As Week 10 of the 2025 campaign rolls on, the playoffs are beginning to come into focus. Could Sunday’s bout between the Chargers and Steelers serve as a postseason preview? The pivotal outing (8:20 pm. ET on NBC and Peacock) sees a pair of three-loss clubs go at it.
With 6-3 Los Angeles looking to avoid losing ground in the AFC West race, QB Justin Herbert’s contributions are critical. The visitors, 5-3 Pittsburgh, could use a win to create more AFC North distance.
Below, we’ll provide Justin Herbert’s stats and pick for Sunday Night Football vs. the Steelers. Use PrizePicks NFL to make your player picks for prime time.
Justin Herbert Stats, Pick for Sunday Night Football
Here are some Justin Herbert projections to monitor against Pittsburgh. PrizePicks also offers many other Chargers vs. Steelers Week 10 picks.
Chargers QB Justin Herbert Projection vs. Steelers: 256.5 Pass Yards
- Over his last four games (3-1 record), Herbert averaged 290.3 passing yards.
- The Chargers hold football’s second-highest pass rate over expected at 4.6%, via nfelo, after being 12th at -1.5% last year.
- On a per-game basis, no defense gives up more passing yards than Pittsburgh’s 299.5. The next-closest is the Cowboys at 271.8.
- Per SumerSports, the Steelers’ pass defense ranks 21st in EPA/play.
- A matchup to watch: in-breaking routes. According to NFL Pro, Herbert leads the NFL with 1,059 yards on such throws this season and Pittsburgh allows the most yards (1,085) on them.
- The Steelers have yielded the sixth-fewest rushing yards to QBs at 111. Despite Herbert’s career-high production (33.9 yards per game), we’re keeping focus on the pass.
- It is worth noting that, per Sharp Football Analysis, Herbert averages 6.5 yards per pass attempt in 193 dropbacks without now-injured tackle Joe Alt. His season is over, and it remains to be seen where trade deadline pickup Trevor Penning slots in.
- Could any presumed pressure fail to stop Herbert anyway? Via Pro Football Focus, he’s first in TDs (7) and second in yards (757) when under duress.
More Justin Herbert Projections vs. Steelers on Sunday Night Football
Herbert has many other SNF projections for Chargers vs. Steelers to pick from, via PrizePicks.
- 282.5 Pass + Rush Yards
- 23.5 Rush Yards
- 35.5 Pass Attempts
- 23.5 Pass Completions
- 1.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
- 0.5 INTs
- 35.5 Yards on Longest Completion
- And More
Make Sunday Night Football Picks on PrizePicks
Under the bright lights, L.A. and Pittsburgh figure to set up several Justin Herbert picks for Week 10. Additionally, PrizePicks offers a multitude of other Chargers vs. Steelers projections. Joining the action is simple.
Just pick your players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and win real-money rewards if you’re right.
Stay here with the Playbook for continued NFL analysis and picks all year long.
