Steelers vs. Bears Prediction, NFL Picks: Can Caleb Williams Keep Winning?

Bears QB Caleb Williams throws a football in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough

The Steelers and the Bears, both leading their respective divisions, meet on Sunday in Chicago in a game that could shape the AFC and NFC playoff picture. The clash kicks off Sunday at 1 p.m. ET on CBS.

Below, we'll break down our Steelers vs. Bears prediction and Sunday picks for Week 12, including the top player picks on PrizePicks real money NFL game, including Steelers WR DK Metcalf and Bears QB Caleb Williams and RB D’Andre Swift.

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Steelers vs. Bears Prediction, NFL Picks

The Steelers and Bears, two of the oldest franchises in the NFL, meet for the 29th time. The Bears hold an 18-9-1 all-time lead, winning the series' first 10 games.

Steelers' future Hall-of-Fame QB Aaron Rodgers is questionable to play with a fractured bone in his left wrist.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

  • The Steelers’ offense is near the bottom of league rankings in most major categories: 28th in yards (286.9), 29th in rushing (88.2), and 22nd in passing (198.7).
  • Things are just as bad on the defensive side, as the Steelers land at 28th in total yards (368.1) and 32nd (last) against the pass (261.7).
  • The Steelers have allowed 199+ yards passing in all 10 games this season. 
  • Steelers RB Jaylen Warren injured his ankle vs. the Bears and is questionable to play.
  • Steelers RB snap counts through 11 weeks: Jaylen Warren - 268 (46.0 pct), Kenneth Gainwell - 288 (49.4 pct), Kaleb Johnson -43 (7.4 pct).

Chicago Bears Preview

  • The Bears are 7-3 for the first time since the 2018 season, when they started 3-3 and won the next five games en route to a 12-4 campaign. 
  • Chicago has the fourth-best offense in total yards with 373.8 yards per game and second-best rushing offense at 146.6 rush yards per game. The last time Chicago finished top-five in total yards was the 1977 season.
  • Last year, the Monsters of the Midway finished 32nd in total yards, 25th in rushing, 31st in passing, and 28th in scoring. 
  • The Bears are eighth in the NFL in scoring at 25.8 points per game

Steelers vs. Bears Prediction, NFL Picks

Here are three Steelers vs. Bears player picks for Week 12 for PrizePicks real money NFL game, including Steelers WR DK Metcalf and Bears QB Caleb Williams and RB D’Andre Swift.

Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more —to win real money this NFL season.

Steelers WR DK Metcalf Projection vs. Bears: 53.5 Receiving Yards

  • Steelers WR DK Metcalf has seen 4+ targets in all 10 games this season
  • Metcalf recorded 3+ receptions in nine of 10 games this season and 4+ in five
  • After punching in a TD in four straight games, Metcalf has 1 score over the last five.
  • The ex-Seahawks' 14.9 yards per catch ranks 12th in the NFL this season. 

Bears QB Caleb Williams Projection vs. Steelers: 218.5 Pass Yards

  • Bears QB Caleb Williams has five games this season of 220+ yards and five in which he did not reach 220 passing yards, including last week at Minnesota.
  • The former Heisman winner's 13 passing TDs ranks 18th in the NFL.
  • Williams has thrown 4 picks this season, tied for tenth-fewest in the league among starting QBs.
  • The Chicago QB’s 89.9 passer rating ranks 18th out of 29 qualified QBs in the NFL.

Bears RB D’Andre Swift Projection vs. Steelers: 56.5 Pass Yards

  • Bears RB D’Andre Swift has rushed for 50+ yards in four of the last five games and in six of his last nine.
  • Last week, in his second game back from missing one week due to an injury, Swift received a season-high 21 rushes. 
  • The ex-Lion and -Eagle's 634 rushing yards ranks 16th in the league and his 4.7 yards per rush is tied for 15th.
  • Swift has recorded 3+ receptions in five of the season's nine games.
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Can the AFC North-leading Steelers keep winning and stay ahead of the hard-charging Ravens? Or will the Bears continue to surprise and stay on top of the NFC North?

As the NFL season enters its 12th week, there's no better place to get real money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.

There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals. Just pick at least two players and pick More or Less on their stats to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the NFL season for more NFL predictions for your PrizePicks and NFL DFS Lineups.

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about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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