Knicks vs. Cavaliers Prediction on Spread for Game 4 – 5/25/26

May 25, 2026

4 min read

AP Photo/Frank Franklin II
NBA

Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the New York Knicks and the Cleveland Cavaliers tips off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Monday, May 25, televised by ESPN. Holding a 3-0 lead, the Knicks are 2.5-point favorites on the spread tonight, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Following Game 1’s dramatic 22-point comeback in the fourth quarter, capped by a win in overtime, New York is back to its dominant ways with 16- and 13-point wins over the last two matchups. The Knicks are looking to bring out the brooms with a sweep in Game 4. Will the Cavaliers finally bounce back?

Below, we'll break down our Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction on the spread for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals for PrizePicks.

Make your Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction on PrizePicks for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

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Knicks vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Monday, May 25

The Knicks extended their franchise record to 10 consecutive playoff wins on Saturday night. Similar to Game 2, New York held a comfortable lead for the majority of the second half.

In the playoffs, the Knicks are shooting an absurd 51.7% from the field. For context, the Thunder carry the best mark at 48.0%. Effective field goal percentage brings more of the same, with New York boasting a playoff-best 59.3%, with OKC’s 55.7% ranking second. 

The Knicks’ +234 margin through 13 playoff games is the best mark in postseason history, surpassing the 2017 Warriors’ +218 margin. Among the nine teams on this list, eight squads went on to win the NBA Finals. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, New York is currently tied with the Spurs for the second-shortest payout to win the NBA Finals (3.33x).

Cleveland has a steep mountain to climb, as no NBA team has won a series with a 3-0 deficit. Cavaliers head coach Kenny Atkinson made an interesting comment on Sunday. We’ll see if that confidence begins to translate to wins.

After shooting 39.4% from the field in the first two games of the series, the Cavs elevated to a 50.0% field goal percentage in Game 3, but the Knicks’ 55.8% mark on Saturday was a step ahead. Plus, Cleveland is shooting a measly 29.4% on 3-pointers in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Will New York’s historic efficiency keep up on Monday night, leading to back-to-back series sweeps?


Knicks vs. Cavaliers Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Monday, May 25

The Knicks enter Game 4 as 2.5-point road favorites against the Cavaliers, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Knicks vs. Cavaliers game on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: New York Knicks -2.5 (1.92x payout)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (1.96x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Knicks 1.72x | Cavaliers 2x
Make your Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction for the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Timeline

Here is the full Knicks vs. Cavaliers timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Knicks, 138-112

Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1

Series: Knicks, 3-0

Knicks vs. Cavaliers Eastern Conference Finals Timeline, Schedule

  • Game 1: Knicks 115, Cavaliers 104
  • Game 2: Knicks 109, Cavaliers 93
  • Game 3: Knicks 121, Cavaliers 108
  • Game 4: Monday, May 25, 8:00 p.m. ET in Cleveland
  • Games 5-7 if necessary

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Knicks vs. Cavaliers Prediction on Spread for Game 4 – 5/25/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction on the spread on Monday, May 25.

Lock in your Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction on PrizePicks before Game 4 tips off.
  • After allowing 59.0 points in the paint per game in the first two matchups, the Cavaliers limited the Knicks to only 42 paint points in Game 3.
  • However, New York has been efficient everywhere on the floor, cashing in 11 of 28 3-point looks (39.3%) on Saturday night.
  • The Knicks carry a 1.9 assist-to-turnover ratio in this series, compared to Cleveland’s  1.3 mark in the department. The Cavs have posted 15.7 turnovers per contest, ahead of New York’s 14.0 per-game average in the ECF.
  • In short, the Knicks simply tout far better efficiency on offense. New York sports a 122.9 offensive rating in the playoffs (first), holding a comfortable cushion over the Cavaliers’ 111.7 rating, per NBA Advanced Stats.
  • Cleveland’s interior defense remains a clear concern, yielding 49.5 paint points per game during the postseason (12th). The Knicks have feasted around the rim by tallying a playoff-best 53.5 points in the paint per contest.
  • During New York’s 10-game winning streak, it’s 9-1 against the spread (ATS). Plus, the Knicks are 5-1 ATS in road games during the playoffs.
  • The Cavs are 7-10 ATS in the postseason, 1-4 in the last five games, and have yet to cover a game in the ECF.

Make Knicks vs. Cavaliers Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks

Will the Knicks wrap up the Eastern Conference Finals and advance to the NBA Finals for the first time since 1999? The Cavaliers managed to erase a 2-0 deficit in the Eastern Conference semifinals vs. the Pistons, but a 3-0 hole could be a different beast.

Don’t wait until lock — make your Knicks vs. Cavaliers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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Riley Thomas is a 2021 graduate of Ohio University who has worked for FanDuel Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook. He specializes in covering the NFL, NBA, college football, and college basketball. In Riley's free time, you can find him cheering on Ohio State and Kentucky or playing video games and reading the latest comics.