Friday night in the WNBA features three games, including the Phoenix Mercury visiting the Connecticut Sun in a cross-conference battle. The game is set to tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, August 7 in Connecticut.
Phoenix enters as a 7.5-point road favorite on the spread, via PrizePicks Team Picks. The Mercury would return a 1.35x payout with a victory at Mohegan Sun vs. the hometown team.
Below, we’ll break down our Mercury vs. Sun prediction and picks for Friday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Mercury vs. Sun picks on PrizePicks now on tonight’s WNBA game.
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Mercury vs. Sun Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, August 7
Friday marks the third meeting in the last three weeks between the two teams, with them splitting a pair of games in Phoenix in mid-July. The Mercury's win in the second leg of a back-to-back marked the first of a current run of four wins in six games, including a 2-1 mark since the All-Star break.
After starting the year a woeful 8-18, the Mercury have shown a playoff pulse, climbing to within 6.5 games of Washington for the final playoff spot. A resurgent offense has led the Mercury, who have averaged 93.5 points over the last four games — nearly 10 points higher than their season average.
For the season, the Mercury rank in the bottom half of most offensive and defensive categories, matching their 12-20 record.
There’s no such resurgence for the Sun, who have lost five straight (their third streak of 5+ games this year) and have the second-worst record in the league at 7-23. During the losing streak, the Sun haven't scored more than 88 points in a game and have been held to 63 twice, losing by an average of 15.6 points.
The Sun return home for a four-game stand being last in the league in scoring (79.8 PPG) and offensive rating (99.0), as well as 10th in defensive rating (108.4).
Mercury vs. Sun Spread, Over/Under – Friday, August 7
The Mercury enter Friday’s game as 7.5-point road favorites against the Sun, returning a 1.35x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for Mercury vs. Sun on PrizePicks.
Play the Mercury vs. Sun spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Mercury vs. Sun Injury Report for Friday, August 7
Let’s dive into the full Mercury vs. Sun injury report for Friday, August 7, via WNBA.com.
Phoenix Mercury Injury Report
- No injuries reported
Connecticut Sun Injury Report
- F Raegan Beers (concussion) - OUT
- C Brittney Griner (knee) - Questionable
Mercury vs. Sun Prediction on Spread – 8/7/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Mercury vs. Sun prediction on the spread for Friday, August 7.
Lock in your Mercury vs. Sun prediction on PrizePicks.
- Not only have the Sun lost five straight games, but they have failed to cover in any of them as well.
- However, the five-game non-cover streak comes on the heels of the Sun covering in seven of the previous eight games — all but one coming as an underdog.
- The Sun have been a home underdog 10 previous times, second-most behind Seattle. Connecticut is 7-3 against the spread as a home dog, including 5-1 ATS when getting fewer than 8 points.
- After starting the season 0-3 and 1-7 at their Mohegan Sun home, Connecticut has won three of the past six at home, reaching 90 points in the three wins.
- Friday’s game is only the third time all season in which the Mercury have been favored on the road. They won without covering at Seattle in June and covered in a win vs. this same Sun team two weeks ago.
- The Mercury are only 5-6 ATS as a favorite overall, with four of those contsts occurring in the first month of the season.
Mercury vs. Sun Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/7/26
Here are the top Mercury vs. Sun picks to target on Friday, August 7. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Leila Lacan, G Kelsey Plum, and G-F Kahleah Copper.
Connecticut Sun G Leila Lacan vs. Mercury: 12.5 Points
- Leila Lacan scored a career-high 26 points on 10-of-13 shooting vs. the Mercury when the teams met on July 17.
- Lacan is averaging 14.3 PPG in four career games vs. Phoenix, her second-highest average vs. any team.
- The former No. 10 overall pick (2024 WNBA Draft) is averaging 13.2 points over her last 17 games, getting to 12+ in 10 of them.
- Lacan is shooting 40.0% from deep, second-best on the team and 16th in the league.
Add Leila Lacan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Mercury G Kelsey Plum vs. Sun: 22.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Mercury guard Kelsey Plum is eighth in the WNBA in scoring (20.6 PPG) and 17th in assists at 4.6 per game.
- Since being traded to Phoenix on August 1, the two-time WNBA champion has totaled 25 and 28 PRA.
- Plum has played 14 games this season and has hit 22+ PRA in 13 of them.
- While she hasn't played Connecticut this season, Plum averages 16.2 points and 4.1 assists against them in her career.
Add Kelsey Plum to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Mercury G/F Kahleah Copper vs. Sun: 21 Points
- Mercury star Kahleah Copper is sixth in the league in PPG at 21.0.
- Over the last 18 games, Copper is averaging 23.8 points (third-most) on 51.4% shooting, getting 20+ in 14 of them.
- Copper poured in a career-high 41 points (16-of-30 shooting), with 10 rebounds on June 13 vs. the Sparks and scored 30 points in the team’s 23-point win over the Storm last week.
- Copper’s 17 20-point games are the third-most this season behind A’ja Wilson and Kelsey Mitchell.
- In the two contests vs. Connecticut last month, Copper scored 21 and 18 points despite not connecting on 6 tries from beyond the arc.
Add Kahleah Copper to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Mercury vs. Sun Picks on PrizePicks
Can the Mercury keep the recent momentum going and stay in the postseason race, or will the Sun stop the losing skid and earn an upset win at home?
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