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NBA Cheat Sheet Today: Pacers-Thunder Game 1 Picks – June 5, 2025

Pacers PF Pascal Siakam is a top Pacers vs. Thunder pick for NBA Finals Game 1 on PrizePicks in the NBA Cheat Sheet.
AP Photo/Michael Conroy

The Thunder and Pacers are set for Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night in Oklahoma City. Indiana knocked out New York in six games of the Eastern Conference Finals to reach its first NBA Finals since 2000.

Oklahoma City put together one of the best regular seasons in recent memory with a 68-14 record. The Thunder cruised past the Timberwolves in five games of the Western Conference Finals for their first NBA Finals appearance since 2012.

Tonight in the Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals Game 1 at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC, the Thunder seek their ninth playoff home win in 10 tries.

Below, we’ll give you the top Pacers vs. Thunder pick and projections to target for Thursday, June 5, including today’s top player picks on PrizePicks.

Lock in your NBA picks and projections on PrizePicks before tonight’s NBA Finals game at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. Simply pick More or Less on player stat projections — including on Pascal Siakam and Chet Holmgren — and get paid if your picks are correct. 

Get started on PrizePicks today to get $50 free after your first $5 Lineup.

NBA Cheat Sheet Today: Pacers vs. Thunder Picks

Here are the top Pacers vs. Thunder picks and projections to target for Game 1 in the NBA Finals today on PrizePicks. Click to read more about each pick. 

Pacers PF Pascal Siakam – 19.5 Points

NBA Finals Game 1 Pick - Pascal Siakam
  • Pacers PF Pascal Siakam stepped up in the Eastern Conference Finals, averaging 24.8 points per game against the Knicks to win series MVP.
  • Siakam posted three games of at least 30 points and three games of 17 points or less in the ECF.
  • In two regular season meetings with the Thunder, Siakam had mixed results. He scored 22 points in a December home loss, but was held to 11 points in a March road defeat.
  • In five of eight road playoff games, Siakam has scored 17 points or less.
  • In two road series openers against Cleveland and New York, Siakam scored 17 points apiece and was held to 2-of-7 shooting from 3-point range.
  • The Thunder is limiting opponents to 39.8% shooting from the floor at home in the playoffs to lead all teams.

Thunder PF Chet Holmgren – 26 Pts+Rebs

NBA Finals Game 1 Pick - Chet Holmgren
  • Thunder PF Chet Holmgren is averaging 16.4 points per game and 8.6 rebounds per game during the postseason.
  • Holmgren surpassed this projection in each of the final two games of the Western Conference Finals against Minnesota. In the Game 5 clincher, Holmgren posted 22 points and seven rebounds.
  • In five of seven games of the second round against Denver, Holmgren pulled down at least 10 rebounds. Against Minnesota, Holmgren failed to compile double-digit rebounds in any of the five games. 
  • Holmgren didn’t face the Pacers this season, but scored 15 points in each of the two matchups last season.
  • Holmgren has finished with less than 25 points and rebounds in two of three playoff series openers. 

Pacers PG T.J. McConnell – 10.5 Pts+Asts

NBA Finals Game 1 Pick - TJ McConnell
  • Pacers PG T.J. McConnell scored in double-digits in each of the first three games of the ECF. However, he posted seven points or less in each of the final three contests against the Knicks.
  • McConnell put up 10 points in each of the first two road games at New York. He was also held scoreless in two away games against Milwaukee and Cleveland in the first two rounds.
  • McConnell’s assist average has dipped through each of the first three rounds. After averaging 4.6 assists per game against Milwaukee, that number dropped to 4.2 against Cleveland. In the ECF, McConnell dished out 3.2 assists per game against New York.
  • In two matchups against the Thunder, McConnell eclipsed 11 points and assists each time. In the home meeting, McConnell scored 13 points and compiled three assists.
  • McConnell has shot well on the road in the playoffs, hitting at least 60% of his field goal attempts in four away contests.

Tyrese Haliburton Discount – 13.5 Points

NBA Finals Game 1 Pick - Tyrese Haliburton
  • Pacers PG Tyrese Haliburton's points projection is discounted from 17.5 points to 13.5 points for Game 1 only on PrizePicks.
  • This is a special Finals promotion for PrizePicks only. New to PrizePicks? Use code PLAYBOOK to get $50 free after your first $5 Lineup.
  • Haliburton has reached 14 points or more in 75% of Playoff games this season.

Cash in on Pacers vs. Thunder on Thursday

Indiana lost both regular season matchups with Oklahoma City. The Pacers look to pull off the upset in Game 1 on the road against the Thunder tonight. 

This game between the Pacers and Thunder also leaves us with some appealing picks to consider on PrizePicks.

There is a wide variety of player stat projections available, so you can build your Lineup however you’d like to win real money — with no salary or positional restrictions. Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the NBA Playoffs for more analysis for your PrizePicks and NBA DFS Lineups.

Get in the Game! Sign up for PrizePicks and win real money with your picks. Play $5 to get $50 free with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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