Twenty of the NBA’s 30 teams are in action on Friday, and an 8:00 p.m. ET bout between the Thunder and Grizzlies sees a pair of Western Conference foes clash on NBA TV.
Oklahoma City’s 31-7 start looks amazing on paper, but the defending champs have slipped as of late. They’re just 7-6 in their last 13 games, indicating that they’re indeed beatable. Can 16-21 Memphis be the squad to keep their feet to the fire?
Below, we’ll break down a Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks to consider for Friday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Friday marks the 112th regular-season meeting between the Thunder and Grizzlies. With Oklahoma City boasting a significant 76-35 series lead, Memphis has dropped 11 straight contests.
On the injury front, the Thunder are without several players, including superstar PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle), C-F Chet Holmgren (shin), and C Isaiah Hartenstein (soleus).
The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are missing PG Ja Morant (calf), rookie G-F Cedric Coward, and C Zach Edey (ankle).
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder enter Friday’s game as 4.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.49x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Grizzlies are home underdogs with a 2.5x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5
- Over/Under: 228.5
- Game Winner Payout: Thunder 1.49x | Grizzlies 2.5x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Thunder vs. Grizzlies.
- The Thunder are a respectable 19-19 against the spread this season, with the Grizzlies struggling at 16-21.
- As a home underdog, Memphis’ 2-7 ATS record is second-worst in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 8-9 ATS as a road favorite.
- OKC’s +13.4 average scoring margin is first in the league, as is their fastbreak defense (11.7 points per game) and paint defense (39.3 PPG).
- Memphis is merely 18th in scoring margin (-1.4), and sits 24th in offensive rating.
- Friday’s matchup, by net rating standards, is between the No. 1 and No. 18 teams in the Association.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three top Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks to target on Friday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by G-F Jalen Williams, SG Cam Spencer, and F-C Jaren Jackson Jr.
Thunder G-F Jalen Williams vs. Grizzlies Projection: 37.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- In 19 games played, Williams averages 27.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists. That number is 28.1 in his last five.
- J-Dub’s 9.3% rebounding rate and 26.9% assist clip are both career-high marks despite his minutes per game (30.1) being a career-low.
- Memphis allows the fourth-most 3-point tries per game (40.2) and the eighth-most field goal attempts (42.3) on average.
- The absences of Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren, and Hartenstein could lead to Williams carrying a much greater workload.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Grizzlies SG Cam Spencer vs. Thunder Projection: 21.5 Pts + Asts
- Spencer averages 17.1 points and assists on the year. In his last 15, that figure is up to 21.7.
- Since the beginning of December, the 25-year-old guard has an 18.1% usage rate.
- The Loyola, Rutgers, and UConn product leads the NBA in 3-point percentage this season at 47.3.
- According to databallr, Spencer’s 2.9 potential assists per minute put him in the 94th percentile.
Grizzlies F-C Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. Thunder Projection: 27.5 Pts + Rebs
- The 2022-23 Defensive Player of the Year nets 24.1 points and rebounds on a nightly basis.
- Via NBA, out of 92 qualified players logging 30+ minutes per game, Jackson’s 51.3 rebound chance percentage is 72nd.
- Jackson’s 3.1% offensive rebounding clip is the lowest of his eight-year career. His 14.6 Player Efficiency Rating falls under the same umbrella.
- Per FantasyPros, the Thunder yield the sixth- and second-fewest fantasy points to the PF and C positions, respectively.
Make Thunder vs. Grizzlies Picks on PrizePicks
Thunder vs. Grizzlies on Friday isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
