Fire vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks for Monday, May 25

The Portland Fire vs. New York Liberty game is set to tip off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Monday, May 25, with the Liberty entering as 11.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.

All eyes in New York are on the Knicks tonight, as they look to clinch their first NBA Finals appearance since 1999. Meanwhile, in Brooklyn, the Liberty (3-3) are trying to get on track following consecutive home losses to the Valkyries and Wings. 

The expansion Fire (3-3) have held their own through six games, coming off their first road win on Saturday at Toronto, 99-80.

Below, we'll break down our Fire vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Monday’s WNBA game on Peacock, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Fire vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks for tonight's game.

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Fire vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Monday, May 25

The Liberty began the season short-handed with star guard Sabrina Ionescu and newly acquired Satou Sabally both injured.

Sabally made her Liberty debut in Thursday’s 87-70 home defeat to Golden State, scoring 5 points in 16 minutes. Ionescu returned from a preseason ankle injury to post 11 points and 7 assists in Sunday’s 91-76 setback to Dallas.

Portland concludes a three-game road trip tonight after splitting the first two games at Indiana and Toronto. The Fever cooled down the Fire in Wednesday’s 90-73 rout, their lowest offensive output of the season. Portland grabbed its first road win over fellow expansion squad Toronto on Friday, 99-80, capped by a 33-point fourth quarter.

These teams have already met twice in Portland, splitting a pair of matchups. The Fire shocked the Liberty with a buzzer-beating layup on May 12 for their first franchise victory, 98-96. New York responded two nights later with a 100-82 blowout of Portland, marking the second time the Liberty reached the 100-point mark this season.

Fire vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Monday, May 25

The Liberty enter Monday’s game as 11.5-point home favorites against the Fire, returning a 1.14x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Fire vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: New York Liberty -11.5 (1.92x payout)
• Over/Under: 177.5 (2.04x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Fire 5x | Liberty 1.14x

Make your Fire vs. Liberty prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Fire vs. Liberty Injury Report for Monday, May 25

Let’s dive into the full Fire vs. Liberty injury report for Monday, May 25, via WNBA.com.

Portland Fire Injury Report

• The Fire feature a clean injury report for Monday.

New York Liberty Injury Report

• G Sabrina Ionescu (foot) - Questionable
• G Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (personal) - OUT

Fire vs. Liberty Prediction on Winner – 5/25/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fire vs. Liberty prediction on the winner for Monday, May 25.

Lock in your Fire vs. Liberty prediction PrizePicks before tip-off.

• Both teams have struggled against the spread (ATS), each posting 2-4 marks through six games.
• New York has lost three games outright in the favorite role and is 2-6 ATS in the last eight home contests. 
• The Fire are 1-2 ATS as an underdog of 9 or more points, with the lone cover coming in the upset of New York.
• Both the Fire and Liberty are shooting exactly 35.1% from 3-point land. Portland shot a season-best 47.8% in Saturday’s win at Toronto, hitting 11 of 23 attempts.
• In New York’s most recent win in Portland on May 14, the Liberty knocked down 15 treys. In the last two losses, New York has converted a total of 14 3-pointers on 50 attempts (28.0%).
• Sabally and Ionescu combined to shoot 10 of 29 from the floor in Sunday’s loss to Dallas, the first time New York showcased its anticipated lineup on the floor.
• In its limited sample size, teams playing with no rest this season have lost two of three games. New York is the first team to host consecutive games on a back-to-back, as opposed to the first three squads traveling on the road. 

Fire vs. Liberty Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/25/26

Here are the top Fire vs. Liberty picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, May 25. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include F Breanna Stewart and G Carla Leite.

Fire G Carla Leite vs. Liberty: 15 Points

• Leite is averaging a career-best 15.0 points per game (PPG) after putting up 7.2 PPG in her rookie campaign at Golden State.
• She torched the Liberty for 21 points in Portland’s first win but missed the second game against New York with an ankle injury.
• In the last two matchups, she scored a combined 21 points, led by a 15-point effort at Toronto. 
• Leite has shot 25 of 26 from the line (96.2%). New York allowed its fewest free throw attempts of the season in its two matchups against Portland, yielding only 15 and 20 foul shots.

Add Carla Leite to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Fire: 21.5 Points

• Stewart was held to a season-low 14 points in Sunday’s defeat to the Wings. It also marked the first time she didn’t attempt a free throw in six games.
• The former UConn star posted 31 points in the season-opening home rout of Connecticut but scored a total of 32 points in the past two losses at Barclays Center.
• Stewart’s most efficient scoring game came in the win at Portland, posting 22 points in 28 minutes. It marked an improvement from the loss two nights earlier, when she was limited to 16 points.
• Portland is tied with Toronto for the worst eFG% allowed (56%). Stewart’s eFG% is the lowest of her career at 47.4%.

Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Fire vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks

New York has hit the skids following consecutive home losses to Golden State and Dallas. The Liberty play with no rest tonight, looking to catch the Fire in a letdown spot after Portland's first road victory.

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Fire vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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