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Heat vs. 76ers Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Thursday, February 26

76ers G Tyrese Maxey dribbles a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Phil Long

Thursday’s 10-game slate includes an Eastern Conference showdown between the Miami Heat (31-28) and the Philadelphia 76ers (32-26). The game tips at 7:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass.

Below, we’ll break down our Heat vs. 76ers prediction and picks for Thursday night’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals

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Heat vs. 76ers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

These teams deploy contrasting styles. The Heat play at the fastest pace (104.90) in the league, while the 76ers rank 19th (100.02) in the category.

A big difference is that the Heat rank fifth in defensive rating (111.5), compared to the 76ers checking in at 15 (114.9).

If there is an edge for the 76ers, it’s at the free throw line. They attempt the sixth-most free throws per game (25.7) and make them at the fourth-highest rate (81.4%). The Heat are 12th in free throws attempted per game (24.8) and 14th in free throw percentage (78.6%).


Heat vs. 76ers Spread, Over/Under

The Heat enter Thursday’s game as 2.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2.08x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The 76ers are home favorites with a 1.66x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: 76ers -2.5
  • Total: 241.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Heat 2.08x | 76ers 1.66x

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.


Heat vs. 76ers Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Heat vs. 76ers injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.

Heat Injury Report

  • F Nikola Jovic (back): OUT
  • G Davion Mitchell (head): Questionable

76ers Injury Report

  • C Joel Embiid (knee): Probable

Heat vs. 76ers Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Heat vs. 76ers prediction on the spread for Thursday, February 26 on PrizePicks.

  • The 76ers are 6-1 over the last seven games that Embiid has played.
  • While the Heat are 17-11 at home, they are only 14-17 on the road.
  • Philadelphia is 19-14 against the spread as favorites.
  • The Heat have not been tested much lately, playing six straight games against teams with a losing record. They went 4-2 during that span.
  • Since January 1, Miami has only beaten two teams with a winning record on the road.

Heat vs. 76ers Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/26

Here are top Heat vs. 76ers picks to target for Thursdsay, February 26 on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Tyrese Maxey and Kelly Oubre Jr..

76ers G Tyrese Maxey vs. Heat Projection: 5.5 Free Throws Attempted

  • Maxey plays a ton, averaging 38 minutes per game. This would be the third straight season in which he averages 38 minutes a night.
  • The All-Star guard averages a career-high 6.2 free throw attempts per game.
  • Maxey attempted at least 8 free throws in six of his last seven games. The one time he didn’t reach that threshold, he had 5 attempts from the charity stripe in a 135-108 win over the Timberwolves.
  • The 25-year-old ranks 20th in the NBA in drives to the basket per game (13.3).

76ers F-G Kelly Oubre Jr. vs. Heat Projection: 14.5 Points

  • Oubre averaged 15.3 points over the last 11 games since 76ers F Paul George was suspended.
  • The former first-round pick scored at least 15 points in eight of those 11 games.
  • Oubre shoots 48.4% from the field at home, versus 44.6% on the road.
  • The 30-year-old is shooting a career high 37.0% from behind the arc and has drained at least three triples in four of his last seven matchups.

Heat C Kel’el Ware vs. 76ers Projection: 9.5 Points

  • Despite only logging 22 minutes per game, Ware averages 11.4 points.
  • Not only does the big man shoot 52.9% from the field, but he also makes 40.3% of his attempts from behind the arc. He also shoots 77.9% from the free throw line, up from 68.7% during his rookie campaign.
  • Ware has scored at least 11 points in five of his last six games.
  • When these two teams met in November, Ware posted 20 points and 16 rebounds over 26 minutes in a 127-117 win for the Heat.

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Make Heat vs. 76ers Picks on PrizePicks

Maxey and Oubre will try to lead the 76ers to a win at home over the Heat, while Ware will attempt to help Miami with his efficient scoring.

You can make your TEAM vs. TEAM picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news every day until the 2026 NBA Finals.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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