Suns vs. Rockets Prediction, NBA Picks for Monday, January 5: Amen Thompson Time

Rockets G Amen Thompson dribbles a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Jayne Kamin-Oncea

The toasty-hot Phoenix Suns (21-14) are on a 6-1 heater, highlighted by Sunday's upset of the mighty Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday.

Meanwhile down in Texas, the Houston Rockets are on a run of their own, taking five of their last six.

Somebody's streak will take a hit, as the Western Conference foes throw down on Monday night at the Toyota Center in Houston. The game tips at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Below, we'll preview the game and offer a Suns vs. Rockets prediction and picks on PrizePicks , including player projections for wing Amen Thompson and big Mark Williams.

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Suns vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

After a losing campaign in 2024-25, the Suns made a massive change this past offseason when the franchise traded F Kevin Durant to the Rockets in a seven-team deal. With Durant in the fold, the Rockets sit in fourth place in the Western Conference, seven games behind the Thunder for the top seed.

Coming off of Saturday's 110-104 loss to the interstate rival Mavericks, the Rockets have taken four of their last five. Houston boasts one of the NBA’s most lethal offenses, averaging 120.0 points per game (fifth in the NBA) and shooting 39.3% from beyond the arc, third-best in the league. Per ESPN, the Rockets rank fourth in offensive efficiency with a 118.3 rating.

Houston will be without one of their top assets against Phoenix as C Alperen Sengun is out with an ankle injury. Sengun is second on the team in scoring (21.8 points), while averaging a team-high 9.0 rebounds and 6.5 assists. C Steven Adams (ankle) is listed as questionable.

Despite moving on from Durant, Phoenix has enjoyed a strong start this season, racking upa 21-14 record, good for seventh place in the Western Conference.

Phoenix continues to be paced by star G Devin Booker, who leads the team in points (25.7) and assists (6.4). Booker has thrived since returning from a groin injury in mid-December, averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 assists, despite shooting just 27.6% from 3 over his last five games.

In addition, the Suns boast one of the stronger defensive units across the NBA, surrending just 113.2 points per game, the sixth-fewest in the league. They force 16.3 turnovers per contest, tied for second in the league.

G Jalen Green (hamstring) remains out of the lineup, while G Grayson Allen is out as a result of a knee injury.


Suns vs. Rockets Over/Under, Spread

The Rockets are 8.5-point favorites, returning a 1.29x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Suns will return a 3.33x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

  • Spread: Houston Rockets -8.5
  • Over/Under: 221.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Suns 3.33x | Rockets 1.29x

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.

Suns vs. Rockets Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Suns vs. Rockets today.

  • The Rockets are 6-6 against the spread at home.
  • Phoenix is 11-7 against the spread on the road.
  • Houston is 6-6 against the spread as a home favorite.

Suns vs. Rockets Picks

Here are some of the top Suns vs. Rockets picks on PrizePicks for today. Player projections are via the PrizePicks real-money NBA game.

Rockets G Amen Thompson vs. Suns Projection: 31.5 PRA

  • Thompson has averaged 33.0 points, assists, and rebounds in his last five games.
  • The Rockets guard spends 30.3% of his time on ball, per databallr ranking him in the 97th percentile.
  • Thompson registers 21.2 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, also per databallr, placing him in the 81st percentile.
  • The former first-round pick tallies 13.6 potential assists per 100 possessions, per databallr, ranking him in the 95th percentile.

Suns C Mark Williams vs. Rockets Projection: 17.5 Pts+Rebs

  • The former Duke Blue Devil averages 20.8 points and rebounds over his last five contests.
  • Williams secures 47.2% of contested rebounds, per NBA.com.
  • The Suns center scores on 65.5% of his 2-point shot attempts, per databallr, placing him in the 74th percentile
  • Williams finishes 17.2 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, per databallr, placing him in the 100th percentile. That takes putbacks, transition, and pick-and-roll baskets into account.
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Make Suns vs. Rockets Picks on PrizePicks

The Suns are coming off a massive win vs. the Thunder, while the Rockets have been one of the West’s stronger teams, making it the perfect time to drop your Suns vs. Rockets picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right.

Just choose players — including Amen Thompson and Mark Williams — predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states. 


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every stat Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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