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Indiana vs. Illinois Prediction, Spread, Sunday College Basketball Picks

Illinois Fighting Illini G Keaton Wagler celebrates a bucket against the Purdue Boilermakers.
AP Photo/Michael Conroy

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-5) look to get on track following their first two-game slide of the season. After an impressive 11-1 Big Ten start, the Illini dropped consecutive overtime decisions to Michigan State (85-82) and Wisconsin (92-90). 

The Indiana Hoosiers (17-8), meanwhile, overcame a four-game skid in January to win five of their last six. Now, the two Big Ten programs square off on Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET on CBS).

With that in mind, let's take a look at an Indiana vs. Illinois prediction and Sunday college basketball picks for the clash at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make picks on player projections, game winners, over/unders, spreads, and more!

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Indiana vs. Illinois Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Illinois rolled past Indiana last season in Bloomington, 94-69, as six-point favorites. The Fighting Illini have won the last two matchups in the series since the Hoosiers captured three straight from 2022 to 2023.

Indiana vs. Illinois Over/Under, Spread

The Fighting Illini enter this matchup as 10.5-point favorites, returning a 1.13x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Hoosiers are road underdogs with a 5.26x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Illinois -10.5
  • Over/Under: 151.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Indiana 5.26x | Illinois 1.13x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Indiana vs. Illinois Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to get you set for Indiana vs. Illinois today, including insights on our Indiana vs. Illinois prediction.

  • Four of Illinois’ five losses have come by four or fewer points. The worst defeat came to UConn in a 74-61 setback on November 28 at Madison Square Garden.
  • Illinois owns the top offensive adjusted efficiency in the nation at 130.8. Indiana ranks 30th at 121.5, which is a nice jump from 66th last season.
  • Since the blowout loss to UConn, the Illini have compiled a 14-3 straight-up and an 11-6 against-the-spread mark. Five of the non-covers came as a 9.5-point favorite or higher. 
  • The Hoosiers failed to cover in their first three underdog opportunities against Louisville, Kentucky, and Michigan State.
  • Out of Indiana’s three conference road wins, two came against Rutgers and Maryland, who sit in the bottom five of the Big Ten.
  • Illinois shot 65.8% (eFG%) in the setback to Wisconsin, marking the first time in eight games the Illini lost after posting a figure of 60% or higher.

Indiana vs. Illinois Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/15/2026

Here are three top Indiana vs. Illinois picks to target on Sunday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Indiana G Lamar Wilkerson, Illinois G Keaton Wagler, and Hoosiers F Tucker DeVries.

Indiana G Lamar Wilkerson vs. Illinois Projection: 22.5 Points

  • After three solid seasons at Sam Houston State, Wilkerson leads IU in scoring at 21.2 points per game (PPG).
  • In Monday’s rout of Oregon, the senior busted out for 41 points on 13-of-20 shooting.
  • Wilkerson compiled at least 24 points in four consecutive games, including a 33-point performance in his last road outing at USC on February 3.
  • In his last six games away from Bloomington, the Arkansas native topped the 24-point mark four times.

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Illinois G Keaton Wagler vs. Indiana Projection: 21.5 Points

  • The freshman exploded for 46 points in a road win at Purdue on January 24. He drilled 9 of 11 attempts from downtown and knocked down 11 free throws.
  • Wagler has scored at least 22 points in four of his last six games, capped off by a 34-point outing against Wisconsin. 
  • The Kansas native has posted inconsistent home scoring numbers, getting held to 17 or fewer points in four of five games prior to the Wisconsin outburst.
  • Wagler hit 52.2% of his shots against the Badgers but has put together consecutive games of at least 50% shooting once in Big Ten play.

Indiana F Tucker DeVries vs. Illinois Projection: 14.5 Pts + Asts

  • DeVries averages 13.8 PPG and 3.3 assists per contest in his first season with IU. It is the lowest scoring average of his five-year career.
  • Following three consecutive games of single-digit scoring, the former Drake standout compiled 16 points against Wisconsin and 15 against Oregon. 
  • Since December 20, the senior finished with 15 or fewer combined points and assists in nine of 15 games.
  • DeVries shot 12-of-37 from the floor in his last three road games.

Make Indiana vs. #8 Illinois Picks on PrizePicks

Illinois looks to snap a two-game losing streak against an Indiana squad seeking a third consecutive victory. There’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every Big Ten moment than with PrizePicks.

There are hundreds of player stat projections on the CBB board for every game; just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or with Team Picks, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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