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Heat vs. Hawks vs 76ers Prediction, Spread: Bam Adebayo Battles Jalen Johnson

Heat C Bam Adebayo celebrates during an NBA game.
AP Photo/Erin Hooley

The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks meet in a possible Play-In Tournament preview on Friday night in Atlanta. It’s a matchup of two teams battling for playoff spots in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks-76ers Friday night game itips at 7:30 p.m. ET.

The Heat play their first game since the All-Star break, having split their last 18 games. Miami sits in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks are fighting for a spot in the Play-In as well, currently in ninth place in the East, one and a half games behind the Heat..

Below, we’ll break down our Heat vs. Hawks prediction and spread for Friday’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Spread

The Heat and Hawks, who have a combined seven Play-In Tournament appearances between them, meet for the 145th time in the regular season. The Heat hold an 82-62 series edge, with the teams splitting the two games this season, including a Hawks win early this month.   

Heat vs. Hawks Spread, Over/Under

The Heat enter the Eastern Conference game as 3.5-point favorites, returning a 1.61x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Hawks are the underdogs with a 2.22x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Miami Heat -3.5
  • Over/Under: 245.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Hawks 2.22x | Heat 1.61x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Heat vs. Hawks Prediction on Spread

  • The Heat are 32-24 against the spread this season. The 57.1% cover percentage is fourth-best in the league behind Phoenix, San Antonio, and Charlotte. 
  • Miami is 18-11 ATS as an underdog, including a 5-2 ATS record on the road, third-best in the league.. 
  • Miami has split the season with 28 games going over and 28 games going under. However, four of the last six games before the break went under the posted total. 
  • Miami has the highest pace in the NBA at 104.87 and is averaging 119.5 points per game, fifth-highest in the NBA.
  • The Hawks are 27-30 against the spread this season. Atlanta covered last night in Philly to end a streak of four straight non-covers. 
  • Atlanta has been much better as an underdog this season, covering in 19 of 33 games. 
  • The Hawks are tenth in the NBA, averaging 117.3 PPG and sixth in shooting 3’s at 37%.

Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Heat vs. Hawks injury report for Friday, via NBA.com 

Heat Injury Report 

  • G Tyler Herro (ribs) - Probable
  • F Keshad Johnson (calf) - Questionable
  • G Norman Powell (back) - Questionable

Hawks Injury Report

  • Not yet submitted

Heat vs. Hawks Picks for PrizePicks Today: February 20

Here are two Heat vs. Hawks picks to target for Friday, February 20 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by C Bam Adebayo and Hawks F Jalen Johnson.

Heat C Bam Adebayo Projection vs. Hawks: 18.5 Points

  • Heat C Bam Adebayo has reached his player points projection in three straight and in 10 of the past 13 games. This came after not reaching his point projection in 14 straight games from December 6 to January 11.  
  • Adebayo has scored 20+ in 23 of 48 games played this season, including three straight and 11 of the past 13 games.  
  • In 28 career games vs. the Hawks, Adebayo is averaging 17.0 PPG and 8.9 rebounds a games.
  • The Kentucky product is scoring 18.4 points per game, third-best on the Heat behind Norman Powell and Tyler Herro. 

Hawks F Jalen Johnson Projection vs. Heat: 6.5 Assists

  • Hawks F Jalen Johnson has reach his assist projection in five of the last six and in seven of the last 10 games. 
  • The listed total of 6.5 assists is two less than Thursday’s listed 8.5. He got 5 assists vs. the 76ers. 
  • In the last five games before the break, Johnson totaled 53 assists, 10.6 per game.
  • The Duke product averages 8.1 assists per game, seventh-best in the NBA.  

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Make Heat vs. Hawks NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Heat start off the second half of the season with a win and climb up the Eastern Conference standings? Or will the Hawks build on their Thursday win and stay in the play-in game hunt?

You can make your Heat vs. Hawks picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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