Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova will meet in the Wimbledon quarterfinals, giving us one of the more intriguing matchups on Tuesday, June 7 from Wimbledon. Osaka just knocked out world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, while Muchova defeated 2024 Wimbledon champion Barbora Krejcikova.
The Osaka vs. Muchiva winner will be a first-time Wimbledon semifinalist. Who will advance one step closer to the Wimbledon final?
Below, we’ll break down our Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick for the 2026 Wimbledon quarterfinal.
The match is slated to start at approximately 10:00 a.m. ET. Tuesday’s Wimbledon coverage is on ESPN, ESPN2, and the ESPN App.
Make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks for today’s matches now!
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Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova Favorite to Win Wimbledon Quarterfinals
Below are the payouts for who will win today’s Osaka vs. Muchova match, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Naomi Osaka: 1.72x to win
Karolina Muchova: 2x to win
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.
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Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Prediction – Tuesday, July 7
Match Winner Payouts: Osaka 1.72x | Muchova 2x
Tournament Round: Quarterfinals
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Osaka 16-7 | Muchova 29-8
Head-to-Head Record: Tied 3-3
Scheduled Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN2/ESPN App
Find more Wimbledon predictions for Tuesday, July 7 here!
Naomi Osaka made waves in the Wimbledon Round of 16 with a triumphant straight-sets win over Aryna Sabalenka, pushing her through to her first Wimbledon quarterfinal. It was Naomi’s first career win on Centre Court, too.
It’s Osaka’s biggest win since her return to the sport in 2024, and it broke a three-match losing streak to Sabalenka, all of which came this season.
Osaka is now the favorite to win Wimbledon, featuring a 4x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.
However, she now gets a tricky opponent in Karolina Muchova.
While this is Muchova’s third Wimbledon quarterfinal, she was bounced in the first round in four straight years before this year’s run.
Muchova’s coming off her own impressive win, defeating two-time major winner Barbora Krejcikova.
Osaka and Muchova have split their six head-to-heads, 3-3. Although Muchova won their only match this season on grass just last month, it’s difficult to read into it due to Osaka retiring with a foot injury. In 2025, Naomi defeated Karolina at the US Open and Australian Open.
Per Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, Muchova ranks higher on grass (sixth) than Osaka (13th). This doesn’t include either one’s play at this event, though, and Osaka’s win over Sabalenka, who’s ranked first on grass, will push her up the list.
In all, this looks like an even match between two women playing at a high level. That being said, it’s not often we see someone bully Sabalenka, so Osaka could have the edge.
Make your Osaka vs. Muchova Wimbledon prediction on PrizePicks now!
Osaka vs. Muchova Pick for Wimbledon Quarterfinals Today
Naomi Osaka Pick — 17 Fantasy Score
Note: In PrizePicks tennis fantasy scoring, players earn 10 points to start (match played), games won/lost are +1/-1, sets won/lost at +3/-3, aces are 0.5, while double faults count for -0.5.
Osaka hasn’t lost a set during this Wimbledon run, and she’s been broken on her serve just twice.
The Japanese No. 1 has scored 22-plus fantasy points in all eight of her grass wins this season. Her Wimbledon fantasy scores have been 25.5, 26, 26.5, and 24.5 points.
While Osaka’s retirement against Muchova in the Bad Homburg final can’t be completely written off because she was getting beaten badly, she exceeded 17 fantasy points in both wins over Muchova in 2025.
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Make Your Wimbledon Predictions Today on PrizePicks
Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova aren’t known for their play on grass, but both have found their game on the surface this year at the biggest stage on Wimbledon. Who will move to their first Wimbledon semifinal?
Don’t wait until today’s Wimbledon quarterfinal matches start — make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks now.
Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily Wimbledon predictions, tennis picks, and PrizePicks analysis throughout the tournament.
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