Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction, Picks for Game 3 ALDS: Logan Gilbert, 2 More

The ALDS shifts locales on Tuesday for a pair of pivotal Game 3’s. The action starts in the Motor City as the Detroit Tigers host the Seattle Mariners, with the series tied at 1-1. First pitch is set for 4:08 p.m. ET on FS1 at Comerica Park. 

Check out our Mariners vs. Tigers prediction for this matchup as the teams settle in for a pair of games in Detroit.

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Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction, Preview for 10/7/25

Unlike the Yankees-Blue Jays series — which consisted of a pair of Toronto blowouts — this series has seen plenty of drama.

Each contest has finished with identical 3-2 scores, starting with a Detroit victory in 11 innings of the opener. Seattle rebounded on Sunday to even up the series heading east to Michigan.

Seattle Mariners

The M’s are fresh off their first AL West title since 2001, but fell short in extra innings of Game 1. The most perplexing stat to come out of that loss was the fact that C Cal Raleigh and CF Julio Rodriguez picked up all 6 hits for Seattle, while the rest of the lineup combined to go 0-for-28.

Rodriguez drove in Raleigh to break a 2-2 tie in the eighth inning of Game 2 and give the Mariners their first home playoff victory in 24 years.

Detroit Tigers 

The Tigers blew a double-digit lead late in the season for the AL Central title, but that's now a memory as they eliminated the Guardians in the Wild Card round.

Detroit is playing its first home game since September 21 and seek their first victory at Comerica Park dating back to September 6.

Mariners vs. Tigers Picks & MLB DFS

Mariners P Logan Gilbert vs. Tigers Projection: 6.5 Strikeouts

• Gilbert (6-6, 3.44 ERA) is making his first start since September 27 against the Dodgers, as he struck out 5 batters in 5 innings.
• In seven of his last 10 starts, Gilbert has finished with 6 or fewer strikeouts, including each of his past three outings.
• Gilbert silenced the Tigers’ bats in two starts this season. The right-hander K'd 10 batters on April 1 in a 4-1 home loss, while posting 9 K’s in an 8-4 win at Detroit before the All-Star break.
• The fifth-year man compiled a strikeout rate of 32.3%, which ranked higher than the likes of Detroit’s Tarik Skubal and Boston’s Garrett Crochet.
• The Tigers are striking out at a 23.9% rate, ranking fourth in MLB.

Tigers P Jack Flaherty vs. Mariners Projection: 5 Strikeouts

• Flaherty (8-15, 4.64 ERA) has gone through the worst season of his career, but still posted a solid 27.6% strikeout rate.
• In his lone start against Seattle this season, Flaherty whiffed 7 batters in five innings of work.
• In four of his last five home starts, the righty has been limited to 4 or less Ks.
• Flaherty has seen success against Raleigh and Rodriguez, holding them to 2 hits in 14 at-bats and striking the duo out seven times.

Mariners LF Randy Arozarena vs. Tigers Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

• Arozarena has gone deep off Flaherty twice in 7 career at-bats, while also picking up a double.
• Through the first two games of the ALDS, Arozarena has struggled, going 1-for-8 with 3 strikeouts.
• In his last six road games, Arozarena compiled 1 hit, finishing below this projection four times.
• Playing during the day has given Arozarena a spike in several categories, including a .481 slugging percentage and .825 OPS. At night, the outfielder is slugging .397 with an OPS of .726.

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Game 3 is a pivotal spot today in Detroit as the Mariners and Tigers each seek a 2-1 series advantage in the ALDS.

In addition to the Mariners-Tigers throw down, there are plenty of other projections to consider on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks and win real money if your picks are correct. Check out the Playbook for more daily MLB picks throughout the season.