The nightcap of an electric Tuesday slate of college basketball games will see the No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-16) head to Desert Financial Arena to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (13-12) in a Big 12 showdown.
Texas Tech will be looking to avoid a let-down following its massive win vs. No. 1 Arizona as 9.5-point underdogs on Saturday.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona State tips off at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday from Tempe, Ariz., live on ESPN2.
Below, we’ll break down our Texas Tech vs. Arizona State prediction and picks for Tuesday’s Big 12 game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals for Texas Tech vs. Arizona State.
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No. 13 Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Heading into Saturday, Texas Tech was 2.5 games out of the first spot in the Big 12, as five teams were separated by just 2.5 games at the top. Since then, Tech upset Arizona, and Iowa State beat Houston, leaving us even more congested at the top of the conference.
Just 1.5 games now separate five teams at the top of the Big 12, and everything is back on the table for conference and March Madness seeding. The Red Raiders are 19-6 overall, and their 3-game winning streak is now tied for the longest active streak in the Big 12.
It’s been a disappointing season for Arizona State thus far. The Sun Devils are sitting at 13-12 overall and a woeful 4-8 in conference play. Their lone bright spot has been their play at home, where they are 7-5 with quality wins over Texas, Cincinnati, and Oklahoma State.
They’re also 7-4-1 (63.6%) against the spread (ATS) at Desert Financial Arena this season, the second-best home ATS record in the Big 12.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Spread, Over/Under for Tuesday CBB
The Texas Tech Red Raiders enter Tuesday’s game as 5.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright. The spread was previously higher (-8.5), but has moved down throughout Tuesday.
The Arizona State Sun Devils are home underdogs with a 3.57x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
The over/under for Texas Tech vs. Arizona State has stayed at 154.5 points throughout Tuesday.
- Spread: Texas Tech -5.5 (1.63x payout)
- Over/Under: 154.5 (1.85x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Red Raiders 1.25x | Sun Devils 3.57x
Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Texas Tech vs. Arizona State prediction on the spread on Tuesday, February 17.
- Arizona State is 15-9-1 (62.5%) ATS this season, the second-best record in the Big 12.
- That number improves to a perfect 3-0-0 (100%) ATS when the Sun Devils are a home underdog, which they are tonight.
- Texas Tech has been outright dominant at home this season, going 12-1 overall, but its record is just 4-3 away from Lubbock, which it is tonight.
- Arizona State can leak free-throw attempts this season, ranking 189th nationally, giving up 35.4 attempts per game.
- That could be less of a problem vs. a Texas Tech team that gets to the line only 27.9 times per game, 339th in the country.
- Tech’s defense does not do a great job of turning opponents over, which can be key in covering a big spread on the road. This season, the Red Raiders rank 260th nationally in defensive turnover percentage at just 15.6%, according to Bart Torvik.
- One positive for Tech is that it has played the fifth-toughest strength of schedule this season, but Arizona State's schedule doesn’t check in too far behind, at 16th.
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Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Picks for PrizePicks Today: Tuesday, February 17
Here are two of the top Texas Tech vs. Arizona State picks to target for Tuesday, February 17, on PrizePicks CBB DFS. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by JT Toppin and Moe Odum.
Texas Tech F JT Toppin vs. Arizona State Projection: 38.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- Toppin is averaging 2.7 more points per game on the road this season, largely due to his increased efficiency from the field. On the road, he shoots 60.1% from the field as opposed to 51.7% at home.
- Arizona State has a 34.2 defensive rebounding percentage this season, which ranks 320th nationally.
- Toppin is averaging a career-best 11 rebounds per game this season (6th nationally) with 4.3 of those coming on the offensive glass.
- This is a slight pace-up game for Texas Tech. They rank 186th in the country in tempo, while Arizona State ranks 83rd.
- I am slightly concerned that this number may have reached the top of the market for Toppin, but it is well deserved, as there may not be a player in the country playing better basketball than him right now. Additionally, the matchup he has tonight is absolutely pristine for his skill set.
Arizona State G Moe Odum vs. Texas Tech Projection: 23.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- Odum has been the leader of this Arizona State team this season, and he plays much better at home. He is averaging .4 more points, 1.7 more rebounds, and .3 more assists at Desert Financial than on the road.
- He is also shooting 4.3% better from the field and 5.8% better from deep when playing at home.
- All this together leads to him averaging 27 points+rebounds+assists combined at home this season.
- Texas Tech’s defense, while solid, has been their weak point this season. They rank 79th in the country in effective field goal percentage (49.2%), which is the second-worst mark among teams ranked in the top 20.
Make 13 Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Picks on PrizePicks
It’s a congested scene at the top of the Big 12 conference rankings, and every game will be of utmost importance for Texas Tech, especially when it comes to conference tournament and March Madness seeding.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona State picks for Big 12 ball are just one of many ways that college hoops fans can get in on Tuesday's college basketball action.
Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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