Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff are into the Wimbledon semifinals for the first time in what should be a fantastic match on Thursday morning.
Although Gauff leads the head-to-head series by a wide margin, Muchova won their most recent match, and they've never faced each other on grass.
Who will advance to their first Wimbledon women's final?
Below, we’ll break down our Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick for the 2026 Wimbledon semifinal.
The Muchova vs. Gauff match is slated to start at 8:30 a.m. ET. Thursday’s Wimbledon coverage is on ESPN and the ESPN App.
Make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks for Thursday’s matches now!
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Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff Prediction, Favorite for Wimbledon Semifinals
Below are the payouts for who will win Thursday’s Muchova vs. Gauff Wimbledon Semifinal match, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Muchova and Gauff are nearly dead even heading into Thursday's Wimbledon semifinal.
Karolina Muchova: 1.85x to win
Coco Gauff: 1.88x to win
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff Wimbledon Prediction – Thursday, July 9
Match Winner Payouts: Muchova 1.85x | Gauff 1.88x
Tournament Round: Semifinals
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Muchova 29-8 | Gauff 26-11
Head-to-Head Record: Gauff Leads 6-1
Scheduled Time: 8:30 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN App
Per the match winner payouts, Karolina Muchova is the ever-so-slight favorite, but this is essentially a pick ‘em between her and Coco Gauff.
Muchova was impressive in the quarterfinals, knocking out an in-form Naomi Osaka, who was coming off a dominant win over Aryna Sabalenka and hadn’t lost a set over the previous four rounds.
The Czech player is now 10-1 on grass this season. While Muchova inexplicably came into this Wimbledon with four straight first-round exits, this marks her third time advancing to at least the Wimbledon quarterfinals.
Prior to this run, Gauff had never been to the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, let alone the semis. In fact, she came into the tourney without a single win on grass since 2024 Wimbledon.
Victories over world No. 4 Jessica Pegula and world No. 11 Belinda Bencic should give her confidence heading into this match, though.
What should also give Gauff a mental boost is a 6-1 head-to-head record against Muchova.
However, Muchova was the victor when they last met in April (Stuttgart), and she’s had a smoother ride to these semifinals.
Muchova has lost only one set through five matches, whereas Gauff has had to grind out four straight three-setters to make it here.
The American’s serve continues to be an adventure at times, too, as she’s logged 29 double faults compared to just eight for Muchova. The Czech player has also logged more aces (36) than Gauff (25).
Muchova has also won a higher percentage of both first-serve points (80% to 75%) and second-serve points (61% to 51%) than Gauff.
Overall, this should be a tight match, but Muchova’s recent form might give her the edge despite the lopsided head-to-head.
Make your Muchova vs. Gauff Wimbledon prediction on PrizePicks now!
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff Pick for Wimbledon Semifinals
Muchova vs. Gauff — 22.5 Total Games
Gauff’s last four matches have reached a deciding set, totaling 31, 30, 29, and 28 games.
Muchova’s last two matches have come against multi-major winners like Gauff (Barbora Krejcikova and Osaka), and those meetings have gone 33 and 23 total games.
While Gauff has dominated their head-to-head, two of their three matches in 2026 have gone three sets, resulting in 25 and 30 total games.
Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings rank these two closely on grass, placing Muchova sixth and Gauff ninth. Fewer than 30 points separate them in those rankings.
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Make Your Wimbledon Predictions on PrizePicks
Neither Karolina Muchova nor Coco Gauff has ever reached a Wimbledon semifinal, but Thursday's semifinal should be a blockbuster match between two of the top players in the women’s game.
Will Muchova or Gauff punch their ticket to their first-ever Wimbledon final on Thursday morning?
Don’t wait until today’s Wimbledon semifinal matches start — make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks now.
Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily Wimbledon predictions, tennis picks, and PrizePicks analysis throughout the tournament.
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