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Hawks vs. Bucks Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 4

Milwaukee Bucks PF Giannis Antetokounmpo dribbles up the floor against the Washington Wizards.
AP Photo/Morry Gash

The Atlanta Hawks (31-31) head to Fiserv Forum to clash with the struggling Milwaukee Bucks (26-34) on Wednesday, with Atlanta riding a sudden four-game win streak and Milwaukee desperately trying to snap a three-game skid.

This recent stretch for Atlanta has been powered by the play of F Jonathan Kuminga, whereas Milwaukee aims to defend home court with PF Giannis Antetokounmpo healthy again. Tip-off for this Eastern Conference showdown is at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Below, we’ll break down our Hawks vs. Bucks prediction and picks for Wednesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Hawks vs. Bucks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Even with both squads hovering around or below the .500 mark, Wednesday's clash carries postseason implications. The teams are battling for vital positioning in the crowded Eastern Conference play-in race, with the Hawks sitting at the No. 10 seed and the Bucks trying to climb back into the picture.

Atlanta has found a rhythm at the perfect time. The club's breakout star, Kuminga, was acquired from the Golden State Warriors and has been an undeniable engine. He's consistently filling up the stat sheet since joining the Hawks, averaging a massive 21.3 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 3.3 assists.

Milwaukee, on the other hand, is just attempting to stop the bleeding and avoid slipping completely out of contention. The Bucks haven't been able to string together consistent stops. They lean heavily on their franchise cornerstone, Antetokounmpo, who scored 19 points with 11 boards in 25 minutes of action in his first game back from injury on Monday.

The Bucks lead the season series 1-0 with a 112-110 victory over Atlanta back on January 19.

Hawks vs. Bucks Over/Under, Spread

The Hawks enter this matchup as 2.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Bucks are home favorites with a 1.81x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Milwaukee Bucks -2.5
  • Over/Under: 231.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Hawks 2x | Bucks 1.81x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Hawks vs. Bucks Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Hawks vs. Bucks injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.

Atlanta Hawks Injury Report

  • N/A — no reported injuries

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report

  • F Taurean Prince (neck): OUT

Hawks vs. Bucks Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to help you make your Hawks vs. Bucks prediction on spread for Wednesday, March 4.

  • Milwaukee enters Wednesday at a sluggish 27-33-0 against the spread (45.0%), while Atlanta sits exactly at the break-even mark at 31-31-0 ATS (50.0%).
  • The Bucks have struggled to protect their home court, owning a 13-16-0 ATS record (44.8%).
  • Atlanta has been reliable on the road, boasting a nice 18-14-0 (56.2%) ATS mark.
  • The Hawks bring a surging offense (117.4 PPG) into this contest, perhaps providing a highly favorable matchup against a vulnerable Milwaukee defense allowing 115.6 PPG.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread in four straight entering Wednesday’s showdown.

Hawks vs. Bucks Picks for PrizePicks Today

Here are two top Hawks vs. Bucks picks to target for Wednesday, March 4 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by PF Giannis Antetokounmpo and F Jonathan Kuminga.

Bucks PF Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Hawks Projection: 36 Pts + Rebs

  • Antetokounmpo is averaging a combined 37.8 points and rebounds on the year, oftentimes clearing this projection on the back of his 27.7 PPG and 10.1 RPG.
  • In his most recent clash with the Hawks on January 19, the two-time MVP dominated the interior with 21 points and a massive 17 boards.
  • Atlanta's frontcourt provides a glaring statistical mismatch today, as the Hawks surrender a staggering 54.7 (eighth-most) total opponent rebounds per contest.
  • The Hawks' defense bleeds 117.4 PPG and allows PFs to post 21.7 points and 10.7 rebounds a night.

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Hawks F Jonathan Kuminga vs. Bucks Projection: 14.5 Points

  • Kuminga's 21.3 PPG since coming over to the Hawks comes alongside just 26.7 average minutes.
  • Per FantasyPros, Milwaukee's defense surrenders 22.9 PPG to opposing SFs this season.
  • In Kuminga's first two games, the Hawks outscored their opponents by 39 points with him on the floor, the highest plus-minus by any Hawks player in their first two games with the team.
  • Kuminga is taking 48.4% of his shots in the restricted area with Atlanta. Milwaukee allows 45.2 PPG in the paint.

Make Hawks vs. Bucks Picks on PrizePicks

Hawks vs. Bucks Wednesday NBA picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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