NBA Finals Game 4 Prediction on Spread for Spurs vs. Knicks – 6/10/26

June 10, 2026

NBA
AP Photo/Frank Franklin II

The San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks NBA Finals Game 4 is set to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 10, with the Knicks entering as 2.5-point favorites on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread.

After losing the first two games of the NBA Finals at home, the Spurs responded with a four-point win at Madison Square Garden in Game 3. The Spurs’ victory ended the Knicks 13-game winning streak and prevented them from falling into a 3-0 hole. 

The Knicks can still take a commanding 3-1 series lead back to San Antonio with a Game 4 home triumph and get within one win of their first championship since 1973.

Below, we’ll break down our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction and picks for Wednesday’s NBA Finals Game 4, including the spread for PrizePicks.

Make your Spurs vs. Knicks picks on PrizePicks now on tonight’s NBA game.

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Spurs vs. Knicks Spread, Over/Under for NBA Finals Game 4 – Wednesday, June 10

One game after committing a late turnover that cost the Spurs a potential Game 2 win, C Victor Wembanyama carried his team to its first victory in the 2026 NBA Finals with 32 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. 

No team in NBA Finals history has come back from losing the first two games at home, but that didn’t seem to bother a Spurs team that got back to the ways that got them here. They shot 46% from the field, 35% from 3, and committed only 8 turnovers.

G Stephon Castle added 23 points as he and Wembanyama became the youngest duo (by average age) in NBA history to score 20+ points each in a Finals game, per ESPN Insights.

San Antonio finished with a 28-18 assist advantage, committed 5 fewer turnovers, and capitalized while New York opened the fourth quarter 0-for-9 from beyond the arc.

The Knicks just did something they hadn't experienced in 46 days… lose a game. They missed 22 of their 37 attempts from deep and were outscored 25-18 at the free throw line.

PG Jalen Brunson added 32 points and PF OG Anunoby had his best Finals game with 28, but the supporting tandem of C Karl-Anthony Towns and SF Mikal Bridges was held to 13 total points. 

Spurs vs. Knicks Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Wednesday, June 10

The Knicks enter Wednesday’s game as 2.5-point favorites against the Spurs, returning a 1.75x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for Spurs vs. Knicks on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: New York Knicks -2.5 (1.81x)
  • Over/Under: 216.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Spurs 2x | Knicks 1.75x
Play the Spurs vs. Knicks spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks Timeline

Here is the full Spurs vs. Knicks timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Spurs, 65-50

Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1

Postseason: Knicks, 2-1

Spurs vs. Knicks NBA Finals Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs

  • Game 1: Knicks, 105-95
  • Game 2: Knicks, 105-104
  • Game 3: Spurs, 115-111
  • Game 4: Wednesday, June 10, 8:30 p.m. at New York
  • Game 5: Saturday, June 13, 8:30 p.m. at San Antonio
  • Game 6-7 are if necessary

Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction on Spread for Game 4 - 6/10/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction on the spread for Wednesday, June 10.

Lock in your Spurs vs. Knicks prediction on PrizePicks.
  • The Knicks’ Game 3 loss was also only the team’s second non-cover in the last 14 outings (12-2). New York’s 13-4 ATS record in the postseason is still the best of any team. 
  • The Knicks are covering by an average of 13.7 points. The next closest mark was 5.1 by Toronto. By comparison, the Spurs are at +4.1.
  • New York leads all postseason teams in the following categories: PPG (117.6), FG% (49.9), offensive rating (121.1), defensive rating (104.2), and eFG% (57.5%).
  • The Spurs have 59 covers, the most of any team in the NBA. In the postseason, they're 13-8 ATS, including a 3-2 record as an underdog.
  • San Antonio’s offense recorded a 123.8 rating in Game 3 on Monday, its second-highest mark of the postseason and the highest the Knicks have allowed. 
  • The Spurs are 11-2-2 winning the first quarter since losing Game 1 to Minnesota in the conference semifinals, including winning the first quarter of Game 7 in Oklahoma City and all three games of the NBA Finals. They average 31.4 PPG in the opening frame, second-best in the NBA.
  • One of the most significant differences between Game 3 and the first two games was the third quarter. In the first two games, the Knicks came out of the half and won by 7 and 5 points, respectively. In Game 3, the Spurs put up 35 points in Q3 and won by 8.

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Make Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks

Will the Spurs even the series and take back home court with a second straight win in New York, or will the Knicks bounce back from their first loss since April and get within one victory of the NBA title?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Spurs vs. Knicks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.