The No. 12 High Point Panthers (31-4) pulled off the most notable upset in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and seek an encore performance vs. the No. 4 Arkansas Razorbacks (27-8) on Saturday, March 21, at 9:45 p.m. ET on TBS.
Will High Point make more noise as a 10.5-point underdog, per PrizePicks Team Picks?
Let’s look at our High Point vs. Arkansas prediction and player projections on PrizePicks for Saturday’s showdown at Moda Center in Portland.
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High Point vs. Arkansas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
These squads met back on December 28, 2013, in Fayetteville as Arkansas cruised to an 89-48 blowout win.
Arkansas easily covered as 13.5-point favorites in Thursday’s rout of No. 13 Hawaii, improving to 23-12 against the spread (ATS).
High Point holds a 16-16 ATS mark and comes off its only game as an underdog vs. No. 5 Wisconsin, which it won 83-82 as 10.5-point underdogs.
High Point vs. Arkansas Spread, Over/Under
The Razorbacks enter this matchup as a 10.5-point favorite, returning a 1.13x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Panthers are underdogs with a 5.88x payout if they win, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Arkansas -10.5
- Over/Under: 168.5
- Game Winner Payout: High Point 5.88x | Arkansas 1.13x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
High Point vs. Arkansas Prediction on Spread for NCAA Tournament – 3/21/26
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your High Point vs. Arkansas second-round prediction for Saturday, March 21, on PrizePicks.
- Arkansas owns the fourth-best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country, per KenPom.
- Head coach John Calipari’s squad takes care of the ball better than any team in the nation, posting the lowest turnover rate at 12.3%.
- The Panthers rank fourth in lowest turnover rate (12.9%), while causing a 21.7% turnover rate defensively (fifth).
- High Point converted its fewest free throws of the season vs. Wisconsin, hitting 6-of-9 attempts.
- Arkansas made 35 2-point field goals vs. Hawaii — its most vs. any team this season.
- High Points has not allowed more than 26 made 2-pointers this season and cedes 51.6% shooting on 2-point tries (174th).
- Arkansas covered eight of 11 times as a double-digit favorite, and two of the non-covers came when laying more than 22 points.
- In the last 65 games, High Point has been an underdog twice, and both were in NCAA Tournament contests.
- The Panthers failed to cover in a 75-63 loss vs. Purdue in the 2025 NCAA Tournament as eight-point underdogs.
- After faiCalipari seeks his second straight regional semifinals appearance lArkansas.
High Point vs. Arkansas Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/21/26
Here are three High Point vs. Arkansas picks to target on Saturday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Arkansas G Darius Acuff, Jr., High Point G Chase Johnston, and Razorbacks F Trevon Brazile.
Arkansas G Darius Acuff, Jr. vs. High Point Projection: 26.5 Points
- The freshman sensation scored 24 points in Thursday’s win over Hawaii, and it was his fourth straight 24+ point performance.
- Since dropping 49 points in a double-overtime loss at Alabama on February 18, he's remained below this projection in five of the past eight outings.
- The Panthers have given up more than 27 points to a player twice in the past three contests.
- In the previous eight games, Acuff is shooting 61-of-145 (42%) from the floor.
- Since hitting 16 field goals vs. Alabama, the Detroit native has reached at least 10 made field goals only once since February 21.
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High Point G Chase Johnston vs. Arkansas Projection: 6.5 Points
- Every March, the nation looks for an unknown player to root for, and Johnston made his case with 14 points vs. Wisconsin.
- Johnston’s first 68 baskets this season came from 3-point land before scoring his first 2-pointer with the game-winning layup in Thursday’s upset.
- In the past two games, Johnston knocked down 7-of-9 shots from deep (77.8%). He seeks double-digit scoring in three straight games for the first time this season.
- Arkansas allows 31.8% shooting from 3-point range but has yielded at least 9 treys in three consecutive games.
Arkansas F Trevon Brazile vs. High Point Projection: 22.5 Pts+Rebs
- The senior averages 13.4 points per game (PPG) and 7.4 rebounds per contest.
- Brazile posted 19 points and 6 rebounds vs. Hawaii, surpassing this projection in six consecutive games.
- In four of the past five outings, Brazile attempted at least 12 shots. He is averaging 16.0 PPG in the five-game split and pulled down at least 9 rebounds in four of those contests.
Make High Point vs. Arkansas Picks on PrizePicks
The Panthers seek their first trip to the regional semifinals, but they must pull off another massive upset vs. No. 4 Arkansas. Will the Hogs hold off High Point for their seventh consecutive victory?
You can make your High Point vs. Arkansas picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news through the NCAA Tournament.
