason, which included a trip to London. The Trail Blazers landed in the win column against the Warriors earlier this month and most recently topped the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. 

Meanwhile, Golden State has a 3-2 preseason record and defeated the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. The Warriors have won three of their four games at the Chase Center throughout the preseason. 

Let’s jump into tonight’s NBA preseason action, highlighted by our Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Friday, including NBA player projections on PrizePicks.

Make your Trail Blazers vs. Warriors picks for the NBA preseason on PrizePicks!

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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction, Winner, Over/Under for NBA Preseason – Friday, October 16

The Trail Blazers enter Friday’s preseason game as 3.5-point road favorites against the Warriors and return a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks.

Here are the full payouts for the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors game on PrizePicks, including winner payouts, the spread, and over/under. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction on the over/under on PrizePicks.

The Warriors will begin the 2026-26 season hoping to return to the NBA postseason after finishing ninth and falling short in the Play-In Tournament. Head coach Steve Kerr signed a two-year contract to return to the Warriors after his previous deal had expired following the 2025-26 campaign.

Injuries heavily affected Golden State a season ago, with F Jimmy Butler and G Stephen Curry both missing significant time. Butler tore his ACL in January and missed the remainder of the season.

With a more veteran-laden group, Kerr has been very strategic with minutes for the Warriors’ more experienced players in the preseason. However, Curry still appeared in four of the team’s five preseason games, averaging 16.5 minutes per game, and scored 11 points on 3-of-9 shooting against Los Angeles in a preseason-high 23 minutes.

The Warriors will be without Butler for the foreseeable future, as he continues to work his way back from a torn ACL. In a Wednesday interview with SiriusXM NBA Radio, Butler said he didn’t want to announce a target return date but will “be back out there” as soon as he can compete. 

The Trail Blazers have a new look backcourt this season. Portland acquired G Ja Morant in an offseason trade that sent F Jerami Grant and F Kris Murray to the Memphis Grizzlies. Plus, G Damian Lillard is back in the fold after he sat out last season to rehabilitate a torn Achilles tendon. 

Morant has appeared in all three preseason games, shooting 45.0% from the field. He had his best performance against the Kings on Tuesday, scoring 14 points on 4-of-6 shooting while also dishing out 6 assists. 

Friday’s contest gives Morant one final chance to get more comfortable playing within Portland’s offense. However, it’s unclear how much Morant and other Trail Blazers’ starters will play in the preseason finale. 

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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction on Over/Under for NBA Preseason – 10/16/26

Here are the key stats and predictions behind our Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction on the over/under for Friday’s NBA game.

• The Warriors have averaged 111.0 PPG in the 2026 preseason, while the Trail Blazers have totaled 116.5 PPG in their two preseason contests against NBA teams.
• Three of the four regular-season meetings between the Trail Blazers and Warriors reached the over during the 2025-26 season. Portland really took advantage of Golden State’s lackluster defense, averaging 124.8 PPG in those four games.
• The Warriors went 49-35-0 on the over/under last season, with 58.3% of their games going over the total. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers had a 44-44-0 over/under record.
• Golden State owned a 116.6 defensive rating (19th) and allowed its opponents to shoot 48.3% from the field (23rd) during the 2025-26 campaign. 
• Despite struggling defensively, the Warriors registers a 58.1% true shooting percentage in 2025-26, ranking 12th in the NBA.

Lock in your Trail Blazers vs. Warriors prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.

Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Picks, Player Stats on PrizePicks: 10/16/26

Our top Trail Blazers vs. Warriors player picks for the NBA preseason on PrizePicks include Deni Avdija and Yaxel Lendeborg.

Trail Blazers F Deni Avdija vs. Warriors: 27.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Avdija has registered at least 28 points, rebounds, and assists in just one of his three preseason contests, averaging 20.3 minutes per game. Avdija may play around this minute threshold, but he could also sit out completely.
• The Trail Blazers’ star has scored 23+ points in two of his three contests, including a preseason-best 26 points on 9-of-13 shooting vs. the Kings on Tuesday. 
• Avdija led the Trail Blazers in scoring last season, compiling a career-high 24.2 PPG in 66 games.
• The former lottery pick averaged 28.7 true shot attempts per 100 offensive possessions (95th percentile), while logging 19.1 potential assists per 100 possessions (99th percentile), per databallr.
• The Warriors struggled to defend the 3-point shot in 2025-26, allowing opponents to make 36.0% of their shots (19th).

Add Deni Avdija + Trail Blazers to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Warriors F Yaxel Lendeborg vs. Trail Blazers: 15.5 Points

• Lendeborg has averaged 15.3 PPG in games this preseason and has scored 17+ points in three of those contests.
• The Warriors’ 2026 first-round pick has been incredibly efficient, connecting on 54.8% (23 of 42) from the field this preseason. Lendeborg is also shooting 38.5% (5 of 13) from beyond the arc.
• Lendeborg won the Big Ten Player of the Year Award after averaging 15.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and 3.2 APG, while shooting 37.2% from deep for Michigan in 2025-26.
• The Trail Blazers allowed 118 points in a preseason meeting on October 7 and allowed the Warriors to shoot 55.9% from beyond the arc. Lendeborg didn’t play in that game but could enjoy success based on his preseason production up to this point. 

Pick Yaxel Lendeborg + Warriors to cover the spread on PrizePicks.

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Make Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks

With these two Western Conference teams finishing the 2026 preseason on Friday, key players could see limited minutes ahead of the regular season. Key rotation players could play early on before giving way to younger assets, including F Yaxel Lendeborg. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Trail Blazers vs. Warriors picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right. Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on NBA game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

Plus, you can make your NBA predictions for the 2026-27 season, including the NBA Finals winner, win totals, the MVP, and more, all on PrizePicks.

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