Fire vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Tuesday, July 28

July 28, 2026

WNBA
AP Photo/Amanda Loman
Portland Fire G Carla Leite dribbles during a WNBA game against the Chicago Sky.

The Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces game is set to tip off at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, July 28, with the Aces entering as 10.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.13x payout to win, via PrizePicks. 

The WNBA returns from the All-Star break with a five-game slate on Tuesday evening. The Fire (11-15) head to Las Vegas for the first time in franchise history to take on the defending champions at Michelob ULTRA Arena. Portland has fallen in its first two contests against the Aces at home.

The Aces (18-8) aim to move past a disappointing upset against the Mystics in the final game before All-Star Weekend. Las Vegas enters the second half of the season in third place in the Western Conference, boasting high hopes for another deep postseason run.

Below, we'll break down our Fire vs. Aces prediction and picks for Tuesday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Fire vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks for tonight’s game.

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Fire vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, July 28

Portland will look to open the second half of its inaugural season with a statement road upset against the defending champions. The Fire have impressed across their first 27 games, going 11-16 and sitting fifth in the West.

Unfortunately, starting guard Sarah Ashlee Barker suffered a torn ACL in the final game before the All-Star break and will miss the remainder of the season.

Barker was in the midst of a breakout sophomore campaign and played a key role in Portland's first two meetings with the Aces earlier this year. Las Vegas won both occasions, though the Fire put up a fight in an 88-80 loss just before the break.

The Aces have fielded one of the league's strongest offenses, but inconsistent defensive performances have been a significant factor in their eight losses. We saw a clear example of that in the Aces' most recent defeat to the Mystics before the break.

Washington, one of the league's worst offensive teams, put up 100 points on 49.3% shooting from the field and 53.8% from deep. Portland may look to replicate that kind of performance tonight. The Fire currently rank 10th in offensive efficiency at 1.014. Keeping pace with the Aces offensively will be a far greater challenge.

The champs rank second in both offensive efficiency (1.095) and true shooting percentage. Las Vegas is 7-5 at home, averaging a league-high 93.3 PPG. Portland allows the third-most PPG at 90.60 and could have a difficult time containing the Aces' potent offense.

Fire vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, July 28

The Aces enter Tuesday’s game as 10.5-point home favorites against the Fire, returning a 1.13x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Fire vs. Aces game on PrizePicks.

Fire vs. Aces Payouts

Team Winner Spread Over/Under
Portland Fire 5.26x Fire +10.5 (2.04x) Over 176.5 (1.75x)
Las Vegas Aces 1.13x Aces (1.72x) Under 176.5 (2x)
Payouts listed are live as of writing and are subject to change.
Make your Fire vs. Aces prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Fire vs. Aces Injury Report for Tuesday, July 28

Let’s dive into the full Fire vs. Aces injury report for Tuesday, via WNBA.com.

Portland Fire Injury Report 

  • G Sarah Ashlee Barker (Knee) – Out
  • F Sania Feagin (Knee) – Out

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

  • F Kierstan Bell (Leg) – Out
  • F Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Concussion) – Out

Fire vs. Aces Prediction on Over/Under – 7/28/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fire vs. Aces prediction on the over/under for Tuesday, July 28.

Lock in your Fire vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now.
  • Portland allows the third-most PPG to opponents on the road at 92.5, while no team averages more at home than the Aces at 93.3 PPG.
  • These teams are posting 181 combined points across their two meetings, which would be split 1-1 against tonight's total of 179.5.
  • The Aces have surpassed Tuesday's total in each of their last three games, with opponents averaging 97.33 PPG against Las Vegas in that stretch — well above the season average of 86.3.
  • Las Vegas has given up the third-highest 3-point clip to opponents over its last three games at 40.0%. Portland has been the fifth-best 3-point shooting team in 2026, connecting at a 34.7% rate from beyond the arc.
  • Only the Valkyries score a higher percentage of their points from 3-point land than Portland. The Fire average 29.2 PPG there, accounting for 34.2% of their total scoring.

Fire vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/28/26

Here are the top Fire vs. Aces picks to target on Tuesday, July 28. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Carla Leite and A'ja Wilson.

Fire G Carla Leite vs. Aces: 6 Assists

  • Leite currently leads the Fire with 15.3 PPG and 6.04 assists per game, with her assist average ranking sixth in the WNBA.
  • She recorded 5 assists in the Fire's most recent loss to Las Vegas and 8 in their first meeting.
  • The 22-year-old set a career high with 11 assists in Portland's final game before the break and was averaging 7.8 APG across the five games leading into All-Star festivities.
  • Leite ranks seventh in usage rate at 28.8%, placing her among the most ball-dominant players in the Association.
Add Carla Leite to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Aces C A'ja Wilson vs. Fire: 27.5 Points

  • The reigning MVP is the favorite to claim another after a dominant first half, leading all scorers in the league with 26.08 PPG.
  • Wilson entered the break fresh off one of her best performances of the year, finishing with 38 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists on 75% shooting against the Mystics.
  • Wilson has scored 32 points in each of her first two meetings against the Fire, shooting 51.3% from the field across those games combined.
  • No player has been more effective at getting to the free throw line than Wilson. The Aces superstar is averaging 7.6 attempts and converting at an 84.1% clip, taking 13 free throws in each of her two outings against Portland.
Add A'ja Wilson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Fire vs. Aces Picks on PrizePicks

Portland aims to make a late-season push toward playoff contention with a big win over the Aces on Tuesday night. Las Vegas, meanwhile, looks to sharpen up with repeat champion aspirations firmly in mind.

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Fire vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on today's WNBA game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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Anthony is a journalist based in South Florida who specializes in sports content. He has covered the NFL, NBA, UFL, March Madness, the World Cup, the English Premier League, and the Champions League.