The Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream game is set to tip off at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, August 5, televised on WNBA League Pass. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Dream enter as 6.5-point favorites on the spread and return a 1.44x payout if they win.
The Dream (18-11) look to bounce back after their five-game winning streak was snapped in Monday’s 109-87 home blowout to Las Vegas.
The Mercury (12-19) knocked off the Sky on Monday, 106-101, in G Kelsey Plum’s debut after she was acquired from Los Angeles at the trade deadline.
Below, we'll break down our Mercury vs. Dream prediction and picks for Wednesday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Mercury vs. Dream prediction on PrizePicks now.
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Mercury vs. Dream Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, August 5
Plum scored 20 points off the bench at Chicago in her first action since June 21. The Sparks dealt the 2017 top pick to the Mercury on Sunday to help last season’s runner-up attempt to climb back into the playoff race.
The Mercury have won four of their last five games but still sit 5.5 games behind the Mystics for the eighth playoff spot. Only three of Phoenix’s 12 wins are against teams with winning records, with two of those victories coming by 2 points apiece against Golden State and Indiana.
Atlanta fell to 1-13 against the spread (ATS) in the last 14 games after getting walloped by Las Vegas. The Dream allowed a season-high 109 points on 62% shooting, while the Aces torched Atlanta from deep, hitting 10 of 19 3-point attempts.
Phoenix looks to snap a four-game slide to Atlanta dating back to the start of last season. The Dream edged the Mercury 82-80 in the first matchup on May 24, but Phoenix covered as 5.5-point road underdogs.
Mercury vs. Dream Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, August 5
The Dream enter Wednesday’s game as 6.5-point home favorites against the Mercury, returning a 1.44x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Mercury vs. Dream game on PrizePicks.
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Mercury vs. Dream Injury Report for Wednesday, August 5
Let’s dive into the full Mercury vs. Dream injury report for Wednesday, August 5, via WNBA.com.
Phoenix Mercury Injury Report
- None
Atlanta Dream Injury Report
- G Te-Hina Paopao (leg) - OUT
Mercury vs. Dream Prediction on Winner – 8/5/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mercury vs. Dream prediction on the winner for Wednesday, August 5.
- The Dream and Mercury are tied for the worst defensive 3-point percentage in the league at 36.8%.
- Atlanta’s 3-point shooting ranks towards the bottom of the league at 30.4%, coming off a 4-for-24 effort against Las Vegas.
- The Dream lead the WNBA in offensive rebounding (11.2 per game) but are tied for 11th in defensive rebounds per contest at 23.4.
- The Mercury have attempted at least 40 free throws in two of the past three games, including hitting on 31 of 40 against Chicago.
- According to WNBA.com, the Mercury’s four best effective field goal percentage (eFG%) performances all came on the road. Phoenix posted a 59.5% eFG% at Chicago on Monday.
- The Dream have allowed an eFG% of at least 63% six times, losing each game. Phoenix has compiled an eFG% of more than 60% only twice, splitting games against Indiana and Minnesota.
- Since losing by 48 points at home to Las Vegas on July 11, the Mercury have covered the spread in six of the last seven games.
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Mercury vs. Dream Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/5/26
Here are the top Mercury vs. Dream picks to target on Wednesday, August 5. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Kelsey Plum and Angel Reese.
Mercury G Kelsey Plum vs. Dream: 20.5 Pts + Asts
- Plum has drilled this projection in 11 of 13 games, finishing with an average of 29.8 P/A.
- In her Phoenix debut, Plum posted 20 points and 4 assists, snapping a two-game streak with fewer than 20 points and assists.
- The former University of Washington star hasn’t faced Atlanta this season but averaged 26.7 P/A in three games against the Dream in 2025.
- She is averaging 6.5 assists on the road, a slight improvement from 5.8 last season.
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Dream F Angel Reese vs. Mercury: 27.5 Pts + Rebs
- Reese has become a scoring threat recently, averaging 22.0 PPG in the past three outings.
- The ex-LSU standout is putting up 19.4 PPG and 11.9 rebounds per contest in the previous eight outings.
- In 10 games against teams ranked 10th or lower in defensive rating, Reese is averaging 29.4 P/R, including three straight games of at least 34.
- In the first win over Phoenix, Reese compiled 17 points and 10 boards. Last season as a member of the Sky, she pulled down at least 15 rebounds twice against the Mercury.
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Make Mercury vs. Dream Picks on PrizePicks
Phoenix is looking to continue its recent hot stretch to make up ground in the WNBA playoff race. Can the Mercury stay hot against an Atlanta squad seeking its 11th home victory?
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Mercury vs. Dream picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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