Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Saturday, August 1

The New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury game is set to tip off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, August 1, televised on ABC. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Liberty enter as 3.5-point favorites on the spread, with a 1.63x payout if they win.

The Liberty (17-13) had their three-game winning streak snapped in Thursday’s 104-99 defeat at Las Vegas. Each of New York’s three victories in that hot stretch came by 4 or fewer points. The Mercury (11-18) seek their fourth consecutive win after edging out the red-hot Valkyries, 91-89.

Below, we'll break down our Liberty vs. Mercury prediction and picks for Saturday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Liberty vs. Mercury picks on PrizePicks now!

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Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 1

New York wraps up a three-game road swing today after splitting the first two matchups. The Liberty outlasted the Sparks, 113-109, on Tuesday but failed to cover as 5.5-point favorites.

In Thursday’s defeat to the Aces, the Liberty allowed at least 100 points in consecutive games for the first time this season. That loss dropped New York to 4-6 in the past 10 contests against Western Conference opponents.

Last season’s WNBA runner-up started 8-18, but three straight wins for the Mercury have vaulted them up the standings. Although Phoenix is still on the outside looking in for the postseason, the Mercury begin Saturday’s action five games back of New York for the final playoff spot.

The Mercury knocked the Liberty out of the playoffs last season, but Phoenix has dropped the first two meetings to New York this season. 

In a pair of late May games in Brooklyn, the Liberty defeated the Mercury, 84-74, followed by a 75-68 triumph two days later. New York star F Breanna Stewart was held to a total of 20 points in the two wins, as the Liberty shot 42.5% from the floor.

Liberty vs. Mercury Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 1

The Liberty enter Saturday’s game as 3.5-point road favorites against the Mercury, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Liberty vs. Mercury game on PrizePicks.

Make your Liberty vs. Mercury prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Liberty vs. Mercury Injury Report for Saturday, August 1

Let’s dive into the full Liberty vs. Mercury injury report for Saturday, August 1, via WNBA.com.

New York Liberty Injury Report

• F Leonie Fiebich (foot) - OUT
• F Satou Sabally (concussion) - OUT

Phoenix Mercury Injury Report

• None

Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction on Winner – 8/1/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Liberty vs. Mercury prediction on the winner for Saturday, August 1, in the WNBA game on ABC.

• The Liberty are 0-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games.
• New York hit the over in seven consecutive contests, scoring 95.7 points per game (PPG) in this stretch.
• The Mercury rank last in the WNBA in 3-point shooting percentage allowed (36.9%), and that number slips to 37.7% at home. 
• In Thursday’s win over Golden State, Phoenix knocked down 32 of 43 free throw attempts, its second-most points from the line this season.
• Since hitting 11 treys in a loss at Minnesota on July 13, the Mercury shot 18-of-73 (24.6%) from 3-point range in the last four games.
• New York posted two of its three worst defensive ratings of the season against the Sparks (126.7) and Aces (122.4), according to WNBA.com. 
• In the first two losses to the Liberty, the Mercury compiled offensive ratings of 96.1 and 89.5. In the past five matchups, Phoenix was held to an offensive rating less than 97 on four occasions.

Lock in your Liberty vs. Mercury prediction on PrizePicks before today’s WNBA game.

Liberty vs. Mercury Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/1/26

Here are the top Liberty vs. Mercury picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, August 1. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Sabrina Ionescu and Kahleah Copper.

Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu vs. Mercury: 19.5 Points

• After posting 9.5 PPG in her first eight contests, Ionescu is averaging 21.4 PPG in the last 10 games.
• She didn’t play in the first two wins over Phoenix but compiled 16.8 PPG in six matchups with the Mercury last season.
• Ionescu converted 37.1% of her 3-point attempts in nine July outings, including consecutive games of hitting 5 treys apiece against New York and Los Angeles.  
• The 2020 top pick has scored 20+ points in five of the past seven games but was held to 15 points in Thursday’s loss to the Aces.

Add Sabrina Ionescu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Mercury G Kahleah Copper vs. Liberty: 21.5 Points

• Copper was limited to 21 or fewer points in 11 of the first 13 games. However, she has eclipsed this projection in 9 of the past 15 outings.
• The veteran’s scoring average rises to 23.7 PPG at home, compared to 17.7 PPG on the road.
• The former Rutgers standout scored 19 and 16 points in the first two losses to New York. Copper shot 10-of-34 from the floor, including 3 of 17 from deep.
• Her eFG% has improved every month, starting at 36.2% in May and moving to 53.5% in June. In July, Copper jumped to a 57.6 eFG%, which is higher than any month last season.

Add Kahleah Copper to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Your Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction on PrizePicks

New York’s defense has been ripped apart recently, but the Liberty have slowed down the Mercury in two wins. Can the Liberty rebound today, or will Phoenix extend its winning streak to four games?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Liberty vs. Mercury picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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