Friday night's Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight at the Kaseya Center in Miami features one of boxing’s most anticipated crossover events. Jake Paul faces former two‑time unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua in a high‑stakes heavyweight bout streaming on Netflix.
This matchup pits Paul’s unconventional rise in the sport against Joshua’s Olympic pedigree and championship resume in a potential career‑defining fight for both.
Paul looks to secure the biggest win of his boxing career, while Joshua — with a massive size advantage — aims to remind the division that he is still one of its most dangerous punchers.
We’ll break down our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prediction and expert pick for tonight's heavyweight fight below, including PrizePicks boxing picks and key stats for this exciting main event bout, analyzing if Paul can pull off the huge upset.
Paul is a significant underdog, with a 6.66x projected payout if he wins, win per PrizePicks Team Picks payouts — where you can pick fight winners and earn money if your picks are right, now available in California, Florida, and 20 more states.
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Prediction for Fight Tonight
Jake Paul enters the biggest boxing match of his career as a massive underdog, returning a 6.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins tonight — that means $100 for Paul to win would payout an estimated $666.
The former Olympic gold medalist and heavyweight champion, Anthony Joshua, comes into this matchup as the heavy favorite, with a 1.08x payout when picked to win.
Fight Winner Payout via PrizePicks Team Picks: Jake Paul 6.66x | Anthony Joshua 1.08x
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Prediction: Pick the Favorite?
- Joshua’s educated jab and feints will freeze Paul’s feet, force predictable counters, and open lanes for the right hand behind the guard.
- AJ’s combination punching is built to produce knockdowns, and Paul has shown a tendency to admire his work and get caught while resetting after exchanges.
- In the clinch and on the inside, Joshua will lean, frame, and punch on the breaks, and Paul hasn’t yet proved he can win those ugly pockets where heavyweights steal rounds and pile up damage.
- Joshua’s body work should matter early; once Paul’s gas tank dips, his hands drop, and his exits slow, giving AJ straight-line finishing chances.
- Of Joshua's 28 career boxing wins, 25 have come by knockout. Joshua to win by knockout is currently projected to payout 1.29x on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Paul vs. Joshua Start Time, How to Watch
Fight: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua – 6-round heavyweight bout
Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET (estimated walk-out time)
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
Where to Watch: Netflix (with subscription)
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Stats, Records For Each Fighter
Let’s see how Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua stack up ahead of tonight’s highly anticipated matchup, where Joshua looks to have a large advantage on paper, in height, reach, and weight.
Jake Paul Boxing Record, Stats
Boxing Record: 12-1
Last 5 Fights: 5-0
Height: 6’1"
Reach: 76”
Last Fight: Win vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Knockouts: 7
Anthony Joshua Boxing Record, Stats
Boxing Record: 28-4
Last 5 Fights: 4-1
Height: 6’6”
Reach: 82”
Last Fight: Loss vs. Daniel Dubois
Knockouts: 25
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Pick for PrizePicks
Here is our expert pick for Paul vs. Joshua. All picks are available via PrizePicks' Boxing board.
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Projection: 8.5 Minutes - Fight Time
- Joshua is a true heavyweight finisher with 25 KOs in 28 wins (89% KO rate).
- Joshua has finished 16 of his 28 opponents in less than 8.5 minutes.
- The former Olympian is listed at 6'6" with an 82-inch reach — meanwhile, “El Gallo” is just 6’1” with a 76” reach, which puts him at a huge size disadvantage.
- Paul’s record (12-1, 7 KOs) and overall resume don’t reflect anything close to surviving elite heavyweight power-and-pressure for more than a mere two rounds.
- Most of Paul’s matchmaking has been against non-traditional boxing opponents like Anderson Silva and Tyron Woodley, with his only legitimate boxing competition coming against an aged Julio Cesar Chavez, Jr.
More Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Projections
Here are all of the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua projections available via PrizePicks, where you can make fight picks to win cash if you're right.
Jake Paul Projections vs. Anthony Joshua
- 24.5 Total Punches Landed
- 8.5 Minutes Fight Time
Anthony Joshua Projections vs. Jake Paul
- 0.5 Total Punches Landed (Max Discount Promo)
- 29.5 Total Punches Landed
- 8.5 Minutes Fight Time
PrizePicks Promo: Anthony Joshua Max Discount
PrizePicks is running a special Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua promo for Joshua's total punches landed, set at 0.5. If Joshua lands just one punch, he will cash his total punches landed projection with this promo, available now on PrizePicks.
That means you’ll already have one win in your Lineup with the Joshua Max Discount pick after he punches Paul once — an easy W.
Just pick at least one more player stat projection (or up to five) from any sport to lock in your Lineup, and win real money if you’re right!
Choose your picks wisely, as you can only use the Anthony Joshua promo in one Lineup!
Make Your Paul vs. Joshua Pick on PrizePicks
Paul vs. Joshua will be broadcast live on Netflix from the Kaseya Center in Miami tonight, December 19, as all eyes will be on whether Jake Paul can hang with his toughest competition to date and rise to legitimacy in the boxing ring.
This much-hyped main event bout pits the polarizing former influencer-turned-boxing star Jake Paul against the former two-time unified heavyweight world champion, Anthony Joshua.
No matter who you think wins the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight, you can make your picks on PrizePicks. From player stat projections to fight winners, it’s the best way to get action on the Paul vs. Joshua fight.
