The Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings game is set to tip off at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, September 17, with the Wings entering as 9.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.26x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
The WNBA returns from a two-week hiatus for the FIBA World Cup to wrap up what’s left of the 2026 regular season. The Wings (24-16) begin the final stretch of the regular season with a two-game home stand, first hosting Los Angeles on Thursday evening.
The Sparks (15-25) will hope to close out the final four games of the regular season on a high note after a mostly disappointing campaign. Los Angeles comes into Thursday’s game as a significant underdog, having already been eliminated from playoff contention.
Below, we'll break down our Sparks vs. Wings prediction and picks for Thursday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Sparks vs. Wings Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, September 17
The final leg of the WNBA regular season begins tonight with a five-game slate after a 17-day break. The Wings aim to sweep the season series against the Sparks after two convincing wins earlier this summer.
Dallas enters having secured a playoff spot and will look to improve its current position as the eighth seed.
The Wings face a Sparks squad with its own incentive. WNBA legend Nneka Ogwumike announced her retirement at the end of this season back in August, and her teammates have made clear they want to send her out on a high note.
Los Angeles entered the World Cup break in good form, winning three of its last four games, including two straight.
The Sparks may get some help from a recent injury scare involving Dallas' star guard. MVP candidate Paige Bueckers returns to the Wings on Thursday after playing a key role in Team USA's World Cup gold, though she revealed she dealt with some patellar tendonitis inflammation after playing back-to-back games.
Bueckers isn't on the injury report for tonight, but it will be worth watching how José Fernandez manages her minutes with just four games remaining before the playoffs. If she isn't at full strength, the Sparks and their added motivation might make this a competitive game.
Sparks vs. Wings Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, September 17
The Wings enter Thursday’s game as 9.5-point home favorites against the Sparks, returning a 1.25x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Sparks vs. Wings game on PrizePicks.
Make your Sparks vs. Wings prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Sparks vs. Wings Injury Report for Thursday, September 17
Let’s dive into the full Sparks vs. Wings injury report for Thursday, via WNBA.com.
Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report
- None
Dallas Wings Injury Report
- F Alanna Smith (Leg) – Out
Sparks vs. Wings Prediction on Over/Under – 9/17/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sparks vs. Wings prediction on the over/under for Thursday, September 17.
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- No team has had more games finish under the listed total than than the Wings at 57.5%.
- A major factor in that under record has been Dallas' top-five defense. The Wings rank fifth in the league with a 107.2 defensive rating and have allowed the fourth-fewest PPG to opponents at 85.4.
- The Sparks have been one of the league's better over teams at 55% and rank in the bottom three defensively with a 106.3 rating.
- These teams have split the first two meetings 1-1 in over/under record, averaging 186 combined PPG, with the Wings winning both games.
- Dallas is one of two teams ranked in the top five in both offensive and defensive rating and also held four of its last five opponents under 80 points before the break.
Sparks vs. Wings Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/17/26
Here are the top Sparks vs. Wings picks to target on Thursday, September 17. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Nneka Ogwumike and Paige Bueckers.
Sparks F Nneka Ogwumike vs. Wings: 16.5 Points
- Since announcing her looming retirement on August 19, Ogwumike has averaged 19.2 PPG across five games. She's averaging 17.2 PPG for the season.
- Ogwumike surpassed 16.5 points once in two meetings with the Wings this campaign.
- Before the break, she scored 23+ points in three straight games. The Sparks legend still ranks in the top 20 in minutes per game, averaging 31.0 for the year.
- Ogwumike remains a potent scorer at multiple areas of the floor, shooting 73.7% at the rim, 52.9% in floater range (3-10 feet), and 39.4% from deep.
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Wings G Paige Bueckers vs. Sparks: 6 Assists
- Bueckers returns to the Wings after playing a key role in Team USA's fifth consecutive FIBA World Cup gold medal. The second-year guard ranks eighth among all players by averaging 5.92 assists per game.
- She was finding teammates at an even higher clip before the league break, averaging 6.4 APG over her last five contests, including an 11-assist outing on August 25.
- Bueckers has had two of her most complete performances of the season against the Sparks, averaging 21.5 PPG and 9.5 APG in those matchups, including a career-high 14-assist effort back in June.
- According to databallr, Bueckers' 25.5% usage rate and 2.78 assist-to-turnover ratio slot into the respective 88th and 93rd percentiles.
Add Paige Bueckers to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Even with nothing left to play for, expect the Sparks to keep competing in the final games of their franchise legend's storied career. The Wings, meanwhile, will look to pick up where they left off before the break.
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