Two teams currently outside of the Western Conference playoff picture throw down Tuesday night, as the 13-23 Mavericks visit Sacramento to take on the 8-28 Kings. The game tips at 11:00 p.m. ET on Peacock.
Below, we'll preview the game and break down three of the top Mavericks vs. Kings NBA Picks on PrizePicks for today, including for Mavericks F/C Anthony Davis and Mavericks F Cooper Flagg.
Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Kings have already ruled out F Keegan Murray (ankle), his third missed game over the last seven matchups. After appearing in at least 76 games in each of his first three seasons in the NBA, Murray has played just 19 in 2025-26.
The Mavericks will also be shorthanded with F P.J. Washington (ankle) listed as doubtful. He'll be missed, as he's has been a valuable contributor, averaging 14.7 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game.
Mavericks vs. Kings Over/Under, Spread
The Mavericks are 5.5 point favorites, returning a 1.42x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Kings are underdogs at home with a 2.63x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Mavericks -5.5
- Total: 231.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Mavericks 1.42x | Kings 2.63x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction on Spread Winner
- The Mavs are 10-10 at home, but just 3-12 on the road.
- The Kings are 5-12 at home, compared to 3-16 on the road.
- Dallas is 2-8 against the spread as favorites.
- When these teams played each other in Sacramento just over a week ago, the Kings won 113-107. Mavericks F/C Anthony Davis did not play in that game, but neither did Murray or Kings G Zach LaVine.
- LaVine made his return from a nine-game absence Sunday by scoring 20 points in 36 minutes in a 115-98 loss to the Bucks.
Mavericks vs. Kings NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three of the top Mavericks vs. Kings picks on PrizePicks for today. Player projections via the PrizePicks real money NBA game.
Mavericks F/C Anthony Davis vs. Kings Projection: 11.5 Rebounds
- The Brow hauled in 12 rebounds in Saturday’s 110-104 win over the Rockets.
- The former Laker averages 10.8 rebounds per game for the season, recording at least 12 in five of his last eight. In one of the three times that he failed to reach that threshold during that span, he played just 11 minutes before leaving early with an injury.
- The Kings allow the sixth-most rebounds per game (46.1) in the league.
- One of the reasons why Sacramento gives up so many rebounds is that they have the eighth-worst field goal percentage (45.9%) in the NBA.
Mavericks F Cooper Flagg vs. Kings Projection: 5 Assists
- Flagg has posted at least 5 assists in each of his last seven games. In five of those, he came away with at least 6 dimes.
- The Mavericks play at the fifth-fastest pace (102.3) in the league, helping Flagg’s ability to rack up assists.
- The Kings have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, and permit the fifth-most assists per game (28.0).
Kings G/F DeMar DeRozan vs. Mavericks Projection: 2.5 3-PT Attempted
- Kings G/F DeMar DeRozan only has a 21.2% usage rate, on pace to be his lowest mark since his rookie season.
- With fewer shots coming his way, the former Bull averages just 2.2 three-point attempts per game.
- Never much of a three-point threat, DeRozan has put up fewer than 3.0 attempts per game from behind the arc in all but two seasons in his career.
- The last time these two teams met, DeRozan went 0-for-2 from behind the arc.
- The Mavericks have allowed the eighth-fewest 3-point attempts per game (35.3), impressive considering their fast pace.
- Not only is Dallas not giving up many attempts from deep, but they have allowed the league's lowest 3-point shooting percentage (33.3%).
Make NBA Picks on PrizePicks
Davis and Flagg could rack up counting stats in a matchup against a rebound-deficient Kings team that struggles both on the defensive end. With plenty of projections to consider for Mavericks vs. Kings and the rest of Tuesday’s slate, now is the time to build your NBA Lineup on PrizePicks.
Just pick More or Less for at least two NBA player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states. Check out the Playbook for more NBA DFS picks and analysis all the way through the season.
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