Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Thursday, October 29

Two of the top teams in the AAC will clash in primetime on Thursday evening. The North Texas Mean Green will host the Florida Atlantic Owls on Thursday, October 29, kicking off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Mean Green are a 13.5-point favorite on the spread, via PrizePicks.

North Texas has assembled a 5-2 record to start off the 2026 season and is fresh off a 49-39 win against Navy last week. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic is also 5-2, including a 51-49 win over Rice in Week 8. 

Below, we’ll break down our Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas prediction and picks for Thursday night’s game, including the spread, over/under, and player projections for PrizePicks.

Make your Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas picks on PrizePicks now!

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Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, October 29

North Texas enters Thursday's game as a 13.5-point favorite against Florida Atlantic, returning a 1.16x payout if it wins outright, via PrizePicks — or $116 on a $100 entry if you’re right.

Here are the full payouts for Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.

Since head coach Eric Morris has taken over, North Texas has reached bowl games in back-to-back seasons. North Texas went 12-2 in 2025 and defeated San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl.

In 2026, the Mean Green have gotten off to a sensational start and have been one of the country's most lethal offenses. North Texas has averaged the second-most PPG in the country (43.1), while putting up 525.7 total yards per game (fourth nationally).

North Texas QB Tayven Jackson has been one of the nation’s most dangerous signal-callers, completing 72.4% of his passes and tossing 18 TDs this season. Jackson averages 310.4 passing yards per contest and is coming off a game in which he completed 17 of 23 passes for 305 yards and 3 TDs against Navy.

One of Jackson’s top targets has been WR Justin Stevenson, who sports 41 catches for 662 yards and 7 TDs. According to Game on Paper, Stevenson has tallied 13.39 yards per target this season, ranking 23rd among WRs. 

As impressive as North Texas has been through the air, the Mean Green also possess a dangerous ground attack. RB Jahiem White has registered 861 rushing yards (11th nationally) and 11 TDs (tied for fourth nationally) on 7.4 yards per carry. White has rushed for 105+ yards in four consecutive games and has found the end zone in all seven games this season.

Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic has gone five straight losing seasons and won no more than five games in any of those campaigns. The Owls have won five of their last six games, with their only loss coming against Army earlier this month. 

Like North Texas, Florida Atlantic has a high-powered offense that has dominated and been one of the AAC's more dangerous units.

QB Caden Veltkamp leads the Owls and owns the highest completion percentage in the conference (73.1%). Veltkamp also totals 7.15 yards per dropback this season, ranking 43rd in the country.

Veltkamp has two highly productive targets in WR Easton Messer and WR Kelby Valsin. Messer (709 receiving yards) and Valsin (679) are the AAC's top two WRs, and Messer has topped 100 yards in three games in 2026.

The Owls are also one of the top offenses when it comes to high-pressure situations. In fact, Florida Atlantic ranks first nationally in third- and fourth-down success rate, with a 59.8% conversion rate.

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Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Prediction on Over/Under – 10/29/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas over/under pick for Thursday, October 29.

• The over is 6-1 in Florida Atlantic’s seven games this season, while the over has hit in six of North Texas’ seven contests. Additionally, the over is 2-0 in the last two meetings between the teams.
• North Texas averages the fourth-most total yards per game in the nation (525.7), while Florida Atlantic has racked up 428.1 yards per contest (third in AAC).
• Led by QB Tayven Jackson, the Mean Green are tied for the second-most passing yards per game in the country (341.0), with only Oregon State tallying more per contest (384.9).
• The Mean Green post 0.41 EPA/pass (third nationally), while the Owls are giving up 0.24 EPA/pass (114th nationally).
• Jackson leads the AAC in passing yards (2,171) and yards per completion (9.8), while ranking second in the conference for completion percentage (72.4%) and passing TDs (18).
• Florida Atlantic also has an electric aerial attack, averaging 312.1 passing yards per contest. By contrast, North Texas has surrendered 0.21 EPA/pass, ranking 105th nationally.
• Owls QB Caden Veltkamp logs 0.27 EPA per dropback, sitting 15th among collegiate QBs. Veltkamp has thrown for 300+ yards and 3+ TDs in three of his last four games.
• Both defenses have struggled at times, with Florida Atlantic allowing 34.0 PPG (second in AAC) and North Texas surrendering 30.6 PPG (fourth in AAC). 

Lock in your Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.

Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 10/29/26

Here are the top Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas picks to target on Thursday, October 29. Today’s college football picks for PrizePicks include WR Easton Messer and QB Tayven Jackson.

Florida Atlantic WR Easton Messer vs. North Texas: 106.5 Rec Yards

• Messer leads Florida Atlantic in receptions (58) and receiving yards (709), and is tied for the team lead in receiving TDs (6) through seven games.
• The senior WR has registered the third-most targets (70) in the nation, behind only Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith (72), Miami WR Malachi Toney (72), Rutgers WR KJ Duff (71), and Syracuse WR Umari Hatcher (71). 
• Messer has recorded at least 107 receiving yards in two games this season, including catching 12 passes for 162 yards and 2 TDs vs. Rice last week.
• The North Texas defense has posted 0.21 EPA/pass this season, which ranks 105th nationally.

Add Easton Messer + Florida Atlantic to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

North Texas QB Tayven Jackson vs. Florida Atlantic: 314.5 Pass Yards 

• Jackson has completed 72.4% of his passes for 2,173 yards and 18 TDs, compared to 5 INTs.
• Ranking third nationally among collegiate QBs, Jackson has averaged 8.94 yards per dropback in 2026.
• Jackson tallies a 53.4% passing success rate that is seventh among QBs.
• Florida Atlantic allows 0.24 EPA/pass, ranking 114th in college football.

Pick Tayven Jackson + North Texas to cover the spread on PrizePicks!

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Make Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Picks on PrizePicks

North Texas and Florida Atlantic have been two of the country's more dangerous offenses all season. Despite the high total, the Mean Green and Owls could duel in a high-scoring slugfest on Thursday night.

Don’t wait until kickoff — make your Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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