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Thunder vs. Bulls Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 3

Oklahoma City Thunder C-PF Chet Holmgren rises up for a shot against the Denver Nuggets.
AP Photo/David Zalubowski

The Chicago Bulls (25-36) ended their 11-game losing streak with a win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. With that said, earning another victory may be difficult when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-15) on Tuesday at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Below, we’ll break down our Thunder vs. Bulls prediction and picks for Tuesday night’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Thunder vs. Bulls Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Over their last 10 games, the Bulls have the worst offensive rating in the league (106.9). The Thunder have the best defensive rating in the NBA for the entire season (106.1), so Chicago might have a tough time putting points on the board.

One of the reasons why the Thunder are so good on defense is they force the second-most turnovers per game (17.0). Chicago ranks 21st in average turnovers at 15.1.

Thunder vs. Bulls Spread, Over/Under

The Thunder enter Tuesday’s game as 10.5-point favorites on the road, returning a 1.23x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Bulls are underdogs at home with a 4.34x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5
  • Over/Under: 228.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Thunder 1.23x | Bulls 4.34x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Thunder vs. Bulls Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Thunder vs. Bulls injury report for Tuesday, via NBA.com.

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

  • G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal): OUT
  • F-G Jalen Williams (hamstring): OUT
  • C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf): OUT
  • G Ajay Mitchell (abdominal): OUT

Chicago Bulls Injury Report

  • G Anfernee Simons (wrist): OUT
  • C-PF Jalen Smith (calf): OUT
  • G Jaden Ivey (knee): OUT

Thunder vs. Bulls Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Thunder vs. Bulls prediction on spread for Tuesday, March 3 on PrizePicks.

  • The Bulls are 2-10 against the spread over their last 12 games.
  • The Thunder are 6-3 ATS across their last nine matchups.
  • Chicago has played 10 games since the NBA trade deadline, losing six of them by at least 11 points.
  • Smith is quietly an important member of the Bulls. In the last eight games he's missed, the Bulls are 2-6 with an average margin of defeat of 22.8 points.

Thunder vs. Bulls Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/3/26

Here are top Thunder vs. Bulls picks to target for Tuesday, March 3, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Thunder C-PF Chet Holmgren and Bulls PG Josh Giddey.

Thunder C-PF Chet Holmgren vs. Bulls Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs

  • Holmgren is on pace to average career highs in points (17.2) and rebounds (9.0) per game.
  • When Hartstein missed time earlier in the season, Holmgren averaged 17.1 points and 10.2 rebounds over 15 games.
  • The Bulls have the sixth-worst defensive rating (117.0) and allow the ninth-most rebounds per game (45.1) in the league.
  • The 23-year-old big man shoots 36.5% from deep for his career. Chicago gives up the third-highest 3-point percentage (37.2%).

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Bulls PG Josh Giddey vs. Thunder Projection: 13.5 Rebs + Asts

  • After being on a minute restriction when he first returned from injury, Giddey logged 32 minutes in Sunday’s 120-97 win over the Bucks. He finished with 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists.
  • For the season, the former Thunder guard averages 8.2 rebounds and 8.4 assists in 31 minutes a game.
  • In contests in which he plays at least 30 minutes, Giddey averages 9.7 rebounds and 9.4 assists.
  • Although the Thunder are a good defensive team, they permit the seventh-most rebounds per game (45.4).

Thunder G Isaiah Joe vs. Bulls Projection: 8.5 3-PT Attempted

  • Isaiah Joe averages 6.0 3-point attempts per game on the year.
  • Over his last 12 games, the former second-round pick has attempted 8 or fewer 3-pointers nine times.
  • Across a recent nine-game stretch without Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe averaged 7.1 3-point attempts.
  • While the Thunder are without the reigning MVP, they are mostly healthy in the backcourt with G Jared McCain, G Cason Wallace, G Alex Caruso, and G Lugentz Dort all expected to play.

Make Thunder vs. Bulls Picks on PrizePicks

Chet Holmgren aims to increase his production Tuesday when the shorthanded Thunder face the Bulls. Facing his former team, Josh Giddey could also be in line for a juicy stat line in terms of rebounds and assists.

You can make your Thunder vs. Bulls picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news every day until the 2026 NBA Finals.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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