Tuesday is an action-packed day in the hoops world, as a whopping 14 matchups mean 28 of 30 teams will play at some point in the night.
A mid-window bout between the Nuggets (21-7) and Mavericks (11-19) sees two Western Conference foes go head-to-head. With both clubs’ seasons going in opposite directions so far, Tuesday presents a chance to either keep the momentum rolling or start to turn the tide.
Below, we’ll break down a Nuggets vs. Mavericks prediction and picks to consider for Tuesday night’s game. Use PrizePicks NBA to make player picks and win money if you’re right.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Tuesday marks the 195th all-time meeting between the Nuggets and Mavericks in the regular season. Dallas, the host, boasts a narrow 99-95 series advantage.
As far as injuries go, Denver will be without PF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) and G-F Christian Braun (ankle). Dallas has C Dereck Lively II out for the year with a foot injury, as well as PG Kyrie Irving (knee) still having yet to make his season debut. SG Max Christie (illness) is day-to-day.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Over/Under, Spread
The Nuggets enter Tuesday’s game as 7.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.35x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Mavericks are home underdogs with a 3.03x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Denver Nuggets -7.5
- Over/Under: 235.5
- Game Winner Payout: Nuggets 1.35x | Mavericks 3.03x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Nuggets vs. Mavericks.
- Thus far in the season, the Nuggets are 17-11 against the spread, the fifth-best clip (60.7%) in the NBA. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are 14-16.
- No team scores more points per game than Denver at 125.1, and their +9.1 average scoring margin is second.
- A middle-of-the-pack defense (15th in scoring, 15th in field goals per game) has the Nuggets staying well above water.
- They’ve put a horrible start to the season behind them, but the Mavericks’ offense is still very poor. It sits 15th in per-game scoring (113.0 points) and 28th in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.598).
- Defensively, Dallas holds the No. 6 rating thanks to the lowest opposing 3-point percentage (32.5) and second-lowest effective field goal clip (51.8%).
Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three top Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks to target on Tuesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by C Nikola Jokic, PG Jamal Murray, and F Cooper Flagg.
Nuggets C Nikola Jokic vs. Mavericks Projection: 42.5 Pts + Rebs
- Jokic averages a combined 41 points and rebounds per game in 2025. In his last seven outings, he’s topped 30 points three times and logged double-digit boards four times.
- The three-time NBA MVP leads the sport in PER (34.9) and true shooting percentage (71.1), both career-high marks.
- Among players with 10+ games this year, Jokic ranks fifth in rebounding chances per game at 19.9.
- The Mavericks rank dead last in rebounds given up (58.6) and points in the paint yielded (56.7) per game.
Nuggets PG Jamal Murray vs. Mavericks Projection: 31.5 Pts + Asts
- In year 10 with the Nuggets, Murray is posting career-best averages for points (24.9) and assists (6.6), making an All-Star push in the process.
- Dating back to his 52-point explosion on Dec. 3, the Kentucky product is averaging a combined 35.1 points and assists.
- According to databallr, Murray’s 27 shots per 100 and 17.3 potential assists per 100 put him in the 95th and 98th percentiles, respectively.
- Per FantasyPros, the Mavericks allow the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing PGs at 52.01.
Mavericks F Cooper Flagg vs. Nuggets Projection: 29.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Through 29 games, Flagg posts 28.6 points, rebounds, and assists a night. In the month of December, that number spikes to 33.
- Despite canning just 24.2% of his 3-pointers, Flagg makes up for it by being efficient at the rim (77.5%) and in the intermediate midrange area (53.3% from 10-16 feet).
- The No. 1 overall pick’s 13.3% defensive rebounding rate is an 89th-percentile figure.
- Flagg nets 2.0 potential assists per minute on-ball, according to NBARAPM.
Make Nuggets vs. Mavericks Picks on PrizePicks
Nuggets vs. Mavericks isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. With PrizePicks, you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right.
Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit.
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