Game 5 of the Vegas Golden Knights vs. Carolina Hurricanes in the 2026 Stanley Cup Final is set for puck drop at 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 11. The Hurricanes are favored to win Game 5, returning a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they are victorious.
After falling in double overtime in Game 3, the Hurricanes bounced back with a 5-3 win against the Golden Knights in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final. Can Carolina take advantage on their home ice and claim their first lead of the series?
Below, we'll break down our Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prediction and picks for Thursday’s NHL Game 5, including the puck line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Stanley Cup Final: Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Prediction, Winner, Over/Under for Game 5
The Hurricanes nearly completed one of the more improbable comebacks in Stanley Cup Final history in Game 3, but the Golden Knights ultimately secured a 4-3 win in double overtime. However, Carolina bounced back in a big way with a 5-3 victory in Game 4 to even the series.
Carolina made a bold move to switch goaltenders in Game 4 as Brandon Bussi drew the start in place of Frederik Andersen, who had started every playoff game up to that point. Bussi stopped 18 of the 21 shots that he faced, including stopping all nine in the third period.
According to MoneyPuck, Bussi has registered a .952 save percentage when facing unblocked shots during the 2026 postseason. The 27-year-old netminder played the final 45:36 of Game 3 in relief of Andersen in addition to Game 4.
In Game 4, one of the lone bright spots for Vegas was the play of RW Mitch Marner, who tallied an assist on William Karlsson’s second-period goal.
Marner now has 8 points (3 goals and 5 assists), joining Mario Lemieux (1991), Brian Leetch (1994), and Mikko Rantanen (2022) as the only players in NHL history to tally 8 points in their first four Stanley Cup Final games, according to ESPN Insights.
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Winner Payout, Over/Under for Game 5 – Thursday, June 11
The Hurricanes enter Thursday’s Game 5 as home favorites against the Golden Knights, returning a 1.58x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes game on PrizePicks.
- Puck Line: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (2.56x payout)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (2.08x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Golden Knights 2.22x | Hurricanes 1.58x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Carolina Hurricanes Timeline, Matchup History
Here is the full Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: 9-9-2
Regular Season: Golden Knights, 2-0
Series: 2-2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Stanley Cup Final Timeline, Schedule
- Game 1: Golden Knights 5, Hurricanes 4
- Game 2: Hurricanes 4, Golden Knights 3 (OT)
- Game 3: Golden Knights 5, Hurricanes 4 (2OT)
- Game 4: Hurricanes 5, Golden Knights 3
- Game 5: Thursday, June 11, 8:00 p.m. ET in Carolina
- Game 6: Sunday, June 14, 8:00 p.m. ET in Las Vegas
- Game 7 if necessary
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Prediction on Over/Under for Stanley Cup Final, Game 5 – 6/11/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prediction on the Game 5 over/under for Thursday, June 11.
Lock in your Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prediction on PrizePicks before the puck drops.
- The over is 4-0 in the 2026 Stanley Cup Final.
- According to ESPN Insights, the Golden Knights and Hurricanes have combined to score 33 goals in the first four games of the series, which is tied for the third-most in a Stanley Cup Final.
- The Golden Knights rank second among playoff teams with 3.70 goals per game, while the Hurricanes are fourth with 3.47.
- Per NHL Edge Stats, Vegas leads the league in high-danger shots on goal (160) throughout the postseason. Meanwhile, Carolina is right on their heels in second at 155.
- The Golden Knights own a 25.6% shooting percentage from high-danger areas, which is third among playoff teams.
- The Hurricanes have converted four of their 10 power-play opportunities in the Stanley Cup Final. During the postseason, Carolina has scored the fourth-most power-play goals (11) in the NHL.
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks for Game 5 Tonight
Here are the top Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes picks to target in Game 5 on Thursday, June 11. Today’s NHL picks for PrizePicks include Brett Howden and Jordan Staal.
Golden Knights LW Brett Howden vs. Hurricanes: 1.5 Shots on Goal
- Howden has registered at least 2 shots on goal in three of the four Stanley Cup Final games.
- According to NHL Edge Stats, Howden has recorded 37 shots on goal throughout the 2026 postseason, which ranks in the 92nd percentile.
- The Golden Knights star has racked up 4 goals throughout the Stanley Cup Final, including a 2-goal performance in Game 2.
- The Vegas winger has tallied 17 shots on goal from high-danger areas of the ice, ranking in the 95th percentile.
Add Brett Howden to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Hurricanes C Jordan Staal vs. Golden Knights: 11.5 Faceoffs Won
- Staal has won at least 12 faceoffs in five of his last six games, including in three of the four Stanley Cup Final games.
- The Hurricanes’ center has won 55.5% (207 of 373) of his faceoffs throughout the postseason.
- Staal has won at least 12 draws in nine of his 17 playoff games in 2026.
- The two-time Selke Trophy winner takes an average of 21.9 faceoffs per game throughout the postseason.
Add Jordan Staal to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Game 5 Picks on PrizePicks
The Golden Knights and Hurricanes have certainly had a habit of lighting up the scoreboard through the first four games of the Stanley Cup Final. Will the two teams combine to produce another high-scoring affair in Game 5?
Don’t wait until puck drop — make your Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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