We have another banger of a College Basketball slate for us this Tuesday as we edge closer to the best part of the season. The best game of the bunch will be a Big Ten showdown when #1 Michigan (24-1) rolls into Mackey Arena to take on #7 Purdue (21-4).
Michigan vs. Purdue tips off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday from West Lafayette, IN., live on Peacock.
Below, we’ll break down our Michigan vs. Purdue prediction, picks, and spreadfor Tuesday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Michigan vs. Purdue Prediction, Picks, Spread
Michigan took control of the #1 spot in the AP Poll Rankings following Arizona’s tough home loss to Texas Tech on Saturday. The spot is well earned for this Wolverines team, as they sit 24-1 overall, including 14-1 in conference play and a perfect 8-0 on the road. Both KenPom and Bart Torvik have Michigan rated as the best team in the country right now, and they will have to be at their very best if they hope to get a win in Mackey Arena.
Purdue comes into tonight’s game on a four-game win streak and 21-4 overall. They’ve gone 11-3 in conference play and 11-2 at home this season, leaving them tied for third in the Big Ten standings. Their calling card this season has been their electric offense. According to Bart Torvik, they rank 19th nationally in 2-point field-goal percentage (58.7) and 23rd in 3-point percentage (37.8). They’ve also been one of the best teams in the country at protecting the rock, ranking 19th in turnover percentage at 13.9%.
Tonight’s matchup will pit college basketball’s top-rated defense in Michigan against the No. 2 rated offense in Purdue. If Michigan wins tonight, they will all but lock up the best record in the Big Ten this season, while a Purdue upset would go a long way in both Big Ten and March Madness seedings.
Michigan vs. Purdue Over/Under, Spread
The Wolverines enter Tuesday’s game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Boilermakers are home underdogs with a 2.08x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines -2.5 (1.96x payout)
- Over/Under: 156.5 (1.81x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Wolverines 1.69x | Boilermakers 2.08x
Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Michigan vs. Purdue State Prediction on Over/Under
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Michigan vs. Purdue prediction on the over/under on Tuesday, February 17.
- The under is 14-11-0 (56%) in Purdue games this season, the seventh-best record in the Big Ten.
- Michigan games have gone 15-10-0 (60%) to the under this year, the fourth-best mark in the Big Ten.
- While this is a significantly different Michigan team this season, it is a very similar Purdue team to last year, where both games had fewer than 156.5 points combined.
- Purdue is 331st nationally in free-throw rate with 28.7 attempts per game. It’ll be tough for them to manufacture easy points tonight.
- Both teams are ranked in the bottom half of college basketball in defensive turnover percentage, with Michigan at 184th and Purdue at 211th. This could be a game with many full possessions and few quick points off turnovers.
Michigan vs. Purdue Picks for PrizePicks Today: Tuesday, February 17
Here are two of the top Michigan vs. Purdue picks to target for Tuesday, February 17, on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F Yaxel Lendeborg and G Braden Smith
Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg vs. Purdue Projection: 25.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- Lendeborg is averaging 2.3 more points, 3.4 more rebounds, and .3 more assists per game on the road this season.
- Purdue’s defense is ranked 183rd in the country in 2-point field goal percentage allowed at 51.7%.
- On the road, Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 29.3 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game.
Purdue G Braden Smith vs. Michigan Projection: 27 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- G Braden Smith is averaging 27.2 PRA in home games this season.
- In the friendly confines of Mackey Arena, Smith is shooting 8.3% better from the field and averaging 2.5 more assists per game.
- This is a huge pace-up game for Purdue; they rank 294th in the country in tempo, while Michigan comes in at a blistering 11th.
- The Wolverines’ defense ranks 262nd nationally in 3-point attempts allowed at 41.9. Braden Smith is shooting 41.5% from deep this season.
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Make #1 Michigan vs. #7 Purdue CBB Picks on PrizePicks
It’s a congested scene at the top of the Big Ten conference rankings, and tonight’s game will give us plenty of clarity on who the top dog really is.
Michigan vs. Purdue picks for Big Ten ball are just one of many ways hoops fans can get in on the daily college basketball action.
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