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Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread for Big Ten Championship – 3/15/26

Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg smiles as he celebrates a win vs. UCLA.
AP Photo/Lon Horwedel

The Big Ten Tournament wraps up on Sunday, March 15, as Michigan (31-2) takes on Purdue (26-8) in the title game. The Wolverines will attempt to be crowned Big Ten Tournament champions for the second consecutive season as 6.5-point favorites, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Let’s take a closer look at a Purdue vs. Michigan prediction on the spread for the Big Ten Tournament Championship at the United Center in Chicago, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks in the Big Ten Tournament and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Wolverines have been the class of the Big Ten throughout the 2025-26 season. Meanwhile, the Boilermakers have been inconsistent in stretches but are getting hot at the right time.

Michigan recorded a 91-80 win vs. Purdue on February 17 in West Lafayette, where the Wolverines were 2.5-point favorites. In that victory, Michigan held Purdue to just a 31% (8-of-26) shooting performance from 3-point land.

The Wolverines have enjoyed recent success in the series, going 3-0 against the spread over the last three meetings. Michigan has won all three of those meetings outright, too.


Purdue vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under

The Wolverines enter this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, per PrizePicks Team Picks.

The over/under carries a 149.5 total, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.

  • Spread: Michigan Wolverines -6.5 (2x payout)
  • Over/Under: 149.5 (1.81x payout)
  • Game Winner Payout: Purdue 3.33x | Michigan 1.35x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

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Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread for Big Ten Championship – 3/15/26

Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Purdue vs. Michigan prediction against the spread for the Big Ten Tournament Championship on Sunday, March 15, on PrizePicks.

  • Michigan edged out Wisconsin 68-65 in the final seconds of Saturday’s semifinal matchup in the Big Ten Tournament. Meanwhile, Purdue was able to outlast UCLA in a 73-66 victory in the other Big Ten Tournament semifinal showdown.
  • The Wolverines have a 14-18 against-the-spread record as a favorite, producing a 43.8% cover rate.
  • Purdue is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games, including 1-2 ATS in the Big Ten Tournament.
  • The Wolverines shot 57.0% (13-of-23) from beyond the arc in their win vs. the Boilermakers last month. Big Ten Player of the Year Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg connected on 3 of his 7 3-point attempts in a 13-point showing.
  • According to Bart Torvik, Michigan holds the top adjusted defensive efficiency rating (90.5) in the nation.
  • Michigan shoots 61.1% on 2-point field goal attempts this season, ranking third in the country.
  • Purdue allows its opponents to shoot 34.3% from deep, ranking 14th in the Big Ten on the year. Michigan, on the other hand, cashes in 36.4% of its shots from beyond the arc (third in the Big Ten).
  • The Wolverines possess a +18.8 scoring differential this season, first in the Big Ten.

Make Purdue vs. Michigan Picks on PrizePicks

The Big Ten Tournament Championship pits the No. 1 seed Michigan vs. the No. 7 seed Purdue on Sunday afternoon. The Wolverines will be looking to win a Big Ten Tournament title for the second consecutive season, while the Boilermakers will aim to earn the honor for their second time in four seasons.

You can make your Purdue vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more college basketball predictions, picks, and news every day.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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