QB Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will take on Commanders QB Marcus Mariota — with starting QB Jayden Daniels out — on Monday Night Football tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Mahomes sat out the whole fourth quarter in Week 7 against the Raiders, as the Chiefs were giving Las Vegas a brutal beat down, 31-0. Mahomes threw for three TDs and no INTs, continuing on an MVP pace in 2025, with two of those TDs going to WR Rashee Rice in his return from suspension.
Now, Mahomes will face the Commanders in a home MNF game, where he was averaging 269 yards.
Below, we'll give you Patrick Mahomes’ stats, picks and projections for Monday Night Football tonight vs. the Commanders. We'll give you a top Mahomes pick on PrizePicks tonight, where you can win real money if your picks are right.
Patrick Mahomes Stats, Pick for Monday Night Football
Whether you think Mahomes is the GOAT or not, it’s hard to deny his MVP level play this season as we reach the midway point. He already has two NFL league MVPs and three Super Bowl MVPs to his name. He's the MVP frontrunner again. The legacy and comparisons to QB Tom Brady will only continue to grow as does the chiefs franchise.
Let's get into Mahomes stats vs. Commanders and best Monday Night Football pick for PrizePicks tonight.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Projection: 34.5 Pass Attempts
- Mahomes ranks third in the NFL in dropbacks, per PFF, with 293. He's sixth in attempts.
- Mahomes has thrown over 34.5 pass attempts in five of seven games played this season, while averaging 35.4 pass attempts on the year.
- Mahomes averages 40.5 pass attempts and 287 yards per game in 13 career Monday Night Football games.
- In the past four games, the Chiefs have scored at least 28 points. The Colts as the only other team currently with that feat.
- Mahomes has spread the ball out to 11 different players this season while maintaining a 66.1% completion percentage — ranked 16th among quarterbacks.
- The Commanders are vulnerable vs. play action, which plays right into this Chiefs' offense that already struggles to run the ball. The Commanders have given up the 26th most pass yards on play-action passes, while Mahomes has put up the seventh-most, per PFF.
- Mahomes now has the most regular season wins (93) before turning 30 years old, passing QB Peyton Manning’s 92 wins.
More Patrick Mahomes Projections vs. Commanders on Monday Night Football
Patrick Mahomes stat projections vs. the Commanders are now live on the PrizePicks NFL board for MNF. PrizePicks is one of the best ways to play for real cash during MNF — just pick More or Less and win if your picks are right.
Check out Mahomes' top projections for tonight’s showdown vs. the Commanders, via PrizePicks.
- 276.5 Pass Yards
- 1.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
- 301.5 Pass+Rush Yds
- 22.5 Pass Completions
- 0.5 INTs (Demon)
- 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (Demon)
- 23.5 Rush Yards
- 8.5 Yards on First Pass Completion
- 38.5 Yards Longest Completion
- 12.5 Longest Rush
- 4.5 Rush Attempts
- 23 Fantasy Score
Make Monday Night Football Picks on PrizePicks
Also known for his State Farm commercials, Mahomes decided to bring his acting career to the football field using it to convert on fourth down last week against the Raiders. Maybe he will bring the trickery back this week against the Washington Commanders defensive-minded head coach Dan Quinn.
Make your Monday Night Football picks for Commanders vs. Chiefs on PrizePicks and lock in More or Less on your picks for your favorite players. If you’re right, you can turn your football knowledge into real money.
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