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Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks, Spread for Sunday, April 12

Spurs PG De'Aaron Fox brings the ball upcourt vs. the Warriors.
AP Photo/Eric Gay

The Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs game is slated to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 12, televised by ESPN, with the Spurs entering as 11.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.

The Nuggets are currently the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference but are resting the majority of their key players against the Spurs. Meanwhile, the Spurs are locked into the No. 2 seed in the West and could also sideline a few of their top stars.

Below, we'll break down our Nuggets vs. Spurs prediction and picks for Sunday's NBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your picks for Nuggets vs. Spurs on PrizePicks now.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, April 12

The Spurs have been on fire over the past month, winning 14 of their last 15 games. Most recently, San Antonio came away with a 139-120 win against the Dallas Mavericks on Friday to keep its positive momentum going as the postseason draws near.

The Spurs could choose to rest the likes of C Victor Wembanyama, G Stephon Castle, and SF Devin Vassell, all three of whom are listed as questionable for Sunday’s game. Wembanyama did play 26 minutes against the Mavericks, meaning that he’s now eligible for all postseason awards.

If Denver loses against San Antonio and the Los Angeles Lakers beat the Utah Jazz, the Lakers would leapfrog the Nuggets for the No. 3 seed. If that happens, the Nuggets could face the No. 5 seed Houston Rockets in the opening round.


Nuggets vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, April 12

The Spurs enter Sunday’s game as 11.5-point home favorites against the Nuggets, returning a 1.17x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Nuggets vs. Spurs game on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: Spurs -11.5 (1.92x payout)
  • Over/Under: 232.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Nuggets - 4.54x | Spurs - 1.17x

Play the Nuggets vs. Spurs spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Nuggets vs. Spurs Injury Report for Sunday, April 12

Let’s dive into the full Nuggets vs. Spurs injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • SG Christian Braun (ankle/hip): OUT
  • F Aaron Gordon (hamstring): OUT
  • G Tim Hardaway Jr. (knee): OUT
  • F Cameron Johnson (ankle): OUT
  • C Nikola Jokic (wrist): Questionable
  • F Spencer Jones (hamstring): OUT
  • PG Jamal Murray (shoulder): OUT
  • F Peyton Watson (hamstring): OUT

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • G Stephon Castle (foot): Questionable
  • C Luke Kornet (shoulder): OUT
  • SF Devin Vassell (ribs): Questionable
  • C Victor Wembanyama (ribs): Questionable

Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread – 4/12/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Nuggets vs. Spurs prediction on the spread for Sunday, April 12.

Lock in your Nuggets vs. Spurs prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.

  • The Spurs are 20-16-1 against the spread as a home favorite, producing a 55.6% cover rate.
  • The Nuggets are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • San Antonio defends the perimeter extremely well, holding its opponents to 35.2% shooting on 3-pointers (seventh).
  • The Spurs have thrived on the glass, averaging 47.0 rebounds per contest (second). According to NBA Advanced Stats, San Antonio ranks 10th in offensive rebounding percentage (30.6%).
  • The Nuggets will be missing at least 93.9 PPG from several key players who are ruled out. There’s also a possibility that C Nikola Jokic could sit out Sunday’s game.
  • The Spurs take great care of the basketball, committing just 12.7 turnovers per game (fourth-fewest).

Nuggets vs. Spurs Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/12/26

Here are the top Nuggets vs. Spurs picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, April 12. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include De’Aaron Fox and Julian Strawther.

Spurs PG De’Aaron Fox vs. Nuggets Projection: 24.5 Pts + Asts

  • Fox averaged a combined 20.9 points and assists over his last 10 games.
  • The Spurs PG posted 18.7 points and 8.3 assists in three games vs. the Nuggets during the 2025-26 season.
  • According to databallr, Fox tallies 17.4 potential assists per 100 possessions, which ranks in the 74th percentile.
  • Fox sits third on the team in usage rate (25.0%), behind Victor Wembanyama (33.6%) and Stephon Castle (25.4%), per Add More Funds.

Add De'Aaron Fox to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Nuggets G Julian Strawther vs. Spurs Projection: 14.5 Points

  • Strawther scored 22 points on 8-of-17 shooting in 34 minutes vs. the Thunder on Friday.
  • The Nuggets guard connected on 16 of 28 shots (57.1%) over his last three games, while finishing in double figures in all three of those contests.
  • In games where he logged at least 25 minutes, Strawther has scored at least 15 points in seven of those eight contests.
  • According to databallr, Strawther registers 19.1 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, which ranked in the 67th percentile.

Add Julian Strawther to your PrizePicks Lineup now.


Make Nuggets vs. Spurs Picks on PrizePicks

The Nuggets will be severely shorthanded as they plan to rest a long list of key players in this regular-season finale. As a result, the Spurs may have a chance to end the regular season on a high note on Sunday.

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Nuggets vs. Spurs picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

​Stay locked in on Playbook for daily NBA predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 NBA Finals.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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