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Kenneth Walker III Projections, Pick for Thursday Night Football Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III runs the football in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson

Thursday Night Football shines the spotlight on the AFC West, as the Seattle Seahawks head to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona for a rumble with the Cardinals. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.

After a tough 17-14 loss to the 49ers in Week 1, the Seahawks bounced back in Weeks 2 and 3, beating Pittsburgh (31-17) and New Orleans (44-13). This is the 16th time in franchise history they've started a season 2-1.

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III has taken over as the bellcow RB after fellow RB Zach Charbonnet went down with an injury.

While he’s delivered just one quality overall rushing performance — 105 yards in Week 2 vs. the Steelers — he's Seattle's go-to red zone option, and has collected 3 TDs on the ground in the last two games.

Below are the top Kenneth Walker III projections for Seahawks vs. Cardinals on Thursday Night Football for PrizePicks NFL, as the shifty back looks to help HC Mike Macdonald's crew win their third consecutive game.

Kenneth Walker III Projections, Pick for Thursday Night Football Seahawks vs. Cardinals

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Kenneth Walker III Projection: 53.5 Rush Yards

  • Walker is facing a Cardinals defense against which he's averaged 86 rushing yards per game in his career, with 430 yards on 106 carries (4.1 YPC) and 3 TDs in five career matchups.
  • In Weeks 2 and 3 combined, Walker III has had 143 yards on 29 carries (4.9 YPC) and 3 TDs (first in the NFL).
  • Through the first three weeks of the season, Walker forced the most missed tackles by an RB (14).
  • The Cardinals have already missed 13 tackles through three weeks of the season.
  • Arizona is allowing 76.3 rushing yards per game, potentially giving Walker enough opportunity to hit his rush yards projection.

Kenneth Walker III Projection: 19.5 Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts

  • Walker averaged just 2.0 YPC and 2.4 YPC in two of his three games this season.
  • In those two games against San Francisco and New Orleans, Walker had 58 yards on 26 carries (2.2 YPC)..
  • The Cardinals’ defense posts a defensive EPA per rush of -0.11 through three weeks, tying them for tenth in the NFL.
  • Seattle’s run block win rate is 71%, 19th in the NFL.
  • The fourth-year man has faced eight-plus defenders in the box on 38.46% of his rushes (fifth-most) with a -0.08 rushing yards over expected per attempt.
  • The Michigan State product's 2025 rushing success rate sits at 36.8%, tied for tenth-worst in the NFL.

Kenneth Walker III Projection: 13.5 Rush Attempts

  • Walker had 29 rushing attempts in Weeks 2 and 3 combined, averaging 14.5 per game.
  • Seattle averages 29.3 rushing attempts per game (sixth-most) with a 52.4% rushing play rate (third-highest).
  • Walker has dominated the running reps with 39 of 88 team rushing attempts, a 44.3% share.
  • He had his most rushing attempts of the season (16) against New Orleans in Week 3.
  • Arizona allows 20.3 rushing attempts per game through the first three weeks of the season.

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On a short week, Seattle could lean on Walker's burst and cutback-heavy style to set the tone against a vulnerable Cardinals front that has struggled to limit zone concepts and yards after contact.

This Seahawks vs. Cardinals matchup presents NFL DFS value, so check out the best projection and picks for Walker in Week 4. ‍Get in on the PrizePicks action, pick your players, and select More or Less on their stat projections. And if your predictions are correct, you can win real money!

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about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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