The Miami Heat (20-16) and Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13) are set to meet for the second time this season at the Target Center on Tuesday. Miami’s offense didn’t reach its usual standard when these two teams last played, and Minnesota is up 1-0 in the season series.
We’ll soon find out whether the Heat can even the score with a better performance at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock.
Below, we'll preview the game and break down a Heat vs. Timberwolves prediction and NBA picks for Tuesday, including PrizePicks player projections and Team Picks data to monitor.
Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Heat didn’t have the best outlook when SF Jimmy Butler forced his way to the Golden State Warriors, but Norman Powell has been everything they’ve needed and more following his departure.
The former Los Angeles Clippers sharpshooter is leading Miami with a career-high 24.4 points while shooting 48.8% from the field and 42.1% from deep. His productivity and efficiency during G Tyler Herro’s injury-riddled year have lifted the Heat to new heights.
Miami had a bottom-10 scoring offense in 2024, but now ranks fourth with an average of 120.8 points. On the other side, Minnesota can count on one of the league’s most elite offensive engines.
SG Anthony Edwards has raised his level of play and is averaging a career-high 29.4 points per game. He’s shooting 50.4% from the field and 40.0% from beyond the arc. Both those marks are career-highs as well. Still, the Timberwolves are underperforming as a team.
Minnesota is on track to finish outside the top five in the Western Conference after making a run to last year’s Western Conference Finals. PG Mike Conley’s decline has left the squad fairly limited in the backcourt, and its defense is experiencing a drop in quality after giving up the fifth-fewest PPG last season.
F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) is out for Miami, while Edwards (injury maintenance) is questionable.
Heat vs. Timberwolves Over/Under, Spread
The Timberwolves are 5.5-point favorites, returning a 1.51x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Heat will return a 2.43x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
- Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5
- Over/Under: 237.5
- Game Winner Payout: Heat 2.43x | Timberwolves 1.51x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Heat vs. Timberwolves today.
- Miami is 9-6 against the spread as a road underdog this season.
- Minnesota is 6-9 ATS as a home favorite.
- The Heat are 13-7 ATS when both teams have equal rest.
- Only three teams have covered fewer times (7) than the Timberwolves at home.
Heat vs. Timberwolves NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are two of the top Heat vs. Timberwolves picks to consider for PrizePicks today. Player projections via the PrizePicks real-money NBA game.
Heat SF Norman Powell vs. Timberwolves Projection – 23.5 Points
- Powell is making 3.1 triples per contest; Minnesota allows the third-fewest made 3-pointers per game (12.7).
- The UCLA product spends just 12.0% of his time on the ball, per databallr. That’s a 45th-percentile figure.
- The Miami wing logged a season-low 25 minutes in his first meeting with the Timberwolves this season.
- The Heat’s leading scorer has fallen short of 25 points in four of his six career starts against Minnesota.
Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards vs. Heat Projection – 39.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Edwards is attempting 31.5 shots per 100 possessions, a 100th-percentile figure.
- The Georgia product spends a whopping 35.8% of his time on the ball.
- Ant-Man has scored at least 30 points in three straight contests.
- The Timberwolves' star has averaged 40.9 combined points, rebounds, and assists over his previous 10 games.
Make Heat vs. Timberwolves Picks on PrizePicks
The Timberwolves won their first matchup against the Heat and will face them again on Tuesday. Both teams are depending on efficient volume scorers to power their offenses, but Edwards may be poised to outshine Norman Powell.
You can make Heat vs. Timberwolves picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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