The Las Vegas Aces will host the New York Liberty on Thursday, July 30, at 10 p.m. ET on Prime Video in a rematch of their WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Championship Game last month. Las Vegas enters the matchup as 4.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
The Liberty are currently riding a three-game winning streak, including a 113-109 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks in their most recent outing on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Aces bounced back from a heartbreaking 1-point loss against the Washington Mystics with a 98-83 triumph against the Portland Fire.
Below, we'll break down our Liberty vs. Aces prediction and picks for Thursday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Liberty vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now!
{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Liberty vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, July 30
The Liberty captured the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup when they topped the Aces 93-85 in the championship game on June 30. New York G Sabrina Ionescu led the way with a team-high 26 points on 9-of-19 shooting, while F Breanna Stewart added 25 points of her own.
Speaking of Ionescu, the former Oregon Duck missed time at the start of the 2026 season due to ankle, back, and foot injuries. After ramping up her minutes recently, Ionescu has averaged 21.6 points per game over her last eight contests, shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc in the split.
New York was struggling with four consecutive losses but has bounced back by ripping off an ongoing three-game winning streak.
Meanwhile, the Aces have been victorious in four of their last six games. Las Vegas got back on track with a win against the Portland Fire, in which C A’ja Wilson paced the Aces with 28 points on 7-of-10 shooting.
Wilson is putting together another MVP-caliber campaign as she leads the league in PPG (26.2), and she's tallied a double-double in five of her last eight contests.
The Liberty has held the upper hand in head-to-head matchups lately, winning five of the last six matchups outright.
Liberty vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, July 30
The Aces enter Thursday’s game as 4.5-point road favorites against the Liberty, returning a 1.44x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Liberty vs. Aces game on PrizePicks.
Make your Liberty vs. Aces prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Liberty vs. Aces Injury Report for Thursday, July 30
Let’s dive into the full Liberty vs. Aces injury report for Thursday, July 30, via WNBA.com.
New York Liberty Injury Report
- F Leonie Fiebich (foot) – OUT
- G Marine Johannes (ankle) – Questionable
- F Satou Sabally (concussion) – OUT
Las Vegas Aces Injury Report
- F Kierstan Bell (leg) – Doubtful
- F Cheyenne Tyus-Parker (concussion) – OUT
- F NaLyssa Smith (illness) – Questionable
Liberty vs. Aces Prediction on Over/Under – 7/30/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Liberty vs. Aces prediction on the over/under for Thursday, July 30.
Lock in your Liberty vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.
- The over is 6-0 in the Liberty’s last six games, while the over holds a 4-0 record in the Aces’ last four contests.
- Las Vegas has averaged the third-most points per game (91.3) in the WNBA, while New York averages 89.4 PPG (fifth).
- The Aces are knocking down 35.7% of their 3-point shots on the season, which is good for fourth in the WNBA. The Liberty are right behind them, sinking 35.4% of their long-range attempts.
- New York is allowing opponents to shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc, the fourth-highest mark in the league.
- According to databallr, Las Vegas owns the second-highest offensive rating (114.9) in the WNBA, behind only the Indiana Fever (116.1).
- The Liberty record the fewest turnovers per game (11.4), while the Aces rank second with just 12.1 turnovers per contest.
Liberty vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 7/30/26
Here are the top Liberty vs. Aces picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, July 30. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include A’ja Wilson, Jonquel Jones, and Sabrina Ionescu.
Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Liberty: 26 Points
- Wilson has scored at least 27 points in five of her last nine contests.
- The former South Carolina star is shooting 80.4% on shots at the rim, which sits in the 88th percentile.
- Wilson is averaging 17.2 shot attempts per game, ranking as the second-highest mark of her WNBA career.
- The Aces’ forward is shooting 58.2% from the field in her last six games, including hitting 19 of 26 shots (73.1%) in her last two contests.
Add A'ja Wilson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Liberty C Jonquel Jones vs. Aces: 9 Rebounds
- Jones has secured at least 10 rebounds in seven of her last nine games.
- The veteran center pulls down 24.1% of her possible defensive rebounds, ranking in the 95th percentile.
- Las Vegas allows the sixth-most defensive rebounds per game (25.0).
- The 2026 WNBA All-Star Game MVP recorded 9 rebounds in the June 30 meeting vs. the Aces.
Add Jonquel Jones to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu vs. Aces: 2.5 3-Pointers Made
- Ionescu has connected on at least 3 3-pointers in four of her last six games.
- The Liberty guard is shooting 38.0% (30 of 79) from deep in her last nine games, including knocking down 5 triples vs. the Aces on June 30.
- Ionescu has drilled at least 3 shots from beyond the arc in three of her last six games against Las Vegas.
- The Aces allow their opponents to shoot 34.8% from beyond the arc (sixth-highest).
Add Sabrina Ionescu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Liberty vs. Aces Picks on PrizePicks
The Aces and Liberty have been two of the most efficient offenses throughout the WNBA this season. As a result, there could be a ton of points on the scoreboard when Las Vegas and New York do battle on Thursday evening.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Liberty vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily WNBA predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 WNBA Finals.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
