Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Game 5 Picks – Tuesday, May 26

The San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Playoff Game 5 is set to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 26, with the Thunder entering as 5.5-point favorites on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread.

After splitting the first four games of the Western Conference Finals, the Thunder and Spurs head back to Oklahoma City all tied up. The Spurs dominated Game 4 at home, taking the lead with 7:49 left in the first quarter and running away. 

How important is Game 5? NBA teams that win Game 5 in a 2-2 series have gone on to win the series 82% of the time. 

Below, we’ll break down our Spurs vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Tuesday’s game, including the spread for PrizePicks.

Make your Spurs vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks now on tonight’s NBA Game 5.

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Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 5 – Tuesday, May 26

After blowing a 15-0 lead and trailing for the entire second half of Game 3 at home, the Spurs rebounded to blow out the Thunder by 21 points in Game 4. 

The Spurs limited the Thunder to 33% from the field and 18% from beyond the arc (6-of-33), holding them to 82 total points, the franchise’s second-lowest postseason total. 

To no one’s surprise, the Spurs have won and lost on the back of C Victor Wembanyama. In the two wins, Wemby has 74 points, 32 rebounds, 8 assists, and 6 blocks. In the two losses, his numbers are 47 points, 21 rebounds, 9 assists, and 6 blocks. 

Injuries may have finally caught up with OKC, which was missing two of its top three creators, with SF Jalen Williams (left hamstring soreness) and SG Ajay Mitchell (right calf strain) sidelined.

The 82 points were the fewest since Dec. 2, 2021 for the Thunder and the fewest by a team with the best record since the 2013 Miami Heat’s score of 77 vs. the Spurs, per ESPN.  

Over the Game 2 and 3 wins, the Thunder's offensive rating was 124.4 and they made 30 of 73 shots from deep (41.0%). In the two losses (Games 1 and 4), the Thunder only made 29.5% of their 3-point shots, seeing their offensive rating drop to 80.4 for Game 4.

Spurs vs. Thunder Spread, Over/Under for Game 5 – Tuesday, May 26

The Thunder enter Tuesday’s game as 5.5-point favorites against the Spurs, returning a 1.51x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for Spurs vs. Thunder on PrizePicks

• Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (1.92x payout)
• Over/Under: 215.5 (1.81x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Spurs 2.43x | Thunder 1.51x

Play the Spurs vs. Thunder spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Timeline

Here is the full Spurs vs. Thunder timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Spurs, 107-91

Regular Season: Spurs, 4-1

Series: Tied, 2-2

Spurs vs. Thunder Conference Finals Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs

• Game 1: Spurs, 122-115
• Game 2: Thunder, 122-113
• Game 3: Thunder, 123-108
• Game 4: Spurs, 103-82
• Game 5: Tuesday, May 26, 8:30 p.m. at Oklahoma City
• Game 6: Thursday, May 28, 8:30 p.m. at San Antonio
• Game 7: if necessary

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread for Game 5 – 5/26/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Spurs vs. Thunder prediction on the spread for Tuesday, May 26.

Lock in your Spurs vs. Thunder prediction on PrizePicks.

• The Spurs are 56-40-2 against the spread. The 56 covers are the most of any team in the league. 
• San Antonio enters as a 5.5-point underdog. They've been an underdog of 5+ points 10 times this season, going 7-3 ATS and winning outright in all seven covers. 
• Despite winning Game 4, the Spurs' bench was still outscored 34-30. It's been outscored by 136 points in the four games.
• The Thunder are 46-48 ATS. That includes a 7-5 ATS record in the postseason, which is third-best behind the Spurs and NBA Finals-bound New York Knicks.
• After being an underdog for only the fifth and sixth times this season, the Thunder are back to being a favorite. They're 43-45 ATS as a favorite, with the most covers, most non-covers, and most games. 
• The Thunder had the best defensive rating during the regular season (106.5) but are only sixth among postseason teams through 12 games. On the offensive side, the Thunder dropped from the best offensive rating and most PPG in the playoffs to second in both after Game 4.

Spurs vs. Thunder Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/26/26

Here are the top Spurs vs. Thunder picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, May 26. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include C Victor Wembanyama and PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 

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Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Thunder: 26 Points

• Spurs C Victor Wembanyama has hit his points projection in three of the four games of the series vs. the Thunder and in five of the last eight games overall. 
• He ranks first in player efficiency rating (PER), rebounds, and blocks among those who have appeared in at least 10 postseason games.
• The French phenom is averaging 23.1 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 3.8 blocks through his first 14 postseason games. 
• Overall, in nine games vs. the Thunder this season, Wembanyama's averaged 23.7 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 blocks. 

Add Victor Wembanyama to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Spurs: 29.5 Points

• Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to hit his points projection in all four games in the series vs. the Spurs and in seven of his last eight games overall. 
• SGA is third among all postseason players with 27.7 PPG but has only reached 30 four times since April 1.
• The two-time MVP has taken 32 shots over the last two games after averaging 22.3 in the preceding four outings. 
• His assist numbers are way up as the Spurs flock to stop him. SGA's averaging 10 per game in the series and 9.5 over his last nine games.  

Add Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to your PrizePicks Lineup now.. 

NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Spurs vs. Thunder on PrizePicks for Game 5

Here are some in-game angles to target for your Spurs vs. Thunder live picks. 

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• In 58 career postseason games, SGA is averaging 26.2 points, 6.2 assists and 4.9 rebounds. 
• The two teams are among the top four highest-scoring first-quarter teams. The Spurs are second in the NBA, averaging 31.4 PPG, while the Thunder are fourth, at 30.3 PPG. Three of the four games have gone over the total in the first quarter. 
• On the other end, neither team is in the top 10 of fourth quarter points. 
• OKC is second in the NBA in average fourth-quarter margin at +1.9 per game.

Make Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Spurs win another game in Oklahoma City and head home up 3-2, or will the reigning champs get within one game of another trip to the Finals?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Spurs vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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