Matthew Stafford Stats, Pick vs. Bucs for SNF: Target MVP Hopeful in Prime Time

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford drops back to pass against the 49ers.
AP Photo/Jessie Alcheh

The Rams and Buccaneers link up for a huge game on Sunday night in Los Angeles that can affect playoff seeding in the NFC.

Los Angeles starts Sunday’s action tied with Philadelphia for the top record in the NFC at 8-2 while holding a one-game edge over Seattle for first place in the NFC West. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay leads the NFC South at 6-4 but looks to end a two-game losing streak after falling to New England and Buffalo.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford is having an MVP-type season, leading the league with 27 TD passes and throwing only 2 INTs. Stafford’s last 40+ TD performance came in 2021, when the Rams won the Super Bowl over the Bengals.

Week 12's showdown kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California.

Below, we’ll give you the top Matthew Stafford stats and picks for Rams vs. Bucs tonight for PrizePicks NFL as L.A. seeks its sixth consecutive victory. 

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Best Matthew Stafford Stats, Pick vs. Bucs

Below is a top Matthew Stafford PrizePicks projection for Sunday’s NFL game vs. the Buccaneers.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford Projection vs. Buccaneers: 256.5 Passing Yards

  • Stafford is coming off his worst statistical game of the season, throwing for 130 yards in last Sunday’s 22-19 squeaker over Seattle.  
  • He enters Week 12 ranked eighth in the league with 2,557 passing yards and is averaging 284 passing yards a game at SoFi Stadium.
  • Through 10 games, Stafford has compiled more than 257 passing yards five times. In those games, he actually hit 280+ yards each time.
  • At home, Stafford has posted his two best outputs, compiling 375 yards against Indianapolis and 389 yards against San Francisco in consecutive weeks.
  • Tampa Bay faced the top two QBs in passing yardage the last two weeks. The Bucs yielded 317 yards to Buffalo QB Josh Allen and 270 yards to New England's Drake Maye.
  • The Bucs rank 27th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game at 241.6.
  • According to Pro Football Focus, Stafford is the highest-ranked QB in offense grade and passing grade. He is the only QB in the league to own grades in those categories of higher than 90.
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More Matthew Stafford Projections vs. Bucs Tonight

Here are other top Matthew Stafford projections vs. the Bucs tonight, via PrizePicks.

  • 35 Pass Attempts
  • 22.5 Pass Completions
  • 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (Demon)
  • 1.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
  • 14.5 Rush Yards (Demon)
  • 261.5 Pass+Rush Yards
  • 37.5 Yards on Longest Completion
  • 64.3 Completion Percentage
  • 1.5 INT (Demon) 

Make Your NFL Picks on PrizePicks

The Rams and Buccaneers square off on Sunday night in a key game on the Week 12 slate. All eyes may be on Matthew Stafford and whether he can continue to keep this L.A. offense rolling.

With game plans always changing and injuries and other roster decisions impacting teams, we could see some interesting performances from a variety of players.

Make picks on PrizePicks with your favorite NFL projections and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is predict More or Less on at least two player projections.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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