Saturday means an ABC doubleheader of NBA games, and the first one could have significant playoff implications in the Western Conference.
An afternoon bout between the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder tips off at 3:30 p.m. ET. With both teams looking to snap out of some middling stretches of play, the weekend clash can’t arrive soon enough.
Below, we’ll break down our Rockets vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Saturday’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Just last season, the Thunder made a statement by ripping off 68 wins and emerging as NBA Finals champs. This year, they experienced an amazing 24-1 start but are 16-11 since.
Houston, on the other hand, is coming off a 52-30 campaign and is pacing to narrowly get over the 50-win mark once again in 2026. The acquisition of future Hall of Fame F Kevin Durant has partially been offset by injuries and team inconsistency.
As Durant takes on the team that drafted him, he’s doing so at a bit of a deficit. Oklahoma City leads the all-time series 126-119, including back-to-back wins to open this season’s matchups.
Rockets vs. Thunder Over/Under, Spread
The Rockets enter Saturday’s game as 1.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2.12x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Thunder are home favorites with a 1.66x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5
- Over/Under: 212.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rockets 2.12x | Thunder 1.66x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Rockets vs. Thunder Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Rockets vs. Thunder injury report for Saturday, via NBA.com.
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- C Steven Adams (ankle): OUT
- F Jae’Sean Tate (wrist): OUT
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal): OUT
- PG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal): OUT
- F-G Jalen Williams (hamstring): OUT
Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Rockets vs. Thunder prediction on Saturday, February 7.
- Houston is one of just two NBA teams to boast a perfect against-the-spread record as road underdogs, sitting 4-0 on the year. Oklahoma City is an even 13-13 ATS as a home favorite.
- Despite taking the second-fewest 3-pointers per night (30.3), the Rockets make them at the seventh-highest team clip (36.8%).
- Defensively, head coach Ime Udoka’s crew is second in limiting assists (24.5 per game) and holds foes to the fifth-lowest shooting percentage (45.9).
- Although the Thunder boast the NBA’s best offense (120.2 PPG), not having reigning MVP Gilgeous-Alexander could put a massive dent in the punch they pack.
- OKC’s defense is 26th in 3-point efficiency (37.2%), a direct weakness compared to the Rockets’ perceived strength on paper.
Rockets vs. Thunder Picks for PrizePicks Today: Saturday, February 7
Here are three top Rockets vs. Thunder picks to target for Saturday, February 7 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F Kevin Durant, PG Amen Thompson, and C-PF Chet Holmgren.
Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Thunder Projection: 24.5 Points
- Durant pours in an even 26.0 PPG on the year. This calendar year, that number is up to 26.8.
- The longtime Thunder standout hoists at least 18 shots per outing with a true shooting percentage above 62.0, the fifth year in a row he’s done so.
- The Slim Reaper takes a career-best 32.0% of his shots from 10-16 feet, converting them at an eye-popping 52.8% clip.
- KD’s .315 3-point attempt rate is the fifth-highest threshold in his near-two-decade NBA tenure.
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Rockets PG Amen Thompson vs. Thunder Projection: 26.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Thompson continues to fill up the stat sheet in year No. 3, bringing home 30.9 combined points, rebounds, and assists per night.
- Despite his true shooting percentage dropping to a career-low 56.5, Thompson receives more opportunities to impact games thanks to a 20.5% usage rate.
- The brother of Detroit Pistons F Ausar Thompson owns a healthy 11.3% rebounding rate through 50 games.
- Per NBARAPM, the former No. 4 overall pick spends 31% of his time on the ball and produces 18.5 assist points per 100 possessions.
Thunder C-PF Chet Holmgren vs. Rockets Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs
- Holmgren is enjoying an All-Star campaign, setting career-highs in points (17.7) and rebounds (8.6) per game while owning a sparkling 56.6 field goal percentage.
- According to databallr, Holmgren’s 22.4 shots per 100 and +7.4% relative true shooting percentage are in the 85th and 75th percentiles, respectively.
- Per NBA Advanced Stats, among players averaging 25+ minutes, Holmgren is 20th in nightly rebounding chances (15.6).
- In his fourth season (third active one), Holmgren’s 15.9% total rebounding rate is a personal best.
Make Rockets vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
Rockets vs. Thunder picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your Saturday NBA picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
