Norway vs. France Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup 2026

EDITOR'S NOTE: Norway is operating with its team B for Friday's match, meaning Haaland and Ødegaard will be on the bench.

The original article, in its entirety, resumes below.

Norway and France are squaring off in both teams’ final group stage match on Friday, June 26, at 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX and in Spanish on Telemundo and FOX One. The match is at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. Ahead of kick-off, France enters as the favorite with a 1.51x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

The winner of today’s match will finish atop Group I and play a third-place qualifier on June 30 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The loser will finish as runner-up in the group and play on June 30 vs. the Ivory Coast in Arlington, Texas. A draw would result in France winning the group. 

Below, we’ll break down our Norway vs. France prediction and picks for Friday’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Norway vs. France prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

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Norway vs. France World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, June 26

How to watch Norway vs. France: FOX (English) | Telemundo and FOX One (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

Group: Group I 

With both clubs moving on to the knockout round, Friday's winner will face a third-place qualifier on Germany’s side of the bracket, while the loser will play the Ivory Coast on Brazil’s side of the 32-team bracket.

It’s a matchup of two high-flying offenses, as France is averaging 2.0 expected goals per match, while Norway has scored 5 goals through 2 games with Erling Haaland accounting for 4 of them. However, projected lineups have Haaland out for this showdown with both teams having already advanced.

Per FIFA’s post-match reports, Norway has created 10 big chances through 2 matches, the most of any team in Group I and already more than they produced during their entire previous World Cup appearance in 1998 (9).

Norway vs. France: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Friday, June 26

France enters Friday's match as the favorite, returning a 1.51x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Norway will aim to stop France's high-flying offense.

Here are the full payouts for the Norway vs. France match on PrizePicks.

• Winner Payout: France – 1.51x | Tie – 4x | Norway – 4.54x
• Spread: France -1.5 (2.56x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.53x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.61x | No 2.22x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your Norway vs. France prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Norway vs. France Prediction on Winner for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for Norway vs. France before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• These teams have met 16 times, with France winning 7 of them, Norway 5, and 4 draws. This is the first clash between the two at the World Cup.  
• France ranks fifth with 38.0 ball progressions per match, highlighting how consistently they move possession into dangerous attacking areas.
• The expected power matchups between Mbappé and Haaland may not materialize. How big of a difference is this? According to the BBC, since August 2022, Norway have won 64.5% of matches with Haaland in the lineup but just 33.3% without him.
• Norway has just 1 goal in the entire World Cup that didn't come off Haaland’s boot. Marcus Holmgren Pedersen scored the first goal vs. Senegal on Matchday 2. 
• France’s expected goal difference (xG) is 3.3, seventh among all teams. Norway, with Haaland in the lineup has a 2.2 mark that's ranked 16th, per FotMob.
• France won the 2018 World Cup and were runners-up in 2022. Overall, Les Bleus have won 13 of the past 16 World Cup matchups, with a pair of draws and one loss, which was in the final to Argentina in 2022. 

Lock in your Norway vs. France prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

Norway vs. France Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Friday, June 26

Here are the projected Norway vs. France lineups for Friday’s World Cup group stage match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

France Lineup vs. Norway Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
• Defense: Jules Koundé, Maxence Lacroix, Dayot Upamecano, Theo Hernandez
• Defensive Midfield: Kouadio Kone, Aurelien Tchouaméni
• Attacking Midfield: Michael Olise, Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué
• Forwards: Kylian Mbappé

Norway Lineup vs. France Today

Projected Formation: 4-3-3

• Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
• Defense: Marcus Pedersen, Kristoffer Ajer, Leo Østigard, Fredrik André Bjørkan
• Midfield: Patrick Berg, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard
• Forwards: Oscar Bobb, Jørgen Strand Larsen, Andreas Schjelderup

Norway vs. France Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/26/26

Here are the top Norway vs. France player picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, June 26. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Alexander Sørloth and Kylian Mbappé.

Norway F Alexander Sørloth vs. France

Alexander Sørloth Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots (Demon), 0.5 Goals (Demon), 0.5 Assists (Demon)

• Forward Alexander Sørloth has 2 shots (none on target) through 2 games of the World Cup. 
• During UEFA World Cup qualifying, Sørloth had 5 goals in the 8 matches, the second most on the squad behind Haaland. He didn't score in the four friendlies but did have 6 shots.
• According to Footy Stats, Sørloth averaged 3.10 shots taken per 90 minutes for Atlético Madrid in 2025-26, which ranked in the 95th percentile.

Combine Norway + Alexander Sørloth World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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France F Kylian Mbappé vs. Norway

Kylian Mbappé Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals, 33.5 Passes Attempted, 2.5 Shots (Goblin), 25.5 Fantasy Score

• France superstar Kylian Mbappé has 2 goals in each of the team’s matches so far, with 12 total shots and 7 shots on target.  
• Mbappé’s 2.01 goals per 90 minutes and 3.5 shots on target per 90 minutes both rank third among all players.
• During UEFA World Cup qualifying, Mbappé scored in all four games, with 5 total goals and 29 total shots, with 10 each in the final two matches. 
• Mbappé averaged 4.94 shots per 90 minutes for Real Madrid in 2025-26, which ranked in the 99th percentile and led La Liga.

Combine France + Kylian Mbappé World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Your Norway vs. France Prediction for World Cup on PrizePicks

Who will end up at the top of the Group I table? Norway and France put their undefeated records on the line to decide the group. Will we see a superstar matchup of Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland, or will Norway play it safe having already advanced?

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Norway vs. France picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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