The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs meet in a Wednesday night showdown between the top two teams in the Western Conference.
The defending champion Thunder were the first to 40 wins this season, after their victory over the Magic on Tuesday night, but three of their 11 losses have come at the hands of tonight’s opponent.
The Spurs sit in second place in the Western Conference, six games back, looking for their fourth win in five games vs. the Champs.
The game features two of the top five players in the NBA MVP race in Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, last year’s MVP, and Spurs F Victor Wembanyama. The rumble tips is at 9:30 p.m on ESPN.
Below, we’ll break down our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction and spread for Wednesday, February 4. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread
The Thunder and Spurs meet for the fifth time this season, with the Spurs having won three of the first four matchups, including an NBA Cup semifinal game. This is the final regular-season matchup between the two teams.
Thunder vs. Spurs Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder enter the contest as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The Spurs are underdogs with a 1.96x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City -2.5
- Over/Under: 222.5
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.96x | Thunder 1.78x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread
The Thunder are favored tonight, which should come as no surprise, as they have been favored in all 51 games they have played this season. They were favored by 6.5 in a 20-point loss at San Antonio in December.
- The Thunder are 25-26 against the spread this season, but when they cover, it’s by 12.7 points per game, tops in the NBA.
- While only one game under .500 against the spread, the Thunder are 6-11 ATS since January 4, including Tuesday’s cover vs. Orlando.
- The Thunder offense is among the best in the league, with a rating of 118.2 (fourth) and 56.4 EFG% (third). They lead the NBA with 120.5 PPG.
- The Spurs are 25-23-2 against the spread this season, having failed to cover in five of their last eight.
- San Antonio is 11-6 this season as an underdog, the fourth-best cover percentage of any NBA team.
- They’ve covered and won outright in the two games as a home dog, one vs. Oklahoma City and the other vs. Houston.
- San Antonio has played 32 of 50 games (including NBA Cup Final) under. The 32 unders are the most in the NBA.
- The last seven, 15 of the last 16, and 21 of the previous 24 Spurs games have gone under.
- The Spurs are led by their defense, which is third in the league in defensive rating (111.2), fourth in opponents’ FG% (45.6), and fourth in rebounds (46.1).
Thunder vs. Spurs Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Thunder vs. Spurs injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com
Thunder Injury Report
- Not reported as of publication
Spurs Injury Report
- G Stephon Castle (abductor) - Questionable
- G Jeremy Sochan (quad) - OUT
- F Lindy Waters III (knee) - OUT
Thunder vs. Spurs Picks for PrizePicks Today, February 4
Here are two Thunder vs Spurs picks to target for Wednesday, February 4 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Spurs F Victor Wembanyama.
Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projection vs. Thunder: 31.5 Points
- Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to hit his points projection in four of his last five games and in 27 out of 49 games this season.
- SGA has scored 30+ points in 34 of 49 games this year, including four of the last seven. His 31.8 PPG season average is second in the NBA.
- The Kentucky product also has 5+ assists in 38 of 49 games, including nine last night vs. Orlando.
- The reigning MVP averages 32.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 5.1 assists in 26 career games vs. the Spurs.
- In four games this season vs. the Spurs, SGA has gone for 29, 33, 22, and 34 points.
Spurs F Victor Wembanyama Projection vs. Thunder: 33.5 Points+Rebounds
- Spurs F Victor Wembanyama failed to hit his points+rebound projection in the last two games and in four of the past six games. However, on the season, he has exceeded his projection in 19 of 35 games.
- Wembanyama’s has back-to-back 8 rebound games following a streak of five straight games of 10+ rebounds.
- The big Frenchman averages 11.0 rebounds per game this season, eighth in the NBA.
- In the four games vs. the Thunder this season, Wemby has totaled 31, 17, 30, and 24 points+rebounds, all four not hitting the projection.
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Make Thunder vs. Spurs NBA Picks on PrizePicks
Can the Thunder get over one the only bump in the road they have faced this season? Or will the Spurs complete a season dominance over the champs by winning for the fourth time in five matchups this year?
You can make your Thunder vs. Spurs picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
