The Los Angeles Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football puts a cap on the NFL Week 17 slate tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
There is no path for the Rams to win the NFC West, but they could move up from the sixth to the fifth seed — the difference in playing the Eagles or the NFC South champions in the Wild Card.
The Falcons are eliminated from playoff contention, but they have won two straight and could play spoiler in this game.
Below, we'll break down our Rams vs. Falcons player predictions for this Monday Night Football matchup. Use PrizePicks NFL to keep track of player projections — including Rams QB Matthew Stafford and Falcons RB Bijan Robinson — and make picks for real money if you’re correct
Rams vs. Falcons Prediction, Over/Under, Spread for Monday Night Football
The Rams and Falcons meet for the 82nd time, with Los Angeles holding a 49-30 advantage, along with two ties.
The Rams come into Monday Night Football as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.92x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they cover and a 1.26x payout to win outright.
Despite coming in as a touchdown favorite here. Rams QB Matthew Stafford is 2-5 career vs. Kirk Cousins, who will start for the Falcons tonight. Both QBs have long histories in the NFL, in their age 37 seasons.
The Falcons are the underdog, with a 1.81x payout if they cover the 7.5-point spread, and 3.57x payout to win outright.
- Spread: Rams -7.5
- Over/Under: 48.5 (1.72x on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Rams 1.236x | Falcons 3.57x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Rams vs. Falcons Prediction on Spread for Monday Night Football
Here are some stats to help you prepare make a Rams vs. Falcons prediction on the spread on PrizePicks Team Picks tonight.
- The Rams’ 73.3% (11-4) cover rate is the highest in the league.
- Los Angeles has covered the spread following each of their three previous losses. They are coming off a defeat to the Seahawks in Week 16.
- The Rams are 4-1 ATS (against the spread) as away favorites.
- Atlanta has a record of 2-4 ATS at home.
- The Falcons have not covered in three straight home games.
- The Rams are No. 2 ranked in our Super Bowl favorites article.
Rams vs. Falcons Picks for Monday Night Football on PrizePicks
Here are our top Rams vs. Falcons picks for this Monday Night Football matchup on PrizePicks; all player projections via the PrizePicks board.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford Projections vs. Falcons: 269.5 Passing Yards
- Stafford has thrown for more than 269 yards in 9 of 15 games this season, including three straight.
- The former No. 1 overall pick ranks second in the league with 4,179 passing yards.
- The former Lions quarterback leads the league with a 53.6% passing success rate.
- The Falcons rank 19th in opponents' passing success rate (47.3%).
- According to Pro Football Focus, Stafford has the most passing yards on play action (1,666) and the highest passing grade (92.6).
- The Falcons' defense ranks 22nd in EPA per pass on play action (0.12), per NFL Pro.
Falcons RB Bijan Robinson Projection vs. Rams: 122.5 Rush+Rec Yards
- Robinson is second among running backs with 776 receiving yards and fifth with 1,250 rushing yards.
- The Rams have allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to running backs (552).
- Los Angeles is allowing the seventh-highest yards per carry before contact (1.2).
- The former Texas running back ranks sixth in total yards before contact (661).
- According to PFF, 49.4% of the former first-rounder’s targets are from behind the line of scrimmage.
- LAR ranks 24th in yards allowed per play from passes behind the line of scrimmage (6.4), per NFL Pro.
Rams WR Puka Nacua Projections vs. Falcons: 108.5 Receiving Yards
- The former BYU receiver is second in the league with 1,592 receiving yards.
- Nacua finished with 225 receiving yards in the 38-37 Week 16 loss to the Seahawks — the most for a Rams receiver since 2020.
- The Rams' second-leading wide receiver, Davante Adams, missed Week 16 due to a hamstring injury and is listed as doubtful for the Week 17 matchup against the Falcons.
- Atlanta has allowed a 100+ yard receiver in three of their last six games, including two with more than 130 receiving yards.
- The Falcons rank 27th in yards per target against wide receivers.
Make Monday Night Football Picks on PrizePicks
The Rams' playoff seeding is on the line in their next two games, while the Falcons want to play spoiler, as their season ends after next week.
Both QBs in this Monday Night game have had long careers, as both Stafford — the likely MVP — and Cousins are 37-years-old, which makes for an exciting matchup.
On Monday Night Football, you can make your picks on PrizePicks and earn real money. Just pick your players — including Matthew Stafford and Bijan Robinson — predict More or Less on projections, and cash in if your picks are correct. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
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