Magic vs. Heat Prediction, Spread: Banchero and Bam Clash in the Paint

Magic F Paolo Banchero shoots a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Nell Redmond

The Orlando Magic and Miami Heat meet for the fourth time in 2025-26 season, their firs contest in Miami. Wednesday's interstate throwdown tips at 7:30 p.m. ET.

The Magic have lost four straight games, all by 14+ points, and sit in eighth place in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat, winners of three of their last four, sit seventh place in the East, one game ahead of the Magic.

Below, we’ll break down our Magic vs. Heat prediction and spread for Wednesday’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Magic vs. Heat Prediction, Spread

The Magic and Heat meet for the 146th time in the regular season, with the Heat holding an 81-64 series advantage. The teams have one more meeting, in Miami, in March. 

Magic vs. Heat Over/Under, Spread

The Heat enter the contest as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Magic are underdogs with a 2.17x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Miami Heat -2.5
  • Over/Under: 228.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Magic 2.17x | Heat 1.63x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Magic vs. Heat Prediction on Spread

Tonight marks the first time this season in the four meetings that Miami has been the favorite.

  • The Magic are 17-28 (37.8%) to the spread this season, the second-worst cover percentage of all NBA teams in 2025-26.
  • Orlando is 5-7 against the spread as an underdog. However, the team has failed to cover as an underdog in six of the last seven spots. 
  • The Magic offense has struggled shooting, as they are 27th in the league in EFG pct (52.5), 20th in offensive rating (113.6), and 21st in FG pct (46.3).
  • The Heat are 27-20 against the spread this season, the third-best cover percentage (57.5) in the NBA.  
  • Miami is 11-9 (55%) vs. the spread as a favorite this season, including covering in five of the last six games as a favorite. 
  • The Heat have the highest pace in the NBA at 104.79 and are third in the league in scoring, averaging 119.7 PPG.

Magic vs Heat Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Magic vs Cavs injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com 

Magic Injury Report

  • Magic F Franz Wagner (ankle) - OUT

Heat Injury Report

  • G Tyler Herro (Ribs) - OUT
  • G Davion Mitchell (Shoulder) - Questionable
  • G Norman Powell (Lower Back) - Questionable
  • C Kel’el Ware (Hamstring) - Questionable

Magic vs. Heat Picks for PrizePicks Today: 1/28/25

Here are two Magic vs. Cavaliers picks to target for Wednesday, January 28 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Magic F Paolo Banchero and Heat C-F Bam Adebayo.

Magic F Paolo Banchero Projection vs. Heat: 23.5 Points

  • Magic F Paolo Banchero has reached his player points projection in 16 of 34 games this season (one push). 
  • The former Dookie has scored 20+ points in 23 of his 35 games played. 
  • His 21.6 points per game average is second on the team and 36th among all NBA players. 
  • In 12 career games vs. the Heat, Panchero is averaging 19.3 PPG. He has 51 total points (17.0 PPG) in the three games vs. Miami this season.

Heat C-F Bam Adebayo Projection vs. Magic: 20.5 Points

  • Heat C-F Bam Adebayo has reached his player points projection in seven of his past eight games. This came after not reaching hittit it in 14 straight between December 6 and January 11.  
  • Adebayo has scored 20+ in 16 of 39 games played this season, including four straight and seven of the past eight.  
  • In 29 career games vs. the Magic, Adebayo averaged 13.6 PPG, but in the three games this season, he racks up 19.3 PPG and 11.7 boards per game. 
  • The Kentucky product is scoring 17.9 points per game, third-best on the Heat behind Norman Powell and Tyler Herro. 

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Make Magic vs. Heat Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Magic end their losing skid and improve their position in the Eastern Conference? Or will the Heat continue scoring and earn their first win this season over Orlando? The Magic-Heat Wednesday game is at 7:30 p.m. ET.

You can make your Magic vs. Heat picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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