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Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Spread: Eye Bam Adebayo, Derrick White?

Heat C Bam Adebayo celebrates in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Erin Hooley

With the dust settling from Thursday’s trade deadline, the NBA brings six games to the table Friday. One of them features the Miami Heat (27-25) playing the Boston Celtics (33-18) at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass.

Below, we'll give you the best Heat vs. Celtics predictions and spread for PrizePicks today, including for Heat C-F Bam Adebayo and Celtics G Derrick White.

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Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Spread

The Heat have a lot of size with C Bam Adebayo and C Kel’el Ware patrolling the paint. That was previously an area of weakness for the Celtics, but they stabilized their center position by acquiring C Nikola Vucevic from the Bulls. He averaged 16.9 points, 9.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.7 three-pointers with Chicago.

The Celtics have the best offensive rating (120.7) in the league, and adding Vucevic should only help in that regard. They have the potential to score in bunches Friday with the Heat playing at the fastest pace (105.15) in the league.

Heat vs. Celtics Over/Under, Spread

The Celtics are 4.5 point favorites, returning a 1.36x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Heat are underdogs on the road with a 2.9 x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Celtics -4.5
  • Total: 229.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Celtics 1.36x | Heat 2.9x

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.


Heat vs. Celtics Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Heat vs. Celtics injury report for Friday, via NBA.com.

Heat Injury Report

  • G Tyler Herro (ribs): OUT

Celtics Injury Report

  • F John Tonje (pending trade): OUT

Heat vs. Celtics Numbers to Know

Here are some facts and figures to prepare you for your Heat vs. Celtics picks on PrizePicks.

  • The Celtics have won four of their last five games at home. All four of those wins came by at least 8 points.
  • Boston has won four straight games overall with each victory coming by at least 10 points.
  • Miami is 6-5 over their last 11 games without Herro.
  • The Heat are 0-2 against the Celtics this season with both losses coming by at least 5 points.
  • When these teams played in Boston, the Celtics won 129-116.

Heat vs. Celtics Picks for PrizePicks, Friday, February 6

Here are three of the top Heat vs. Celtics picks on PrizePicks for today. Player stat projections via the PrizePicks real money NBA game.

Heat C-F Bam Adebayo vs. Celtics Projection: 6.5 FG Made

  • Adebayo made at least 7 field goals in nine of his last 13 games.
  • The star big man averages 14.5 shot attempts for the season, putting him on pace to attempt at least 14.3 shots a game for the fourth straight campaign.
  • Over the last 11 games without Herro, Adebayo averaged 7.1 field goals made and 17.0 field goals attempted.
  • In two previous meetings with the Celtics, Adebayo made 6 and 8 field goals.

Celtics G Derrick White vs. Heat Projection: 10 Rebs+Asts

  • White averages 4.5 rebounds and 5.6 assists for the season.
  • The 31-year-old has averaged 5.0 rebounds and 6.3 assists across his last 13 games.
  • White averages 34 minutes per game for the season and should continue to play a ton after the Celtics weakened their backcourt depth by trading G Anfernee Simons to the Bulls.
  • The Heat allow the second-most rebounds (47.3) and the ninth-most assists per game (27.3) in the league.
  • White finished with exactly 11 rebounds and assists in both previous games versus Miami.

Celtics C Neemias Queta vs. Heat Projection: 18.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts

  • Even with the Celtics limited at center this season, C Neemias Queta only averages 25 minutes per game.
  • With Vucevic now in the fold, Queta could see his opportunities decline. Vucevic is on pace to average 31 minutes a game for the eighth straight season.
  • The fifth-year big man only has a 14.8% usage rate. He also shoots only 67.0% from the charity stripe.
  • In two previous meetings with the Heat, Queta recorded 16 and 18 combined points, rebounds, and assists.

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Make Heat vs. Celtics NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Adebayo and White have the potential to thrive when the Celtics host the Heat on Friday, but Queta could be in line for fewer minutes with Vucevic now in the fold for Boston. With plenty of projections to consider for Heat vs. Celtics and the rest of Friday’s slate, now is the time to build your NBA Lineup on PrizePicks.

Just pick More or Less for at least two NBA player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook for more NBA picks and analysis all the way through the season.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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