After tipping off on Saturday, October 3, the NBA preseason marches on with four matchups on Tuesday, October 6. Two games are in the spotlight on NBA TV, including the Lakers vs. Warriors at 10:00 p.m. ET.
According to PrizePicks, the Warriors are a 4.5-point favorite for the spread tonight. The Lakers come off a 24-point preseason win vs. the Kings, while Golden State fell in a 104-101 loss vs. the Clippers to open preseason play.
Let’s jump into tonight’s NBA preseason bout, highlighted by our Lakers vs. Warriors prediction and player picks for projections on PrizePicks.
Make your Lakers vs. Warriors picks for the NBA preseason on PrizePicks!
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Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction, Winner, Over/Under for NBA Preseason – Tuesday, October 6
In the Lakers’ preseason debut on Monday, C Walker Kessler (finger) and G Austin Reaves (ankle) were out alongside bench players, G Collin Sexton and F Arthur Kaluma. Teams are not required to provide injury reports for preseason play, meaning availability can truly be a guessing game.
However, we can form reasonable expectations considering L.A. in playing in a back-to-back. For example, Monday saw G Luka Doncic play for 16 minutes with 21 points, 2 rebounds, and 3 assists. The Lakers could rest their superstar on the second night of a back-to-back in preseason.
Further, Kessler, Reaves, Sexton, and Kaluma could all be out considering their absences on Monday. First-round rookie G Cameron Carr is one to watch, as he posted 19 points in his preseason debut and should receive plenty of minutes in the NBA preseason.
For the Warriors, they opened the preseason with a 104-101 loss vs. the Clippers on Sunday. Golden State F Jimmy Butler (knee), C Kristaps Porzingis (undisclosed), and G Moses Moody (knee) are recovering from long-term injuries, meaning they will be out tonight.
On Sunday, several key players were in action — featuring G Stephen Curry (13 minutes), G Brandin Podziemski (18 minutes), F Draymond Green (14 minutes), and C Al Horford (16 minutes).
The Warriors will also play on Wednesday vs. the Trail Blazers. We could see some of Golden State’s key contributors active tonight or tomorrow, with Wednesday as the most likely appearance considering Tuesday’s quick turnaround from Sunday’s contest.
With that said, keep tabs on rookies F Yaxel Lendeborg and C Graham Ike. Lendeborg tallied 19 minutes compared to Ike’s 16 minutes on Sunday.
Lakers vs. Warriors Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, October 6
With the Lakers likely without most of their rotation in the second night of a back-to-back, the Warriors are 4.5-point favorites for the spread and have a 1.53x payout to win outright, per PrizePicks.
Here are the full payouts for the Lakers vs. Warriors game on PrizePicks, including winner payouts, the spread, and over/under.
Make your Lakers vs. Warriors prediction on the over/under on PrizePicks.
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction on Over/Under for NBA Preseason – 10/6/26
Thanks to a 50.0% field goal percentage while draining 20 of 44 3-point attempts (45.5%), the Lakers tallied 127 points on Monday night. While several key players, like Luka Doncic, could be out tonight, that 3-point success could be sticky throughout the preseason.
For example, rookie G Cameron Carr is in line for a significant role throughout the preseason, and his main strength is shooting triples. He made 3 of 7 attempts (42.9%) in his preseason debut.
L.A. has an intriguing preseason group, including F Jake LaRavia, F Dalton Knecht, and F Adou Thiero. LaRavia made 5 of 6 shots with 12 points on Monday, Knecht shot 36.8% on 3-pointers across his previous two seasons, and Thiero had a good Summer League with 14.1 PPG over seven games.
We’re used to seeing the Warriors launch 3-pointers, but with Stephen Curry potentially out tonight, that could mean more looks around the rim. In fact, Golden State dominated the interior by winning paint points 62-34 on Sunday.
Further, potential contributors mostly sit in the frontcourt, such as F Gui Santos, F Yaxel Lendeborg, C Graham Ike, and C Charles Bassey. The Lakers allowed a healthy 52 points in the paint while losing the rebounding battle by -7 vs. the Kings.
Each team has a promising path to points for tonight’s modest 220.5 over/under.
Lock in your Lakers vs. Warriors prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.
Lakers vs. Warriors Picks, Player Stats on PrizePicks – 10/6/26
With minute distribution uncertain in the NBA preseason, rookies could be the best route to success. The top Lakers vs. Warriors player picks for the NBA preseason on PrizePicks include Cameron Carr and Yaxel Lendeborg.
Lakers G Cameron Carr vs. Warriors: 14.5 Points
- Over seven Summer League games, Carr proved why he was perhaps the best 3-point shooter of the 2026 NBA Draft class, totaling 17.4 PPG while attempting 6.9 3-point shots per game.
- On a Lakers team that tallied only 32.3 3-point shots per game (24th) a season ago, Carr’s regular-season role will likely rely on 3-point looks.
- The #24 pick of the 2026 NBA Draft didn’t skip a beat in his first preseason game, launching 13 shots and 7 3-point attempts en route to 19 points.
- If Luka Doncic and other key players sit out tonight, that may mean an elevated role for Carr.
Add Cameron Carr to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Warriors F Yaxel Lendeborg vs. Lakers: 8 Points
- Yaxel Lendeborg struggled in his preseason debut by making only 1 of 6 shots (16.7%) while scoring only 4 points, though he was a factor on the glass with 9 rebounds.
- He was one of the Summer League’s best players, including a 124.2 offensive rating (86th percentile) on a healthy 23.6% usage rate (78th percentile) with 14.9 PPG over eight games, per The 5th Factor.
- The 5th Factor features a metric dubbed DRE (daily RAPM estimate), which measures a player’s value by factoring their box score against RAPM (regularized adjusted plus-minus). Yaxel had a 7.8 average DRE that was in the 92nd percentile of the Summer League, paired with a strong 40.3% COV% (91st percentile) — coefficient of variation (COV) that measures a player’s consistency.
- As a Michigan Wolverine in 2025-26, Lendeborg finished with college basketball’s second-best Bayesian Performance Rating (BPR), per EvanMiya.
- Lendeborg is an extremely efficient player everywhere on the floor, further backed by his 58.7% true shooting percentage (75th percentile) in the Summer League.
- With that said, his 1-of-6 shooting performance to open the preseason felt out of character.
Pick Yaxel Lendeborg + Warriors to win on PrizePicks.
Make Lakers vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
With key players likely sitting out or featuring in limited minutes tonight, the Lakers vs. Warriors will likely be led by young, emerging players for the NBA preseason. Rookies Cameron Carr and Yaxel Lendeborg are two players who could carve out regular-season roles with strong preseason outings.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Lakers vs. Warriors picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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