The 2026 NCAA Tournament shifts into high gear on Thursday, March 19, as the No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (26-8) square off against the No. 13 seed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (24-8).
Fresh off a dominant SEC Tournament, the Razorbacks aim to launch a deep run as heavy 15.5-point favorites, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Let’s break down our Hawaii vs. Arkansas spread prediction for this showdown, tipping off at 4:25 p.m. ET on TBS. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Hawaii vs. Arkansas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Razorbacks are a dark horse pick to make a deep run in the 2026 NCAA Tournament, returning a strong payout on PrizePicks Team Picks. Arkansas caught fire down the stretch, winning 13 of its final 15 games, and hasn't been defeated since dropping a late-February SEC road clash.
Arkansas is currently riding a five-game winning streak and has overwhelmed opponents with a top-five national offense that averages a blistering 89.9 points per game.
G Darius Acuff Jr. is a player to watch out for after earning SEC Player of the Year honors and leading John Calipari's Razorbacks in both points (22.9) and assists (6.5) each night.
Arkansas has faced Hawaii only twice in its history. The Razorbacks came away with a 79-60 win in their first meeting in Honolulu back in 1977.
However, covering the 15.5-point spread with a lofty over/under of 158.5 may be a unique test against head coach Eran Ganot's disciplined Rainbow Warriors defense.
Hawaii vs. Arkansas Spread, Over/Under
The Rainbow Warriors enter this matchup as 15.5-point underdogs, returning a 7.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Meanwhile, Arkansas is the favorite with a 1.06x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Arkansas -15.5 (1.88x payout)
- Over/Under: 158.5 (1.75x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Hawaii 7.69x | Arkansas 1.06x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
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Hawaii vs. Arkansas Prediction on Spread – 3/19/26
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Hawaii vs. Arkansas prediction against the spread for the NCAA Tournament matchup on Thursday, March 19, on PrizePicks.
- Arkansas owns a 22-12 against-the-spread record (64.7%). Hawaii, by contrast, checks in at a pedestrian 13-17 ATS (43.3%).
- No. 4 seeds are 10-10 ATS against No. 13 seeds over the last five NCAA Tournaments.
- According to Bart Torvik, Arkansas ranks sixth nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Hawaii ranks 211th in adjusted offensive rating (107.1).
- Acuff is a legitimate Naismith Award candidate, averaging 22.9 PPG and 6.5 APG while ranking fourth in the nation in scoring. He exploded for 91 points across three SEC Tournament games.
- Arkansas is in the top 10 in the nation with only 8.9 turnovers per game and ranks seventh in 3-point percentage (38.9%), scoring an eye-popping 89.9 PPG (second).
- Hawaii's best shot at a cover may be on the defensive end, where the Rainbow Warriors rank in the top 15 in rebounds (26 DRPG) and opponent 3-point percentage (30.7%).
- The Rainbow Warriors counter with a two-headed frontcourt attack. C Isaac Johnson (14.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 50.3 FG%) and F Harry Rouhliadeff (10.8 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 52.6 FG%) give Hawaii paint presence, but Arkansas outrebounds opponents 36.1 to 34.6 per game.
- Hawaii enters as a No. 13 seed riding the program's first Big West Tournament title since 2016, but their 24-8 record was built almost entirely against Big West competition. That might make a 15.5-point cover against an SEC powerhouse a steep ask.
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Make Hawaii vs. Arkansas Picks on PrizePicks
Arkansas has navigated a gauntlet of elite competition throughout the 2025-26 campaign, recently capping it off with a hard-earned SEC Tournament crown. Can the Razorbacks sustain that blazing momentum as their 2026 NCAA Tournament journey officially tips off?
You can make your Hawaii vs. Arkansas picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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