The Big Ten Tournament rolls on this Friday, and the action kicks off with a potential heater of a game between Ohio State and Michigan.
Entering the tourney as a No. 8 seed, the Buckeyes have already taken down one opponent. With the Wolverines having earned consecutive byes as the top-seeded Big Ten team, they’re getting their due respect as 12.5-point favorites. Tip-off for this clash is set for 12:00 p.m. ET on BTN.
Below, we’ll break down our Ohio State vs. Michigan prediction on spread for Friday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Ohio State vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
It’s been an interesting season for Ohio State, which has improved from 17-15 to 21-11 in head coach Jake Diebler’s second season. The Buckeyes have ripped off four wins in a row, including a 72-69 triumph over Iowa in their Big Ten Tournament debut for the season.
Michigan, meanwhile, is having its best year in program history. Head coach Dusty May’s squad is 29-2, owning just a single conference loss all season long. Ranked third in the nation, this is a program with legitimate championship aspirations.
Since 1949, OSU and Michigan have met 139 times. The Buckeyes own a commanding 80-59 series lead, but the Wolverines won both matchups earlier this season by a combined 33 points.
Ohio State vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under
Ohio State enters Friday’s game as 12.5-point underdogs, returning a 6.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Michigan is a heavy favorite with a 1.09x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines -12.5
- Over/Under: 153.5
- Game Winner Payout: Buckeyes 6.66x | Wolverines 1.09x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Ohio State vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread – 3/13/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Ohio State vs. Michigan prediction on spread for Friday, March 13 on PrizePicks.
- As a favorite this season, Michigan is 14-16 against the spread. Serving in the underdog role, Ohio State is 7-5 ATS.
- According to KenPom, UMich is a top-five team in both offensive rating (128.4, fourth) and defensive rating (89.32, third) while also sitting second overall in net rating (+39.26). OSU is stronger than many expect, ranking 26th in net rating at +21.86.
- The Buckeyes’ ability to generate quality looks on offense could keep them around in this one. They post a tidy 56.9% effective field goal clip, good for 16th nationally.
- According to Bart Torvik, Ohio State’s 125.6 adjusted offensive efficiency is 12th in the country, and they’re 49th on the defensive end at 102.4.
- OSU G Bruce Thornton averages 20.2 points per game and has the highest offensive rating (138.2) of any major rotation player in this clash.
- Don’t get it twisted: Michigan is the better team here. A crew doesn’t rank first in points per shot on defense (0.962) and fifth on offense (1.236) by accident.
- It’s more so that Ohio State is prepared for gritty games against conference foes. Their strength of schedule net rating of +12.77 is 26th among 365 teams.
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