Spurs vs. Grizzlies Prediction, NBA Picks for Tuesday, January 6

San Antonio Spurs C Victor Wembanyama calls out in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Mike Christy

One of six games on the Tuesday night NBA slate, Spurs vs. Grizzlies, tips off from the FedEx Forum at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Thanks to some improved depth and internal development, San Antonio finds itself 25-10 through 35 games, occupying the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. Memphis, meanwhile, is 15-20 and has dropped four games in a row heading into Tuesday.

Below, we’ll break down a Spurs vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks to consider for Tuesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right.

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Spurs vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Tuesday marks the 121st all-time regular-season meeting between the Spurs and Grizzlies. With San Antonio boasting a 78-42 series lead and a three-game winning streak, Memphis is under pressure to right the ship. 

On the injury front, the Spurs are without G Devin Vassell (adductor) and superstar C Victor Wembanyama (knee) is questionable. For Memphis, rookie G-F Cedric Coward (ankle) is out and PG Ja Morant (calf) is questionable. 

Spurs vs. Grizzlies Over/Under, Spread

The Spurs enter Tuesday’s game as 6.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.4x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Grizzlies are home underdogs with a 2.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: San Antonio Spurs -6.5
  • Over/Under: 237.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.4x | Grizzlies 2.7x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Spurs vs. Grizzlies.

  • The Spurs are a respectable team against the spread, owning an 18-16-2 record. The Grizzlies are much worse at 15-20, the sixth-worst ATS mark in the NBA. 
  • Memphis is just 1-6 ATS as a home underdog this year, the second-worst percentage (14.3) in the sport.
  • San Antonio sits in the top 10 in both points scored (119.6, sixth) and allowed (114.4, 10th) per game.
  • Things don’t go as well for Memphis, who is 19th in per-game scoring (116.0) on offense and 17th on defense (117.0). 
  • The Spurs’ offensive (118.1) and defensive (112.8) ratings are sixth and eighth, respectively. 

Spurs vs. Grizzlies NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today

Here are three top Spurs vs. Grizzlies picks to target on Tuesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by C Victor Wembanyama and PGs De’Aaron Fox and Ja Morant.

Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Grizzlies Projection: 29.5 Pts + Rebs

  • In 21 games played, Wembanyama averages 36.0 combined points and rebounds.
  • In addition to shooting a scorching 78.4% at the rim, Wembanyama’s 63.1 true shooting percentage is a career-high mark.
  • Spanning three games against Memphis a year ago, Wemby averaged 31 combined points and rebounds.
  • The third-year big man’s 35.1% defensive rebounding clip leads all players with 10+ games active for. 
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Spurs PG De’Aaron Fox vs. Grizzlies Projection: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • In 26 games, Fox averages 31.3 points, rebounds, and assists per night. In his last five, that figure is a healthy 30.6. 
  • According to FantasyPros, the Grizzlies allow the most points per game (29.06) to the PG position. 
  • Fox brings down 5.6% of his own misses which, according to databallr, is a 95th-percentile mark. 
  • Of the Spurs’ key core players, Fox’s 27.1% usage rate trails only Wembanyama (31.7%), and his 27.9% assist clip is behind only P Stephon Castle (33.3%). 

Grizzlies PG Ja Morant vs. Spurs Projection: 27.5 Pts + Asts

  • On the year, Morant nets 26.6 points and assists per game. He’s upped the ante since his return to the lineup on Dec. 26, averaging 31.3. 
  • San Antonio yields more PPG to the PG spot than all but three teams (including the Grizzlies) at 27.80. 
  • Via NBARAPM, Morant’s 30.6 true shot attempts per 100 possessions puts him in the 92nd percentile. 
  • Morant’s 23.6 potential assists per 100 are a 95th-percentile figure. 

Make Spurs vs. Grizzlies Picks on PrizePicks

Spurs vs. Grizzlies isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. 

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

Jordan Foote is a seasoned sports writer with years of experience covering the NFL, NBA and MLB for multiple outlets. He is a Baker University alumnus, earning his degree in Mass Media with an emphasis in sports journalism. Foote was born and raised in Kansas City, where he still resides to this day.

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