The New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire game is set to tip off at 10:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 14, with the Liberty entering as 10.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
The Liberty seek revenge after falling at the buzzer to the Fire in Tuesday’s 98-96 defeat. Portland grabbed its first victory in franchise history, stunning New York as 11.5-point home underdogs.
New York concludes its three-game road trip before a six-day break, while Portland continues a four-game homestand at Moda Center.
Below, we'll break down our Liberty vs. Fire prediction and picks for Thursday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Liberty vs. Fire picks on PrizePicks now.
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Liberty vs. Fire Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
New York rolled past Connecticut in the season opener, 106-75, highlighted by a 66-point first half. The Liberty needed overtime in a 98-93 victory at Washington, holding the Mystics to 5-of-26 shooting from 3-point range.
G Sabrina Ionescu and newly acquired F Satou Sabally have yet to take the court this season for New York. The Liberty held both the Sun and Mystics to less than 46% on effective field goal percentage, but the Fire lit up New York for 15 treys.
Portland lost in its franchise opener to Chicago, 98-83, while shooting nearly 41% from the floor. The Fire hit 50% of their shots against New York but still need to shore up their defense.
Portland ranks 14th in the WNBA in points allowed at 97.0 points per game (PPG), slightly ahead of 0-3 Connecticut (97.7 PPG).
G Carla Leite (19.5 PPG) is questionable after suffering an ankle sprain in Tuesday’s win. Leite scored a career-high 21 points against New York on 8-of-14 shooting.
Liberty vs. Fire Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
The Liberty enter Thursday’s game as 10.5-point road favorites against the Fire, returning a 1.16x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Liberty vs. Fire game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Liberty -10.5 (1.75x payout)
- Over/Under: 175.5 (1.81x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Liberty 1.16x | Fire 5x
Make your Liberty vs. Fire prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Liberty vs. Fire Injury Report for Thursday, May 14
Let’s dive into the full Liberty vs. Fire injury report for Thursday, May 14, via WNBA.com.
New York Liberty Injury Report
- G Sabrina Ionescu - OUT
- F Sabou Sabally - OUT
- G Rebecca Allen - Questionable
Portland Fire Injury Report
- G Carla Leite - Questionable
- G Karlie Samuelson - OUT
- G Sug Sutton - Questionable
Liberty vs. Fire Prediction on Over/Under – 5/14/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Liberty vs. Fire prediction on the over/under for Thursday, May 14.
Lock in your Liberty vs. Fire prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Liberty are 3-0 to the over thus far, while the Fire have hit the over in their first two games.
- Both these squads rank in the top four in 3-point shooting. Portland is second at 38.7%, and New York isn’t far behind at 37.2%.
- New York averaged 24.5 free throws made in its first two wins but scored 17 points at the line at Portland.
- The Fire own the lowest defensive rating in the WNBA at 120.5 while ranking second in offensive rating at 112.4.
- Last season, New York’s road defensive rating sat at 104.7 and has slipped to 115.8 in two away contests in 2026.
- Despite Portland’s defensive woes, its pace sits 11th in the WNBA at 96.6.
Liberty vs. Fire Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/14/26
Here are the top Liberty vs. Fire picks to target for Thursday, May 14. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include F Breanna Stewart and F Bridget Carleton.
Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Fire Projection: 21.5 Points
- Stewart sits fifth in the WNBA in scoring average at 23.3 PPG, a 5-point jump from last season.
- The former UConn star was held to a season-low 16 points in the loss to Portland. She converted only 4 field goal attempts, and 8 points came at the line.
- Stewie has struggled from downtown, hitting just 1 of her 10 3-point attempts. Could some positive regression be coming? She's a career 34.7% shooter.
- In four of her last six road games, Stewart scored at least 22 points while knocking down 45 of 51 free throws.
Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Fire F Bridget Carleton vs. Liberty Projection: 13 Points
- The former Lynx F torched the Liberty for 26 points in Tuesday’s win on 9-of-16 shooting.
- Carleton’s 2025 season-high in Minnesota was 16 points; she leads Portland in scoring through two games.
- In the opening loss to Chicago, Carleton posted 13 points and made 4 of 10 field goal attempts.
- Carleton has been very dangerous from range, knocking down 8 of her 18 3-point tries. The Liberty held opponents to 29.6% in the first three games.
Add Bridget Carleton to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Liberty vs. Fire Picks on PrizePicks
Portland shocked New York for its first-ever franchise victory. Can the Fire pull off the sweep of this two-game set, or will New York rebound tonight?
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Liberty vs. Fire picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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