Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Game 4 Picks – Sunday, May 24

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals is set to tip off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 24. The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread once again.

Despite spotting San Antonio a significant lead right out of the gate in Game 3, Oklahoma City rebounded and came away with a convincing victory on the road. What’s in store for Sunday night?

Below, we'll break down our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction and picks for Sunday’s NBA Playoff Game 4, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on PrizePicks for tonight’s Game 4.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Sunday, May 24

With each passing moment in this series, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the Western Conference truly did dwindle to its best two teams here. That was evident after San Antonio’s seven-point, double-overtime triumph in Game 1, and it remains the case entering Game 4.

Since the Spurs’ first win, however, the Thunder have secured consecutive decisions in the win-loss column. Game 2 saw star PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pour in 30 points, and the entire team willed itself to a thrilling comeback in Friday’s Game 3.

For many teams, it could’ve been over at San Antonio’s 15-0 run. From that point on, though, Oklahoma City outscored its budding rivals 123-93. Some key reserves led the way (more on that later), as the Thunder bench continued its WCF dominance.

The stage is set for a downright critical Game 4 for San Antonio, as OKC has home-court advantage in the series. Can head coach Mitch Johnson’s group snag a win and even the series?

Thunder vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Sunday, May 24

The Spurs enter Sunday’s game as 2.5-point home favorites against the Thunder, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Thunder vs. Spurs game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (1.88x payout)
• Over/Under: 218.5 (1.78x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Thunder 2.17x | Spurs 1.63x

Make your Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Timeline

Here is the full Thunder vs. Spurs timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Spurs, 107-92

Regular Season: Spurs, 4-1

Series: Thunder, 2-1

Thunder vs. Spurs Western Conference Finals Timeline, Schedule

• Game 1: Spurs 122, Thunder 115 (2OT)
• Game 2: Thunder 122, Spurs 113
• Game 3: Thunder 123, Spurs 108
• Game 4: Sunday, May 24, 8:00 p.m. ET in San Antonio
• Game 5: Tuesday, May 26, 8:30 p.m. ET in Oklahoma City
• Games 6-7 if necessary

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread for Game 4 – 5/24/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on the spread for Sunday, May 24.

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• The Spurs are 24-20-1 against the spread as home favorites, although they failed to cover in Game 3 in this very scenario. 
• San Antonio’s offense is better than it showed down the stretch of Game 3. The group sits fifth in points per shot (1.178), also shooting the fourth-best percentage (56.9%) inside the arc.
• The issue is that the Thunder defense might just be that much better, as it’s second (1.100) and first (49.6%) in the same respective metrics. 
• With all-world C Victor Wembanyama patrolling the interior, the Thunder’s No. 18 ranking in paint scoring (49.1 PPG) could look even worse. San Antonio is sixth in average paint allowance (45.8 PPG).  
• Whoever wins the 3-point battle could end up winning the game. Does the edge go to San Antonio? It’s just 12th in efficiency at 36.1%, yet that’s perhaps the lone weakness of Oklahoma City on the defensive side (36.7%, 23rd).  

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Thunder vs. Spurs Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/24/26

Here are the top Thunder vs. Spurs picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Sunday, May 24. Today’s NBA picks include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, and Devin Vassell.

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Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Spurs: 41.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Gilgeous-Alexander averaged exactly 42.0 combined points, rebounds, and assists in the regular season. That number is down to 39.7 in the postseason.
• In a rare occurrence, scoring efficiency isn’t a strong suit for SGA in this series. He’s made just 39.1% of his shots, including only 28.6% of his attempts from deep.
• Rebounding has also abandoned the two-time MVP. He’s pulling down 3 boards each night against San Antonio and has yet to notch an offensive rebound.
• One area that could save Gilgeous-Alexander is his passing. He’s taking tremendous care of the ball, averaging 2.3 turnovers in the WCF while amassing 33 total assists. 

Add Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Thunder SG Alex Caruso vs. Spurs: 10.5 Points

• Caruso is posting 11.3 PPG in 11 NBA Playoff games this year, but he’s come alive even more in the WCF. The 32-year-old went for 31, 17, and 15 points in Games 1-3. 
• AC’s 3-point shot is smooth as butter, dropping 14 times on 23 attempts (60.9%). 
• After holding a 107 offensive rating in the regular season, Caruso is up to 130 in the playoffs, including a video game-like 145 in this round.
• According to NBA RAPM, Caruso is in the 97th percentile in points per possession both overall (0.33) and on spot-ups (0.39). 

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Spurs SG-SF Devin Vassell vs. Thunder: 18.5 Pts + Rebs

• Vassell is one of the Spurs’ key reserves, posting 17.9 points and rebounds in 67 regular-season bouts. In the playoffs, that threshold is up to 18.8. In this series, it’s 24.0.
• Like Caruso, Vassell is shooting the cover off the ball from deep. He’s taking 9 3-pointers a game in the WCF, making 4 of them (44.4%). 
• Vassell’s midrange mastery has carried into the postseason, as he’s making 42.9% of his shots from 10-16 feet and 47.1% of them from 16 feet to the 3-point line.
• Via databallr, Vassell pulls down 10.2% of available defensive rebounds. 

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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Thunder vs. Spurs on PrizePicks for Game 4

Here are some in-game angles to target for your Thunder vs. Spurs live picks. 

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• These are two of the fastest-starting teams in the NBA. Oklahoma City and San Antonio rank fourth and second, respectively, in first-quarter PPG but are also first and fourth at preventing early points at the other end.
• In terms of tempo, the Spurs have a clear advantage, as their 99.13 pace ranks third among all playoff teams (NBA Advanced Stats). The Thunder’s 96.00 mark is ninth. 
• Oklahoma City’s championship DNA shines in the final frame. Their +16.3 fourth-quarter net rating is light-years ahead of anyone else. The next-closest active postseason squad is the New York Knicks at +8.8. 
• OKC has been much more protective of the basketball, holding a 10.7% turnover rate to San Antonio’s 18.3% figure. 
• Believe it or not, Gilgeous-Alexander actually performs better away from home. This season, he’s shot 5.4% better from the field and 15.9% better from deep in road games.

Make Thunder vs. Spurs Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks

The Thunder have the edge in experience, and the defending champs are hungry for back-to-back rings. The Spurs have proven to be worthy foes, though. What gives in Game 4?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Thunder vs. Spurs picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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